posted by ZUKUNASHI at 16:48| Comment(0) | 国際・政治


Pentagon: ISIL Defeated But US Will Still Occupy Syria
TEHRAN (FNA)- The Pentagon regime loudly declares the terrorist group of ISIL has been defeated in Syria, but insists that they intend to remain and occupy the country permanently.

This is a potential major legal issue, because Syria never authorized the US invasion in the first place. US officials always presented the authorization as being UN resolutions supporting the fight against ISIL, but that would no longer apply.

Moreover, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has pointed out that US Secretary of State Tillerson has repeatedly assured him that the “only” US goal in Syria is to fight ISIL. This is adding to international concerns about what the US is actually planning on doing next, now that ISIL has been defeated.

Secretary of Defense James Mattis is trying to present this as keeping “ISIL 2.0” from coming into existence. While this is also the pretext for staying and occupying Iraq permanently, there is a major difference between a permanent deployment in Iraq that the US-backed government there supports, and trying to stay and occupy Syria forever despite explicit opposition from the Syrian government and its Iranian-Russian allies.

This raises a fundamental question about US aims in the ongoing war on Syria:

President Donald Trump has apparently sought to limit US involvement in Syria for his own reasons. Yet has been sucked in and struggled to clearly define his objectives in the messy, complicated war. Trump hasn't defined the outcome he seeks. But Secretary of State Tillerson now says President Bashar Assad should have "no role" in governing Syria.

The problem is, President Assad is in his strongest position in several years. With help from Russia and Iran, the Syrian Army has retaken most major cities in the country, while ISIL remains on the defensive due to the Russian bombing campaign.

In addition, power abhors a vacuum, and Syria’s allies would pursue their own strategies independent of the United States. The US never fully came to grips with the fact Iran and Hezbollah played a major role in Syria, and had acquired more influence in Iraq by the time US forces returned than that which the US possessed. The only difference is that Iran seeks peace and stability there. Unlike the United States, Iran has no intention to occupy its neighbors permanently.

Moreover, the US failed to pay full attention to Turkey’s decades-long struggle against its Kurdish separatists, its fear of the political and military emergence of Syria’s Kurds, and its fear of some broader Iraqi Kurdish support of separatism that would involve Turkey’s Kurds as well. Finally, it is unclear that the US ever seriously considered the possibility of Iranian-Russian involvement in Syria - until it happened and saved the country from falling into the hands of foreign-backed terrorists and extremists.

Above all, the base structure the Pentagon regime has built since the regime-change war on Syria began is intended to enable military interventions and wars of choice in the Greater Middle East. In the absence of UN opposition, these bases will make future military actions all too easy to contemplate, launch, and carry out. Today, it seems beyond irony that the target of the Pentagon’s “new” base strategy is no longer ISIL, whose very existence and growth the US owes to the Iraq War and the chaos it created.

The bottom line is that the US-led regime-change war has failed as a strategy; military force and permanent occupation will equally fail as a strategy for controlling post-ISIL Syria, no less affecting regime change. Sadly, this infrastructure of war has been in place for so long and is now so taken for granted that most members of the international community seldom think about it.

They rarely question the usefulness and legality of the US bases in maintaining global peace and stability, or that expanding the base will only perpetuate terrorism and a militarized US foreign policy premised on assumptions about the efficacy of war and military occupation that should have been discredited long ago. Investing in permanent bases rather than diplomatic, political, and humanitarian efforts to reduce violence and terrorism in Syria and across the region is likely to do little more than ensure enduring war.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 15:12| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

次の大地震が接近か 地震の動向に注意

情報発表時刻 2017年11月20日 8時43分
発生時刻 2017年11月20日 7時44分ごろ
震源地 南太平洋(ローヤリティー諸島)
緯度 南緯21.3度
経度 東経168.5度
深さ ---
マグニチュード 7.0
情報 震源の近傍で津波発生の可能性があります。この地震による日本への津波の影響はありません。

※  RT‏認証済みアカウント @RT_com 2017/11/20
Update: 'Hazardous tsunami waves' possible for coasts within 300km of epicenter after 7.3 #quake near #NewCaledonia - PTWC http://on.rt.com/8smp


