国際・政治: ずくなしの冷や水

2020年12月16日

ここの管理人より何倍も先行きに悲観的な人もいるらしい

読者から近未来の世界情勢について教えてもらいました。うーん、ちょっとその話には付き合えませんね。

まず、大紀元エポック・メディアは、管理人は有害なメディアだと考えています。ツイッターでもブログでもそこの情報を真に受けて書いているのであれば、読む価値なしの何よりの印です。

Wikipediaに、「大紀元時報は米ニューヨーク拠点のエポック・メディア・グループが発行する多言語メディア。中国の新興気功団体である法輪功の関係者が中心となって発刊している」とあります。

法輪功については、2020年12月07日 「法輪功」とは何かがご参考になるでしょう。

現在、増加し始めている、新型コロナ(武漢ウィルス)第3波以降の列島蔓延で、2020年12月から2022年1月の期間に死亡する日本人口の割合は、71パーセントから72パーセントと、予想される。 1億2500万人x0.71=8875万人、1億2500万人−8875万人=3625万人が生き残る計算。日本列島で生産できる食糧で何とか暮らしていける程度の人数が生き残れるだろう。

新コロナウィルスの性質(タチ)が悪いのは、感染者がなかなか死なないからなのです。死なないでウィルスをまき散らす。

1年で71%も死ぬのであれば、月6%死ぬことになります。日本中の哺乳類が感染し、かつ、死にもせずにウィルスをまき散らし続けるのであれば、人間がバタバタ行くことはあるでしょうが、人間以外の哺乳類だって死ぬ。

この説を書いた人は、生物兵器の研究が不足です。

対抗策として公表されているインフルエンザワクチンも含めて、ワクチン類は全く効き目がなく、有害です。打てば、命を落とす者たちが増えていくでしょう。 死んでゆくのは、我先に生き残ろうと足掻く者たち、つまり優位な位置を保つのに奔走し続ける悪人たちが、真っ先にワクチンに手を出すので、先に死んでいくことになるでしょう。

アフリカでワクチン接種を受けた子供がその場で亡くなった例がありますが、粗悪なワクチンを接種されれば死ぬこともあるでしょう。特にRNAワクチンは史上初めて実用化です。

でも、ロシアなどのワクチンは伝統的な製法によるものとされています。ワクチンの治験データが明らかになっていない面がありますが、アフリカの事例のようにその場で死ぬようなことはないでしょう。

2021年2月から、アメリカとEU連合軍による、中共撃滅戦争勃発がうわさされています。 中共では、今年砂漠飛びバッタによる食害で満州地域まで農業が被害を受けており、今後の日本への食糧輸出は減ることが予想されています。

紹介されたブログにあった画像。NATOとロシア軍が一緒に何かやる? 中国に? ここまでくると完全に頭おかしいと思います。



自分で空想の世界に浸って楽しむのはいいですが、他の人も同じように楽しんでくれるとは限りません。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 15:18| Comment(1) | 国際・政治

2020年12月14日

ロシアは穀物が豊作だが国内でパン価格が上昇 輸出管理へ

ドミトリー・スミルノフは、コムソモリスカヤ・プラウダのクレムリン担当の記者です。

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/12/13のツイート
プーチンから大臣へ:「人々は必需品を買う金もないので我慢している。どこを見てる? これは冗談ではない! 失業率は上昇し、収入は減少し、食料価格は上昇している。そして、あなたは何をするかという物語を話している!」
引用ツイート
Дмитрий Смирнов@dimsmirnov175氏の2020/12/13のツイート
Путин - кабмину: Люди себя ограничивают, потому что у них денег нет на базовые продукты. Куда вы смотрите-то? Это же не шуточки! Безработица растет, доходы сокращаются, продукты дорожают вот на такие величины - а вы мне сказки рассказываете здесь. Про то, что вы будете делать.
・・・これはプーチンと内閣に向けて発言しています。



RT2020/12/11
Russia considers grain export quota to stabilize domestic food prices
Russia is preparing a decree authorizing an introduction of a grain export quota and wheat export tax, according to the chairman of the Russian Union of Grain Exporters, Eduard Zernin.

He told the TASS news agency that the Ministry of Agriculture is currently working on the bill together with the Ministry of Economic Development. Zernin suggested that both the tax and the quota should be introduced simultaneously.

The Ministry of Agriculture earlier proposed to introduce a quota for the export of wheat and meslin, rye, barley, and corn in the amount of 15 million tons from February 15 to June 30, 2021. It does not apply to grain seeds and supplies destined for Eurasian Economic Union countries.

According to Zernin, the union has asked to tie the tax formula to a ton of products, not to the price of a contract. “I think that we will find a compromise option. ... We have repeatedly said that the country’s food security is the number-one task, and we will always find an acceptable mechanism on removing the surplus,” he said.

RT2020/11/25
From Russia with wheat: Exports by global grain superpower on track to hit record high
The volume of global wheat exports from Russia in the 2020-2021 agricultural year (which started July 1) is set to approach the historical record level of the 2017-2018 crop year, a report by the Sovekon research center has said.

Its experts have raised their projection of Russian wheat supplies by one million tons (2.5 percent), to 40.8 million tons. "The new wheat export forecast is slightly below the all-time high of 40.9 million tons reached in the 2017-2018 agricultural year," said the report.

Estimated supplies of barley and corn have been lowered to 4.9 million tons and 3.9 million tons respectively. The country’s total export volume of grain, legumes, and products of their processing is estimated at 51.2 million tons, 0.4 million tons (0.8 percent) higher than the previous forecast.

The prediction was made considering the export quotas for a number of grain crops from Russia since February. It did not take into account the possible introduction of a non-zero export duty on grain, said Sovekon. "If the quota is replaced by an export duty, we are likely to see less wheat exports, a potential revision can be roughly estimated at several million tons," it explained.

Russia’s booming agricultural production has surged by 20 percent over the last six years. The country has managed to capture more than half of the global wheat market in recent years, becoming the world’s biggest exporter of grain, thanks to bumper harvests and attractive pricing. Since the early 2000s, Russia’s share of the global wheat market has quadrupled. In 2018-2019, Russia delivered 35.2 million tons of wheat to the global market.