2017年10月12日 15時12分ごろ 福島県沖で M5.1 の地震

2017年10月6日午後11時56分頃 福島県沖でM5.9の地震

2017年10月6日午後5時 福島県沖でM6.0の地震

2017年8月10日 9時36分ごろ千葉県北西部地震発生。ずっと体感地震がなかったのにこのところ増えています。

2017/8/2 2時02分ごろ 茨城県北部でマグニチュード 5.5

2017/7/20、9時13分東日本で地震。震源地 福島県沖
マグニチュード 5.6

カムチャッカで大きな地震 津波の可能性も
Tsunami alert as powerful quake hits off Russia’s Kamchatka
A powerful 7.4 magnitude earthquake off Russia’s Kamchatka region may trigger tsunami waves within a 300km radius, the US Pacific tsunami warning center said.

発生時刻 2017年7月2日 0時58分ごろ
震源地 熊本県阿蘇地方
深さ 10km
マグニチュード 4.5

2017年7月1日 23時45分ごろ 2017年7月1日 23時50分 胆振地方中東部 5.3 5弱

2017/2/28 16時50分頃
2017年2月28日 16時49分ごろ
震源地 福島県沖
緯度  北緯37.5度、経度  東経141.4度
深さ 50km
マグニチュード 5.6 津波の恐れなし

2016/12/28 21時38分頃茨城県北部でマグニチュード6.3の地震

2016/10/21 16:08

9/22 19:21 4.7M 千葉県南東沖
9/23 00:56  5.3M 千葉県南東沖
9/23 01:20  4.7M 千葉県南東沖
9/23 09:14  6.5M 関東東方沖
9/23 09:30 4.5M 千葉県南東沖
9/23 09:42 4.9M 千葉県南東沖

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 09:11| Comment(22) | 東日本大震災

線量率急上昇地域では何が起きているか 読者の自己犠牲的突入レポート



目的地に近づいて、「ええっと、原発近くない?」と少しは警戒心のあったNさんは、こっそりと仲間にわからないようにホワイトフードの 「ただ今の空間線量」を見たのです。

「あぁ、、車内からでも、喉がいがらい。。外は激しい雨です(T . T)」


一晩明けた11/19、温泉施設へ。今日も午前中から線量率が高めでした。Nさんはまだお若いのに日帰り温泉? 最近は水着がいるところもあるそうですね。


目を開けたまま 倒れていました。

「時々 こういう風に倒れたりされるのですか?」と聞くと、



posted by ZUKUNASHI at 01:22| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故


‘Arrogant’ Saudi Arabia fails to hurt Hezbollah with Hariri gambit, but won’t stop trying


‘Arrogant’ Saudi Arabia fails to hurt Hezbollah with Hariri gambit, but won’t stop trying
Riyadh’s attempt to assert control in Lebanon and open up a new front against Hezbollah and Iran has brought little return, but substantial reputational damage. But does Saudi Arabia even care about playing geopolitical chess, or does it just want to fling pieces at its adversaries?

The road trip-slash-conspiracy thriller that began with Saad Hariri’s surprise resignation as Lebanese Prime Minister from Saudi Arabia on November 4 is by no means over: Perhaps Emmanuel Macron will help Hariri hold on to his position by mediating the crisis in Paris this weekend, or maybe the trip to France is merely the beginning of his exile. And even if Hariri does return to Beirut to the embrace of sympathetic locals, victimhood is not always the easiest route to retaining power.

Hariri ‘weak’ in reining in Hezbollah

Yet, it is already obvious that whatever Saudi Arabia had in mind when it reportedly took away Hariri’s phone, put him under house arrest, and gave him a speech to read, has not turned out as planned.

“Riyadh wanted to make Hariri resign, and make it look like the work of Hezbollah, while he would appear as the Sunni martyr of Shia machinations, prompting an outpouring of pity for him, and anger against Hezbollah, which would then be subject to international sanctions,” says Marianna Belenkaya, a Moscow-based Middle East analyst.

“The Saudis likely wanted to replace Hariri with his younger brother, Bahaa, who is more easily controlled,” says Ali Al-Ahmed Director of the Institute for Gulf Affairs in Washington DC. “But they did it in a macho and arrogant way, and it backfired.”

In the longer term, although he was largely seen as their protege, “the Saudis were displeased with Hariri’s weakness in the domestic arena,” says Alexei Sarabyev, from Moscow’s RAS Oriental Studies Institute. While the prime minister was credited for brokering a solution last year to the 29-month long “presidential vacuum” that paralyzed the country’s institutions, the compromise came at the cost of weakening the Sunni faction, and the appointment of Michel Aoun, a Hezbollah ally, to the presidency. A particular irritant to the House of Saud is the continued cooperation between the Lebanese army and Hezbollah’s militias, which has seen Riyadh’s and Washington’s aid and weapons being funnelled to prop up Bashar Assad in the Syrian conflict.

Hariri’s status was further undermined after the canceled parliamentary election this June following months of wrangling, with the key vote – the first since 2009 – now being moved to May 2018. Sarabyev believes that the final straw for Saudi Arabia may have come in display of acquiescence shown by Hariri during talks with an Iranian emissary in Beirut on November 2.

Nonetheless, Riyadh’s whole scheme was so ham-fisted it seems barely credible that anyone thought that it could work smoothly in the television age, never mind in an era of dozens of competing Arab-language news networks, and millions of tweets (Hariri himself has dismissed the speculation as “lies”).

Cornering Hariri, possibly blackmailing him over his family or Saudi-based business, forcing him to humiliatingly parrot strident anti-Iran rhetoric that sounded like it came directly from the mouth of a Saudi royal, and then wheeling him out again for a disjointed and stiff interview days later were not obvious diplomatic masterstrokes.
Israel and US stay at arm’s length

Donald Trump’s White House is the most anti-Tehran administration in decades, and considers Hezbollah terrorists, but even they could not go with the power play, while most Arab allies decided to sit out the affair.

The early days of the crisis also produced speculation of an uneasy but motivated alliance between Israel and Saudi Arabia, with observers suggesting that the Israeli Defence Forces could even invade Lebanon, doing Riyadh’s dirty work for it and weakening Israel’s sworn enemy Hezbollah in one fell swoop. However, events have shown that Israel does not currently desire a repeat of the traumatic 2006 war, or the dismantling of the UN-backed peace deal that has kept hostilities between adversaries at bay, even if it still regards Hezbollah an extension of Iran’s existential threat.

The worst of the impact of the ploy was counter-productively on Lebanon. What better way to turn a divided multi-religious country against you than to show that its leader is a puppet that can literally be made to say anything? Hariri’s resignation has not been accepted by the president, while the foreign minister made a pointed reference that Lebanese politics was “not like trading sheep.” Notably, both the Saudi-aligned politicians and Iranian-backed ones demanded that Hariri returned, and none even humored Riyadh’s assertion that he voluntarily decided to stay away from his own country in the midst of a major political crisis. While before Hariri’s political coalition was falling apart, in the last weeks there have been mass demonstrations in his support.

The Saudis and their close allies – Kuwait, UAE and Bahrain – have doubled down, telling citizens to leave Lebanon, potentially impacting its tourist industry. Lebanese officials have also implied that it is putting behind-the-scenes economic pressure on the country, including preventing a potential joint gas project with Russia.

Its next moves would risk escalating the crisis by a magnitude – calling for Lebanon’s Arab League membership to be withdrawn, or a blockade scenario along the Qatari lines. Another potential measure would be to ban the Lebanese from working in Saudi Arabia, which could deprive the struggling Mediterranean state of up to $8 billion a year in remittances.

On the other hand, if, as Hariri recited in both his recent public appearances, if Hezbollah gives up its weapons, and agrees not to participate in any affairs outside Lebanon’s borders, the conflict will be finished. Arab officials say Hariri himself could be allowed to stay on.

But is the stick or the carrot likely to work?

In all likelihood, no, and this is something Hariri, despite holding Saudi citizenship, and considering the Saudi King to be “like a father,” understands well. Hezbollah is deeply entrenched in all aspects of the country’s society. It has a civilian party, and a militia that matches the national army for capacity, and outstrips it for experience, with recent involvement in the Syrian conflict, as well as its constant battle-readiness for a war with Israel. It is both a part of the state where over a quarter of the population are Shia, and a state-within-a-state that takes over the government’s role in provision of key services in areas that it controls.