Russia on track to have one of its largest-ever grain harvests
This year’s grain crop in Russia is set to exceed 131 million tons, according to the Ministry of Agriculture. This would be one of the country's largest harvests, second only to the record 135.5 million tons recorded in 2017.

"Today we can talk about the completion of the harvest season in Russia. Grains are almost completely crushed. So, we can say with confidence that in 2020 our farmers provided one of the most significant harvests in the country’s recent history," said the head of the ministry, Dmitry Patrushev, during a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The latest figures beat earlier expectations. The ministry had said in September it expected this year's grain harvest to stand at 122.5 million tons.

Russia’s booming agricultural production has surged by 20 percent over the last six years. The country has managed to capture more than half of the global wheat market, becoming the world’s biggest exporter of grain, thanks to bumper harvests and attractive pricing. Since the early 2000s, Russia’s share of the global wheat market has quadrupled. In 2018-2019, Russia delivered 35.2 million tons of wheat to the global market.

Supported by a massive grain harvest, the country is projected to retain its leadership in the world's wheat market in the coming years.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:37| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2020年12月13日

イエメン戦争で利益を得る年金基金

デンマークの16の年金基金が、サウジアラビアやアラブ首長国連邦などの国に武器を供給する外国の武器メーカーに、合わせて約30億デンマーククローネ(5億ドル)を投資して批判を浴びています。これらの武器メーカーがサウジアラビアやアラブ首長国連邦に供給した武器がイエメン戦争に使われている可能性が高いからです。

RT11 Dec, 2020 10:14
War profiteers: Danish pension funds accused of financing war in Yemen
New research by Oxfam IBIS revealed that Denmark’s 16 pension funds have together invested almost 3 billion Danish kroner ($500 million) in foreign arms manufacturers supplying weapons to countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Those weapons were most likely used in the war in Yemen, as Saudi Arabia and the UAE are heavily involved in the conflict there, said the report. It has accused the pension funds of "profiteering.”

One of the 21 companies that received Danish pension fund money is US missile manufacturer Raytheon. The fund that gave the money said it didn't invest in companies that produce so-called unconventional weapons, such as landmines and cluster munitions. Nevertheless, it assured that it “follows the situation in Yemen very closely.”
“I think many pension customers will be shocked when they discover that their pension savings right now are helping to keep the world's worst war alive. That is completely unacceptable,” said Kristian Weise, Secretary General of Oxfam IBIS.

He pointed out that the war and the accompanying humanitarian catastrophe in Yemen will only be kept alive as long as the flow of weapons to the warring parties continues. “In Oxfam IBIS' opinion, these arms deliveries should be stopped immediately. To that extent, the Danish pension funds have an ethical and moral responsibility that they should take on,” Weise added.
Denmark halted all exports of weapons and military equipment to the UAE and Saudi Arabia in 2018. However, “Despite the fact that there is a political desire in Denmark that we should not in any way contribute to keeping the war in Yemen alive, we are still part of it through our pension funds,” said Weise. “It must be stopped because, as it is now, several million Danish pension customers are helping to keep the war in Yemen running, and I think that very few Danes actually want to have their pension remunerated by contributing to war and murder in Yemen,” he added.

RT9 Dec, 2020 14:10
US is slaughtering Yemeni civilians to ‘keep weapons factories running,’ senior Houthi leader claims
A high-ranking Houthi leader has accused the US of participating in the killing of Yemeni civilians to ensure the longevity of its defense industry, adding that Washington is the “source” of violence in the country.

Mohammed Ali al-Houthi, the cousin of the leader of the Houthi movement and the chairman of Yemen’s Supreme Revolutionary Committee, issued a scathing condemnation of US support for the Saudi-led invasion of Yemen of five and a half years ago.

America continues killing the Yemeni people in order to keep weapons factories running, reduce unemployment, [and] pay off debts in exchange for Gulf money.

He accused Washington of implementing the plans of the “Israeli enemy,” adding that the US is the “source of killing” in Yemen.


Nearly 230,000 people have died since 2015 as a result of the war in Yemen between the Saudi-led coalition and the local Houthi rebel movement. It is estimated that 80 percent of Yemen’s 28 million population requires desperate emergency aid. The United Nations has described the situation as the worst humanitarian crisis in the world.

The Houthi official said US weapons were being used to carry out “massacres” and Yemen’s people “wake up to the sounds of American bomb explosions” that kill “children, women and the elderly.”

A Riyadh-led coalition launched a military intervention in Yemen in March 2015, after the Houthis seized power. Civil war erupted in Yemen in late 2014, when the Iran-backed Houthi militia forced the government of President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi out of the capital, Sanaa. The Saudi-led coalition intervened to support the Hadi government.

The Saudi bombing campaign and its naval blockade have dealt a dire blow to civilians, vastly complicating a deadly cholera outbreak and pushing thousands of families to the brink of famine. More than 100,000 people have died in the conflict, with the UN and other international organizations describing the war as one of the worst humanitarian catastrophes in recent memory.

The Trump administration has been unapologetic about US arms sales to Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states waging war in Yemen. The US president has promoted the deals as a major employment creator for the United States, although he’s been accused of wildly inflating the number of jobs such agreements actually create. Last year, Trump used his veto power to push through arms sales to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates worth $8.1 billion, arguing that attempts by Congress to block the deals “would weaken America’s global competitiveness.”

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 00:55| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2020年12月12日

米国の新コロナウィルス死亡数は来年4月に50万人に

FARSNEWS2020/12/12
US Sets New Record with over 3,400 COVID-19 Deaths in One Day as Model Predicts +500k Americans Will Die by April
TEHRAN (FNA)- The United States reported a new record for novel coronavirus deaths in a single day on Friday, with more than 3,400 people dying from the fatal virus, as a leading COVID-19 model predicted that 502,000 Americans will die from COVID-19 by April 1.

According to the Johns Hopkins University tracker, 3,450 COVID-19 deaths were recorded in the United States on Friday with an additional 235,000 cases identified. It brings the total number of reported infections nationwide to almost 15.85 million while at least 295,500 people have lost their lives.

The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) revealed its latest projections for COVID-19 deaths, stating that 502,000 Americans are predicted to die from the deadly disease by April 1.

It also predicts that new daily fatalities will climb even higher, peaking in mid-January at close to 4,000 deaths a day if states don’t continue with safety measures such as mask mandates.

On Friday, hospitalizations in the US climbed to an all-time high of 108,000, as new data from the model has revealed that 15 percent of Americans have been infected with coronavirus.

The record number of hospitalizations is placing extreme pressure on intensive care units throughout the country. The IHME models predicted that 48 US states are expected to have high or extreme stress on ICUs at some point in the next four months. Forty-two states will also have high or extreme stress on hospital beds at some point in December through February.

Newly released data from the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) also showed more than 85% of hospitals nationwide had more patients with COVID-19 last week than they did a month ago. Overall, about 1 in 5 hospital inpatients were confirmed to have COVID-19 last week – nearly double from a month earlier.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Robert Redfield issued a stark warning about the worsening death toll from the coronavirus on Thursday, stating that in a coming brutal stretch of time the country is likely to see more deaths from the fatal virus each day than from the September 11 attacks or Pearl Harbor.

“We are in the timeframe now that probably for the next 60 to 90 days we're going to have more deaths per day than we had at 9/11 or we had at Pearl Harbor,” Redfield noted during an event hosted by the Council on Foreign Relations.

The US recorded its highest level of coronavirus deaths just weeks after the Thanksgiving holiday period when health experts warned Americans not to travel or gather.

The country's first coronavirus shots are one step closer to getting injected into the general public after the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) granted emergency authorization late Friday to the vaccine manufactured by Pfizer and BioNTech, as the United States has entered brutal stretch of pandemic.

President of the United States Donald Trump said that the national administration granted its approval to start vaccines of Pfizer and BioNTech against the novel coronavirus, adding that the government has already begun shipping the vaccine, and that the first person will receive it in “less than 24 hours”.

The number of confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus worldwide exceeded 71 million, according to the JHU, while the overall death toll has reached the figure of 1.59 million.
米国は4月までに50万人のアメリカ人が死亡すると予測するモデルで、1日で3,400人以上のCOVID-19の死亡者を記録した。
テヘラン(FNA) - 米国は金曜日、1日の新規コロナウイルス死亡者数の新記録を報告し、3,400人以上がこの致死性ウイルスで死亡したことを報告した。

ジョンズ・ホプキンス大学のトラッカーによると、金曜日に米国で3,450人のCOVID-19による死亡が記録され、さらに235,000人の症例が確認されました。これにより、全国で報告された感染症の総数は約1,585万人となり、少なくとも295,500人が命を落としています。

ワシントン大学のInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)は、4月1日までに502,000人のアメリカ人がこの致命的な病気で死亡すると予測されるCOVID-19の最新の死亡予測を明らかにしました。

また、各州がマスクの義務化などの安全対策を継続しなければ、1日の新たな死亡者数はさらに増加し、1月中旬にピークを迎え、1日4,000人近くに達すると予測している。

金曜日には、米国での入院数は過去最高の10万8,000件に上昇し、モデルからの新しいデータでは、米国人の15%がコロナウイルスに感染していることが明らかになった。

入院の記録的な数は、国中の集中治療室に極端な圧力をかけています。IHMEモデルでは、米国の48州が、今後4カ月間のどこかの時点で集中治療室に高いまたは極端なストレスがかかると予測しています。また、42 の州は、12 月から 2 月までのいくつかの時点で病院のベッドに高または極端なストレスを持つことになります。

米国保健福祉省(HHS)から新たに発表されたデータによると、全国の病院の85%以上が先週、1ヶ月前よりもCOVID-19の患者数が多かったことも明らかになりました。全体では、約5人に1人の入院患者が先週COVID-19に感染していることが確認されており、1ヶ月前と比較して約2倍となっています。

疾病管理予防センター (CDC) ディレクター ロバート レッドフィールドは、木曜日にコロナウイルスからの死者数の悪化についての厳しい警告を発行し、来たるべき残忍な時間のストレッチで、国は 9 月 11 日の攻撃や真珠湾からよりも致命的なウイルスからのより多くの死者を毎日見る可能性が高いと述べた。

"レッドフィールド氏は、外交問題評議会が主催したイベントの中で、「我々は今、おそらく今後60日から90日は、9.11や真珠湾攻撃の時よりも1日あたりの死亡者数が多くなるだろうという時間枠の中にいる」と指摘した。

米国は、健康専門家がアメリカ人に旅行や集会をしないように警告した感謝祭の休暇期間の数週間後に、コロナウイルスによる死亡者の最高レベルを記録した。

国の最初のコロナウイルスのショットは、食品医薬品局 (FDA) 承認緊急承認ファイザーと BioNTech によって製造されたワクチンに金曜日遅く、米国はパンデミックの残忍なストレッチを入力しているので、一般市民に注入を取得するために一歩近づいています。

アメリカ合衆国のドナルド ・ トランプ大統領は、国の政権は、ファイザーと BioNTech のワクチンを開始する承認を付与したと述べた新規コロナウイルスに対して、政府はすでにワクチンの出荷を開始しているし、最初の人は「24 時間未満」でそれを受け取ることを追加します。

全体の死者数は 1.59 万人に達している間、JHU によると、世界の新型コロナウイルスの確認されたケースの数は 7100 万人を超えた

www.DeepL.com/Translator(無料版)で翻訳しました。

米国死亡数50万人ですと、10万人当り155人。現在の感染者数159万人ですから100人当り5人です。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:02| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

エルドアンはEUやイランを警戒させている

トルコの船がリビア沖で拿捕されたようです。イランがトルコ+アゼルバイジャンの動きに警戒。EUの限定的とはいえ制裁の動き。シリアのトルコ配下のテロリストは追い詰められている。エルドアンは成算を持っているのか。