“Hezbollah hasn’t been in open conflict with anyone in domestic politics for an extended time,” says Sarabyev. “Their internal policies are nuanced and balanced, and they present themselves as a guarantor of the country’s national security, and the indirect threat from Riyadh is playing into that image, giving them another trump card.”

With its gambit going nowhere, and the passage of time turning the affair into a dangerous charade for no ostensible gain, no wonder that Riyadh is now spitting fury, claiming that “enough is enough.”
Riyadh’s blue-blooded privilege

But to interpret the entire Hariri affair as a failure for Saudi Arabia would be to misread the motivations and behavior of the country that regards itself as the rightful and blue-blooded ruler of the region, unbothered with the opinion of its minions.

After all, did Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the 32-year-old who has ruled the country in all but name in the last few years, and could become king even before his 81-year-old father, King Salman, dies, ever care about nuance? When the country started the blockade of Yemen that could turn into the greatest humanitarian catastrophe since the turn of the millennium? When insisting Doha close its TV channels? Or even internally, when he jailed members of his own family, or allegedly offered them to go free if they gave up the majority of their wealth?

Saudi Arabia is trying to assert its power in the region by whatever means possible, whether using hard power, or soft power that threatens to turn into economic or real warfare. In the recent key major conflicts in Iraq and Syria, it is the Shia factions that have come out on top, and the Sunni ones that have been defeated, even if not all were officially endorsed by Riyadh. The oil-rich country, albeit straitened by the recent low hydrocarbon prices, is playing catch-up.

In fact the biggest concern is not the current ineffectual meddling, but the thought that one day Saudi foreign policy may grow less inept and more strategic. When Riyadh creates its own proxy Hezbollah-style movements with grassroots support, and begins to effectively challenge Iran in an ever-growing number of states, then the circus with of the Hariri resignation could come to seem like a fond memory.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:49| Comment(0) | 国際・政治


French police use tear gas to disperse protest against slave auctions in Libya (VIDEO)
Hundreds of activists flocked to the Libyan Embassy in Paris on Saturday, outraged with the government’s failure to tackle people smuggling after a CCN report unveiled a network of migrant slave auctions in Libya.

About a thousand people turned up to the protest following calls by several prominent anti-slavery groups and a number of celebrities of African origin, including soccer star Didier Drogba and former Miss France Sonia Rolland.

Carrying signs reading “No to slavery in Libya,” the demonstrators gathered in front of the Libyan Embassy on Saturday afternoon before marching towards the Champs-Elysees, where they were stopped by riot police cordons.

“Free our brothers,” “Let’s liberate Africa,” “We are black, we are human!” the demonstrators chanted.

Clashes broke out as police moved to disperse the protest. Some activists began hurling rocks at police, who responded with tear gas.

A Ruptly crew was on the spot to film as activists attempted to break through metal barriers erected by police.

One person was arrested following the scuffles, AFP reports. Police say the protest was illegitimate, adding that “no damage” resulted from the clashes.

Earlier this week, the Libyan government launched a probe into slave auctions operating in the country, including areas controlled by the UN-backed internationally-recognized Government of National Accord, after CNN showed footage of migrants being sold at a location outside Tripoli.

CNN claims in the report that men were priced at as little as $400, and that auctions are being carried out at many sites across Libya each month.

Libya has become the last stop on the route to Europe for migrants fleeing war, persecution, and poverty in their home countries, with the ongoing political chaos allowing people smugglers to thrive in the country, ravaged by civil war.



どうやって、目をそらすことができますか?  地中海難民危機



アフリカからの難民問題が深刻化 リビアに奴隷市場
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:51| Comment(0) | 国際・政治


US Marine kills elderly civilian in drunk-driving accident in Okinawa, Japan
A US military truck collided with a light vehicle in Okinawa, Japan, killing an elderly civilian, local media reports. The driver, allegedly a member of the US Marine Corps, was drunk at the moment of the crash and is being questioned.

On Sunday morning, the driver of a US military truck reportedly violated traffic regulations, running a red light and crashing into a light vehicle at an intersection in Naha, the capital of Okinawa Prefecture, according to NHK. The Japanese driver, 61, of the civilian truck was taken unconscious to a local hospital, where he died an hour and a half later.