FARSNEWS2020/12/11
Turkish Envoy Summoned by Iran’s Foreign Ministry over Erdogan’s Remarks
TEHRAN (FNA)- The Iranian Foreign Ministry summoned Turkish Ambassador to Tehran Derya Örs over the remarks made by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan during his visit to the Azerbaijan Republic.
Foreign Ministry Spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh said that Derya Örs has been summoned after Erdogan’s “meddlesome and unacceptable” remarks made during his trip to Baku.
“Tehran has expressed its ‘strong protest’ against such remarks, urging the Turkish government to offer explanations as soon as possible,” Khatibzadeh said.
“The era of claiming lands and warmongering empires has long ended,” an official at Iran’s Foreign Ministry said during the meeting with the Turkish diplomat.
The Turkish president traveled to Baku on Thursday to attend a military parade of Azerbaijani forces on the occasion of the liberation of the Armenian-occupied territories.
At the ceremony, which was also attended by Azeri President Ilham Aliyev, Erdogan read out poems including separatist sentiments about the Aras River which runs along the Iran-Azerbaijan border.
In relevant remarks, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif criticized the Turkish President Recep Teyyep Erdogan’s recitation of a piece of poetry that contained nationalist sentiments, stressing that no one can talk about Iran's “beloved” Azerbaijan.
Zarif on his Twitter account, blasted Erdogan’s provocative poems in Baku on Thursday, warning him that such remarks would undermine the sovereignty of Azerbaijan Republic.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 15:40| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

Ukraine announces emergency lockdown… after New Year, as Kiev struggles to find cash for orders of Covid-19 vaccine

RT2020/12/11
Ukraine announces emergency lockdown… after New Year, as Kiev struggles to find cash for orders of Covid-19 vaccine
A nationwide lockdown will be imposed in Ukraine to prevent coronavirus overwhelming the health system. But, amid rebellions from local authorities, it won’t come into force until after the busy festive period.

The quarantine, announced by Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal on Wednesday, will begin on January 8 and run for just over two weeks. Cafes, restaurants and all non-essential shops will be shuttered under the measures, but ski resorts and hairdressers will be allowed to stay open.

A tough national ‘circuit breaker’ over the Christmas and New Year period had been on the cards, but Kiev claimed that a slight reduction in the number of cases as a result of a weekend lockdown meant the shutdown could be delayed.

Analysts, however, were skeptical about this rationale, with some experts taking to Twitter to say that the government was unable or unwilling to lockdown over the festive period due to economic reasons and an inability to actually impose the rules.

A number of the country’s regional leaders had previously refused to enforce measures aimed at slowing the spread of the virus. In November, the mayor of the south coast city of Nikolaev hit out at proposals for the weekend quarantine, saying they’d have a significant impact on “the next budget of our city,” despite testing positive for Covid-19 himself.

The mayor of Lviv in the west of the country told reporters he would refuse to order compliance with the measures. Andriy Sadovy mocked the government's decision, making fun of the weekend quarantine by asking whether “we should also have lunch break quarantines?” He went on to say, “In my opinion, this is nonsense...The city will not make any stupid decisions.”

Ukraine’s health system, already weakened by chronic underfunding and years of political and military conflicts, has struggled to deal with the rise in coronavirus cases in recent months. In November, Health Minister Maxim Stepanov cautioned that “we have reached the point of no return and are close to disaster,” as 1,207 people were hospitalized in a single day. However, the number of positive tests has continued to increase, and both Stepanov and President Volodymyr Zelensky were diagnosed with the virus within weeks of his stark warning.

However, while a number of other countries including Russia and the UK have begun mass immunization programs in a bid for a return to normalcy, Ukraine has struggled to secure supplies of a vaccine. While London and Washington have splashed out billions on different formulas, ensuring their place in the order book, Kiev has not. Last month, Zelensky’s government announced that it had approached the World Bank for a loan of $100 million to enable it to buy vaccines, as the country’s infection rate hit a new high. However, despite its financial difficulties, Kiev has refused to engage with Russia, even though Moscow has indicated that it would be willing to supply the country with its Sputnik V vaccine.

On Tuesday, Stepanov told journalists that he had a call with local representatives from the US, in which he implored Washington to consider Ukraine as a priority candidate for handouts of jabs. As a “lower-middle income” nation, Ukraine is eligible for support from the COVAX vaccine access partnership, along with Sudan, Uzbekistan, Zimbabwe and 88 other nations. Kiev hopes to receive the first shipment of vials under the programme in the first quarter of 2021.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 13:53| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2020年12月11日

米国は12の軍事施設を韓国に返還することに同意しているが、浄化費用の問題は未解決のままである

RT2020/12/11
US agrees to return 12 military sites to South Korea, but cleanup costs issue remains unresolved
米国は12の軍事施設を韓国に返還することに同意しているが、浄化費用の問題は未解決のままである

After years of squabbling over the issue, the US returned 12 American military sites to South Korea on Friday. The move unblocks development efforts, but talks will continue on who will shoulder environmental cleanup costs.
この問題について何年にもわたって争った後、米国は金曜日に12の米軍基地を韓国に返還した。この動きは開発努力の妨げにはなりませんが、誰が環境浄化費用を負担するかについての話し合いは続きます。

The two sides agreed on the return during a virtual joint committee session of the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), which governs the legal status of the 28,500 American troops in the country.
双方は、国内の28,500人の米軍の法的地位を統治する地位協定(SOFA)の仮想合同委員会セッション中に帰還について合意した。

“We reached the decision comprehensively, considering social and economic issues in the communities caused by the delays and their requests for the swift return,” said Choi Chang-won, a vice minister of government policy coordination.
政府の政策調整担当副大臣であるチェ・チャンウォン氏は、「遅れによる地域社会の社会的・経済的問題と迅速な返還の要請を考慮して、包括的に決定に至った」と述べた。

However, the handover plan for the 12 sites was finalized on the condition that the discussion of clean-up costs continued, because officials failed to bridge differences on who would shoulder environmental cleanup costs.
US troops have been stationed in the country since the 1950-53 Korean War amid the perceived threat from Pyongyang. However, in recent years, the allies have disputed the cost of maintaining US personnel at bases.
しかし、環境浄化費用を誰が負担するかという違いを埋めることができなかったため、浄化費用の議論が続くことを条件に、12サイトの引き渡し計画が最終決定された。
平壌からの脅威が認識されている中、1950-53年の朝鮮戦争以来、米軍はこの国に駐留している。しかし、近年、同盟国は米国の要員を基地に維持する費用に関して争っていた。

This is the key reason US Forces Korea (USFK) are now returning just 12 sites when, back in 2003, it had agreed to hand over 80 sites to South Korea. The issues of decontamination procedures and base realignment remain unresolved.
これが、在韓米軍(USFK)が2003年に韓国に80のサイトを引き渡すことに合意したときに、現在わずか12のサイトを返還している主な理由です。除染手順と基地の再調整の問題は未解決のままです。

Among the sites to be returned, six are in Seoul. Two sites at the Yongsan Garrison in the city center housed the USFK headquarters until 2018.
返還されるサイトのうち、6つはソウルにあります。市内中心部の龍山基地の2つのサイトには、2018年まで在韓米軍本部がありました。

The South Korean authorities plan to build public housing in some areas, and the National Medical Center in Seoul could be relocated to the vacated site of the US Army Corp of Engineers, but decontamination of the returned sites must first be carried out.
韓国当局は一部の地域で公営住宅の建設を計画しており、ソウルの国立医療センターは米陸軍工兵隊の空いた場所に移転する可能性がありますが、返還された場所の除染を最初に行う必要があります。

参考文献
Title米軍基地による環境変化が与える自然および社会への影響に関する複合的研究( 資料7-1〜26 )
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:41| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

デジタル人民元は、国際決済システムと考えるべきかも

次の記事は、RTが報じたものですが、これを読んでもデジタル人民元がいかなるものなのかよくわかりません。
ブロックチェーンという仕組みを使うことはよく言われますが、これは関係者が取引、残高などのデータを共有するものですね。取引データを含んだブロックが連鎖的につながるのでこの名がついていますが、特徴は前のブロックのデータを含んでいること。そのために改ざんができないとされています。
でも簿記はそうですよね。次月繰り越し、前月から繰り越しは前のページや月の取引結果にほかなりません。もう少し詳しく取引の要約なども含むのでしょうが。それと同時に重要なのは、ブロックチェーンのプラットフォームは、データを参加者全員で共有することです。中国の中央銀行が各国の残高を一元管理するよりも、参加国は安心できます。
中国は、人民元を国際決済に使ってドルの束縛を逃れたいわけですが、これから人民元の紙幣を世界中にばらまいて世界通貨として使ってもらうのは困難だし、コストがかかると考えているでしょう。
少額の決済にはドルでも何でも使ってもらったらいい。国家間の決済にデジタル人民元を使ってもらえれば、中国はそれで十分ということでしょう。
ですからビットコインと同じように急激な価格変動はないし、マイニングと呼ばれる利得の機会もないということになります。
何も面白くない。デジタル人民元は、紙幣と交換が可能でしょうから人民元の為替変動の範囲で価格変動はありましょう。
デジタル人民元が威力を持つのは、世界通貨として米ドルが持つ、絶対的な地位を揺るがすからです。
各国は中国との貿易、資本取引にデジタル人民元を使うほうが便利です。米ドル決済は中国のほうから拒否されることもあるかもしれません。中国はすでに原油輸入について人民元での決済に移行している部分もあるようです。
中国の経済力がさらに発展していけば、ドル取引はダーティマネーが主体ということになるかもしれません。

China’s new digital currency spells the end for the US dollar’s global dominance and will change the world as we know it
The digital yuan cryptocurrency developed by China has the potential to be a gamechanger when it is rolled out fully. By ending the world’s reliance on the dollar, it will alter the geopolitical landscape forever.

For several years now, China has been developing the digital yuan, the first cryptocurrency from a central bank and government in the world. And it’s nearing completion.

Chinese online retailer JD recently began accepting it as a payment method as the government trials its use by giving citizens up to $3 million worth. It is also going to be used to facilitate cross-border transactions with Hong Kong. It’s set to be fully rolled out before the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, which will act as a showcase.

Many are speculating that this new currency will have global ramifications, with Facebook’s Libra executive David Marcus noting that China will create a digital currency system that can be entirely out of reach for US authorities, meaning America’s financial sanctions would have little effect. He added that if the digital yuan gets widely adopted across the world, many countries could opt for renminbi as an alternative to the dollar for international clearing and settlement services.

So, what is a ‘digital currency’ all about and how does it work? The digital yuan will be the first national currency which will not exist in physical form, but entirely online. While currencies of old were traditionally based on something tangible – such as the gold standard – the digital yuan is built on computer engineering. This means the way it is utilized and regulated differs from a normal currency. A digital currency is more easily managed by its parent government, and more traceable and observable.

With a government-controlled digital currency, financial crimes such as money laundering and tax evasion become more difficult. It provides increased security for users, even if it reduces privacy. But even more striking to international observers than the implications for personal use is the potential geopolitical impact it could have.

The emergence of a digital yuan, as opposed to the standard yuan, is an international gamechanger. As the first currency of its kind, China has the potential to pioneer it as a new global standard in its own transactions and, by using the country’s economic muscle, persuade other countries and financial institutions to use it, too. The potential outcome is clear; it may have a serious impact on the US dollar.

At present, the dollar is the hegemonic currency of the world. It is the preferred medium of transaction for many sectors and commodities alike, not least in the realm of finance. Due to its widespread use and the dominance of American financial institutions, the US government has the power to weaponize the dollar as a form of ‘extraterritorial jurisdiction’ against countries that it doesn’t like.

If the US sanctions a company or individual, it effectively cuts them off from the global financial system. The banks who serve these individuals rely on the dollar, and thus face penalties if they violate the sanctions.

This is irrespective of politics. Take, for example, Hong Kong’s executive leader, Carrie Lam, who was sanctioned by the US earlier this year for purportedly “undermining” the city’s autonomy. Now, she is not able to possess a bank account because even China-aligned banks are reliant on US financial markets, and will not touch her.