Okinawa police confirmed initial local media reports that the man who caused the accident was a member of the US Marine Corps, according to AP. The breath alcohol test of the military truck driver showed the level of alcohol three times above the legal limit. The man did not sustain any serious injuries and is now being questioned.

Last year, thousands of American sailors stationed on the island were prohibited from drinking alcohol following a drunk-driving accident caused by a US Marine. The ban was preceded by two other scandals involving the murder and rape of two young Japanese women by US servicemen in Okinawa.

The controversial US military presence on the southern Japanese island often meets stiff opposition from the population and triggers large-scale protests. Okinawa Governor Takeshi Onaga has also opposed the US military presence on the archipelago.

There are around 100,000 US personnel in Japan, including 54,000 military personnel, 42,000 dependents, and 8,000 civilian employees of the department of defense. Okinawa hosts half of the military personnel, according to the official website of the US Forces Japan.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:34| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

こちらと思えばまたあちら 2017/11/17〜19

2017/11/17は昼過ぎに九州南部から降雨が始まりました。薩摩川内市で線量率が上昇しています。薩摩川内市 久見崎 現在: 0.037 μSv/h、平均: 0.026 μSv/h
薩摩川内市内、霧島市、西之表市 熊毛支庁などで上昇しています。沖縄本島でも少し上がっていますが、ところにより降雨があるようです。鹿児島起源かは分かりません。

福島県内は、田村市立滝根幼稚園 現在: 0.101 μSv/h、平均: 0.079 μSv/h 、須賀川市立大東中学校、開成山公園児童広場などで比較的大きく上げています。降雨はほとんどないようですが。











posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:29| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

North Africa Facing Threat of ISIL Terrorists Fleeing Iraq, Syria

North Africa Facing Threat of ISIL Terrorists Fleeing Iraq, Syria
TEHRAN (FNA)- Algerian Foreign Minister Abd-el-Kader Messahel said that North Africa is under threat from foreign fighters of the ISIL escaping Iraq and Syria.

"The region is threatened... with the return of foreign fighters," said Messahel, Islam Times reported.

"The signs and reports say the return will be in our region," Messahel said at a news conference in Cairo after a meeting with his Egyptian and Tunisian counterparts, Sameh Shoukry and Khemaies Jhinaoui, over Libya.

After its explosive rise in 2014 and conquest of vast swathes of territory in Syria and Iraq, ISIL established a "caliphate" that attracted thousands of foreign fighters.

But a string of losses this year have left the terrorists clinging on to pockets of territory in Iraq and Syria.

ISIL terrorist group draws it inspiration from Wahhabism, the official sect of Saudi Arabia which espouses extremist ideas responsible for the emergence of many other terrorist groups such as al-Qaeda, Boko Haram, al Shabab and Taliban.

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 00:35| Comment(0) | 国際・政治


エルドアン NATOにとって敵の協力者とノルウェー人に名指しされて激怒

Turkey Sees ‘International Cooperation’ against Erdogan
TEHRAN (FNA)- Turkish Deputy Prime Minister Bekir Bozdag said on Saturday there is an “international cooperation” against the country's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

"This international cooperation reached a level that gave a soldier courage to show the founder and current leader of a NATO country as an enemy target during an exercise," said Bozdag speaking to reporters in Southeastern Sirnak, Anadolu reported.

Turkey withdrew from the Trident Javelin exercise after a civilian Norwegian official depicted Turkish Erdogan as an "enemy collaborator" during a bloc exercise in Norway.

On Friday, Erdogan told ruling Justice and Development (AK) Party members in capital Ankara that a portrait of Turkey’s founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk was also shown in the ‘hostile leader list’ during the computer-assisted exercise.

"Until now NATO has not seen a scandal like this. Neither the world did," Bozdag said, adding that NATO should take necessary steps that will prevent such incidents in the future.

Bozdag welcomed the removal of those responsible from the incident and the apology of NATO secretary-general. However, he added that those who run NATO also have responsibility to take.

A Norwegian national was removed from the exercise as a consequence of the incident.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg and Norwegian Defense Minister Frank Bakke-Jensen have apologized to Turkey over the incident.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 23:58| Comment(0) | 国際・政治