This demonstrates the global strength of the dollar, but also shows how the digital yuan may change the current landscape. The creation of a new international medium of transaction means that financial institutions, companies and governments now have a new avenue to do business without having to use dollar transactions. This will reduce its global reach. For countries like Iran and Venezuela, heavily targeted by US sanctions, it is an obvious way out.

Of course, such a system will be met with a mixed response throughout the world. While beneficial to some countries, it is inevitable that others will not accept their financial systems being re-written and dominated by China.

The digital yuan is set to face political resistance from the US, which is likely to respond by eventually creating a digital currency of its own (even though it’s well behind at present). The European Union is also likely to move towards a ‘digital euro’ to safeguard its own interests.

On the other hand, the digital yuan should be expected to gain traction in countries strongly integrated with China, particularly in Asia, Africa and Latin America. There are many nations who will see the opportunity to diversify from the US dollar as a positive development.

And so arguably, the rise of the digital yuan will prove to be an innovation which will truly hasten a multipolar world. It has the potential to effectively break the monopoly of the dollar as a unilateral, extraterritorial weapon and rewrite the rules of the global financial system in a way which will be shaped by China. It could set off a digital currency race with many other major powers too, fragmenting the existing order whereby the US dollar serves as the underbelly of all things.

The cashless, digital revolution is on its way, and while the West has so far failed to come up with any comparable scheme of its own, China’s is almost at the finish line already.

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:34| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2020年12月08日

ロシアが平和維持軍を派遣したナゴルノカラバフはこんなところ これはすごい

アルメニアとアゼルバイジャンの戦争は、トルコの支援を受けたアゼルバイジャンがナゴルノカラバフに攻め込み、優勢を保ちました。2020/11/8には、ナゴルノカラバフの首都ステパナケルトに近いシュシにアゼルバイジャンの軍が侵攻し住民が逃げ出していました。

ツイッターでアルメニアの議会が休戦に抗議する者によって占拠され、議長がリンチを受けたとの情報。パシニャンはソチに逃げたとの話がありますから休戦交渉はソチで行われていた?

休戦協定は現状固定ですからアルメニア側は痛みがある。トルコが平和維持軍に参加するとトルコが述べていますが、ロシアの報道には言及なし。アゼルバイジャンに恩を売っただけではなく、具体的なメリットを求めたでしょうが実現しなかった? シリアから連れて行ったISISテロリストも休戦になればアゼル側には厄介者。トルコはまたシリアに連れて帰るのか。トルコの目論見はまたしてもロシアにくじかれた。

Conflict News@Conflicts氏の2020/12/3のツイート
NAGORNO-KARABAKH: Azerbaijani MoD announces that its death total from the conflict with Armenia stands at 2,783 with more than 100 still missing. Another 1,245 are wounded and hospitalised. - @RALee85

PlCART@PlCART氏の2020/11/26のツイート
Finally found geolocation of this mysterious curved road and this is not Omar pass and belong to 2nd route from Azmod video.https://t.me/Azerbaijan_MOD/1161
https://goo.gl/maps/LSfKX8YgnmSjvRqHA
@khalfaguliyev @azyakancokkacan @firtisgulu @Danspiun @Mukhtarr_MD @RALee85 @ryanmofarrell @ghost_watcher1







Magomedov Mukhtar@Mukhtarr_MD氏の2020/11/26のツイート
AZ serviceman armed with RPK-74M light machine gun equipped with a Thermal Imagery Sight on a road to Vardenis, Kelbajar district (30 km from ARM border).
Geolocation: https://goo.gl/maps/QQ8S4dfuKtVzLNXm7
@aldin_ww @AbraxasSpa @GeromanAT @azyakancokkacan @COIN_V2 @khalfaguliyev @Danspiun







※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/11/14のツイート
ナゴルノ・カラバフでの平和維持活動の開始以来、ロシアの軍用輸送機は56回飛行。817人の軍人と119ユニットの武器と軍事装備、ロシア航空宇宙軍のMi-8およびMi-24軍用ヘリ8機を輸送した。

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/11/12のツイート
ナゴルノカラバフ/アルツァフ大統領ハルチュニャン
「10月3日、敵がマタギスに接近した時、アルツァフ軍とアルメニア軍の特殊部隊がヤニクナーの防衛に行かなければならなかった。しかし彼らは拒否した。私が先頭を行くからと頼み込んでも無理だった。彼らは大統領を置いて去った」

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/11/12のツイート
ハルチュニャンは10月3日と18日に兵員不足を警告。
「数日前、ロシア軍アナリストに、紛争に勝つためには8万から10万の動員が必要で、それがなければ負けると言われた。私は何人が参戦し、何人が18歳の兵士を残して去ったか言いたくない。18~20歳の兵士がアゼルバイジャンと戦う主要部隊だった


そして、2020/11/9の22:30 GMTにプーチンが休戦合意を発表。23:30 GMTロシアの平和維持軍が現地に向かいました。11/8にはすでにロシアの輸送機がエレバンに飛んでいました。今回もロシア国防省は積極的に情報公開です。

国境に近いゴリスの町です。








こんな地形です。今回の調印文書にアルメニアとナゴルノカラバフ、アゼルバイジャンとその飛び地との道路建設が記されていますが、確かに道路網は良くない。



ロシア軍のチェックポイント


次の地図の中心部分にある道路の分岐点です。


白い点のあるところがShushi、ここまでアゼル側が攻め込みました。上に画像があるGorisまではまるでスカイウェイ。直線で50kmあります。



RT2020/11/10
WATCH Russian peacekeepers board planes for deployment to Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone
Russian soldiers and vehicles are wasting no time in deploying to Nagorno-Karabakh, the region disputed between Armenia and Azerbaijan, for a peacekeeping mission following an armistice that ended hostilities there.

Newest footage released by the Russian Defense Ministry shows vehicles and soldiers boarding Il-76 transport aircraft at the Ulyanovsk-Vostochny military base, before taking off for the Caucasus.

“...beginning at [3:00am GMT] on November 10, 2020, the Russian Federation has begun to deploy a peacekeeping contingent in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone, in parallel with the withdrawal of the Armenian armed forces," the Russian Defense Ministry said in a brief statement.

Under the terms of the armistice, some 1,960 troops, 90 armored vehicles and 380 other vehicles will be deployed along the line of contact and the “corridor” between Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia proper.

The troops belong to the 15th Detached Motorized Rifle Brigade, designated as peacekeepers, from the Central Military District. A command post for the mission is already being set up in Stepanakert, the region’s capital.

The armistice, which went into effect at midnight Moscow time on Tuesday, is supposed to end the six weeks of fighting over the disputed region, in which Azeri forces have made significant advances into territory held by ethnic Armenians since 1994.

Nagorno-Karabakh is an ethnic Armenian enclave that seceded from Azerbaijan in 1991, during the collapse of the Soviet Union. The conflict had been largely frozen for decades until it flared up again in late September.

Moscow has sought to negotiate a solution to the conflict, which threatened to spill over beyond the region as NATO member Turkey supported Azerbaijan against Armenia, which is a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, a military alliance with Russia.

RT2020/11/9
Putin: Russian peacekeepers headed for Nagorno-Karabakh as Azerbaijan & Armenia sign armistice
Russian President Vladimir Putin has confirmed that Baku and Yerevan have struck a deal to end the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, and that Russian peacekeepers will be deployed along the line of contact.

The agreement will create conditions for a long-term settlement of the crisis in the interests of both peoples, Putin said shortly after midnight Moscow time on Tuesday (22:30 GMT Monday), confirming reports of the armistice Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan described as “painful” but necessary.

According to the text of the agreement that appeared in Russian media around midnight Moscow time – when the armistice was to take effect – Russia will deploy almost 2,000 peacekeepers along the line of contact and the “Lachin corridor,” the road connection between Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia proper.

These peacekeepers will move in as the Armenian armed forces withdraw, and will stay for five years, according to the draft. An automatic five-year extension of their mandate is envisioned, unless any of the parties objects six months before its expiration.

Neither Armenian nor Azerbaijani forces are supposed to advance beyond their current positions. This leaves the remaining territory of the Nagorno-Karabakh autonomous region somewhat surrounded, with only a 5-kilometer-wide corridor to Armenia proper, under protection of the Russian peacekeepers.

A new road is supposed to be built through the Lachin area over the next three years, to connect Armenia with Stepanakert, the capital of Nagorno-Karabakh. In parallel, another road will be built through Armenia to connect Azerbaijan with its enclave of Nakhichevan in the southwest. Until then, Russian border troops will supervise the existing road traffic through Armenia to Nakhichevan.

The agreement also provides for the exchange of prisoners and bodies of the dead, and the return of “all refugees and internally displaced persons” in the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh and surrounding areas, to be supervised by the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). In theory, this would mean the return of both ethnic Armenians and Azerbaijanis displaced by the conflict since 1991, though it is unclear how that will function in practice.

Nagorno-Karabakh was an ethnic Armenian enclave within the borders of the Soviet Republic of Azerbaijan, but seceded from Baku in 1991 as the Soviet Union began to collapse. A 1994 armistice froze the conflict with ethnic Armenian forces in control of most of Nagorno-Karabakh, as well as surrounding territory of Azerbaijan proper.

Renewed clashes over the region began in late September, and continued despite multiple ceasefires arranged by Moscow, and even one mediated by the US. The situation was aggravated by the fact that Azerbaijan received active support from NATO member Turkey, while Armenia is a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, a military alliance with Russia.

WATCH Russian peacekeepers begin deploying to Nagorno-Karabakh under Armenia-Azerbaijan peace deal

Minutes after the signing of the peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Russia has begun deploying peacekeepers to the contested Nagorno-Karabakh region. Airplanes and convoys of vehicles are already on the way.

Several Il-67 transport aircraft have taken off from Ulyanovsk, carrying the first batch of peacekeeping troops, the Russian Defense Ministry has confirmed around 2:30 am Moscow time on Tuesday (2330 GMT Monday).

A video released by the Defense Ministry shows a convoy made up of trucks, armored personnel carriers and other support vehicles making its way to the region as well.

TASS2020/11/11
Press review: Moscow gains from brokered peace deal and Trump to unleash Iran sanctions
Top stories in the Russian press on Wednesday, November 11

Armenian PM says there was probability of losing Stepanakert without Karabakh deal
Turkey jointly with Russia to monitor ceasefire in Karabakh, Erdogan says
UN Secretary General grateful to Russia for reaching truce agreement in Nagorno-Karabakh
Putin discusses with Erdogan Karabakh deal with Azerbaijan, Armenia
Russian Foreign Ministry not aware of creation of new working group on Nagorno-Karabakh
Pashinyan says conflict could have been avoided only if Armenia gave up land near Karabakh
Turkey continues to monitor situation in Nagorno-Karabakh, Foreign Ministry says
Putin lauds courage of Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders on Karabakh regulation
Rally organized in Yerevan demanding PM resignation, Karabakh agreement exit
Russian peacekeepers on their way to Nagorno-Karabakh after peace deal
Karabakh ceasefire deal stipulates deploying only Russian peacekeepers − statement
Kremlin hopes Armenia will perceive Karabakh agreements appropriately
Armenian PM says signs Karabakh deal based on army’s recommendation
Leaders of Azerbaijan, Armenia, Russia agree peace in Nagorno-Karabakh
Armenian PM says hostilities in Nagorno-Karabakh not fully stopped

The second war in post-Soviet history between Azerbaijan and Armenia ended as quickly as it started, Kommersant notes. After six weeks of intense hostilities, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan signed a joint statement on a complete ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh. In accordance with the agreement, Armenian troops must leave three occupied districts of Azerbaijan. The key provision of the agreement is the deployment of Russian peacekeepers to the region. Acting as the guarantor of the peace deal, Moscow has reaffirmed its role as the key mediator of the Karabakh conflict, creating the conditions for the relaunch of the diplomatic process that has stalled for a quarter of a century, the newspaper points out.

Moscow has gotten back its leading role in the South Caucasus with this agreement, and this outcome is quite a triumph for Russia, Editor-in-Chief of the Russia in Global Affairs magazine Fyodor Lukyanov told RBC. "It was impossible to maintain the status-quo when it became apparent that Armenia could no longer win the armed conflict. Before that, Armenia’s victory had been presumed, but this time, the Azerbaijanis were better prepared, and when you don’t have enough military power, the whole structure built over the past few years falls apart," the expert explained.

While the new model benefits Moscow, Armenia becomes even more dependent on Russia’s presence, Lukyanov stated. The OSCE Minsk Group has basically ceased to exist after this agreement, the experts claimed. The OSCE has not been mentioned in the armistice, and the group’s co-chairs France and the US have not been listed as active participants involved in the preparations for the deal.

The return of a significant chunk of districts bordering Nagorno-Karabakh and a part of the unrecognized republic itself to Azerbaijan has been met with jubilation in Baku. The Armenian public had the opposite reaction: the agreement was seen as a capitulation and a national embarrassment, with PM Pashinyan painted as the one responsible for what happened by the radical opposition, Kommersant notes.

Meanwhile, support for Pashinyan, who was once popular in Armenia, has plummeted. Armenian political analyst Grant Mikaelian noted that the signing of the disadvantageous agreement is not the only mishap of the Pashinyan government. "During Pashinyan’s rule, society has been divided. And it is harder for a divided society to defend itself. Government bodies have been weakened, especially the legal system. There have been no preparations for a war for the past two and a half years, and there has been no development in the relations with its allies: Russia and Iran," the expert told Kommersant.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:04| Comment(13) | 国際・政治

2020年12月07日

「法輪功」とは何か

在日中国大使館 「法輪功」とは何か
http://www.china-embassy.or.jp/jpn/zt/xjflg/t62971.htm
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 01:43| Comment(3) | 国際・政治

2020年12月05日

2021 going to be catastrophic

RT2020/12/5
‘2021 going to be catastrophic,’ UN officials warn as organization faces worst year in history since inception after WWII
The executive director of the World Food Program made a dire forecast about the months to come, slating “catastrophic” humanitarian crises for 2021, in what could be the worst year seen in the better part of a century.

WFP chief David Beasley sounded alarms at a United Nations General Assembly meeting on Friday, convened to discuss the coronavirus pandemic and worldwide efforts to blunt its impact. He warned that some 270 million people are now “marching toward starvation” and that, in some countries, famine is “around the horizon.”

“2021 is literally going to be catastrophic, based on what we’re seeing at this stage in the game,” Beasley said, adding that “because we’ve spent $19 trillion, that money may not, and will not most likely be available for 2021,” even as economic contractions have already begun.

We’re now looking literally at 2021 being the worst humanitarian crisis year since the beginning of the United Nations, and we’re going to have to step up.

While Beasley said the pandemic and government lockdown policies are driving the disturbing trends – stating the “cure could be worse than the disease because of the economic ripple effect” – he noted that “man-made conflict” also had a role to play, naming ongoing wars in Syria, Yemen and South Sudan.

“We’ve got to end some of these wars. We’ve got to bring these wars to an end, so we can achieve the sustainable development goals that we so desire,” he said, dubbing the conflicts, health crisis and looming famine as “icebergs in front of the Titanic.”

If we’re strategic and put the funds to these particular icebergs before us, I believe that we can get through 2021, while we work with the vaccines and rebuild the economies.

In August, the WFP head said the number of people facing malnutrition could spike by 80 percent by the end of the year, warning of a “famine of biblical proportions” as millions risk starvation. UNICEF, meanwhile, predicted in May that, in 118 low and middle-income nations, 1.2 million children under the age five could die in the following six months, pinning the surge on declining access to medical care “due to lockdowns, curfews and transport disruptions.”
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 11:49| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2020年12月03日

ハンガリーのLGBTQ権利運動の取り締まりに主要な役割を果たしていた政治家がその種のパーティ参加の現場を押さえられる

この事件はタブロイド紙の恰好なネタですが、ハンガリーの首相が率いる保守的な党の大義名分と反するためにオルバンも困惑しているようです。いくつか関連の記事が出ています。

RT2020/12/2
Orban lashes out at Hungarian MEP’s ‘gay gang bang’ in Brussels, calling it ‘indefensible’ & ‘incompatible with values’
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has described the conduct of MEP Jozsef Szajer – caught in an apparent gay orgy in Brussels – as “incompatible with our values,” after Szajer resigned from Orban’s conservative Fidesz party.

Szajer resigned from his post on Sunday, two days after police in Brussels raided a male-only orgy for breaking lockdown rules and found the MEP shimmying down a drainpipe away from the 25-man party. He issued an apology on Tuesday, calling his “misstep”“strictly personal.”

Szajer then quit Fidesz altogether, party leader Viktor Orban told the Hungarian Magyar Nemzet newspaper on Wednesday.

“The actions of our fellow deputy, Jozsef Szajer, are incompatible with the values of our political family,” Orban told the paper. “We will not forget nor repudiate his thirty years of work, but his deed is unacceptable and indefensible.”

Fidesz is a right-wing party, and prides itself on its commitment to Christian and family values. Homosexuality is not outlawed in Hungary, but same-sex marriage is forbidden. Szajer himself helped draft Hungary’s new constitution in 2011, which explicitly defined marriage as being between a man and a woman. An amendment introduced last month ensured that only straight couples could adopt children.

businessinsider2020/12/2
An anti-gay Hungarian politician has resigned after being caught by the police fleeing a 25-man orgy through a window
Adam Payne7 hours ago

・An ally of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban resigned from the European Parliament after attending what was described as a 25-man orgy in Brussels.
・Jozsef Szajer quit as an MEP on Sunday and later said he was present at a "private party."
・The police found Szajer and 24 other naked men at the gathering, including diplomats, local reports said.
・Szajer played a key role in the Orban government's crackdown on LGBTQ rights in Hungary.

ハンガリーの反ゲイの政治家が、25人の乱交パーティーから窓から逃げたところを警察に捕まり、辞職しました。
・ハンガリーのビクター・オルバン首相の盟友が、ブリュッセルでの25人の乱交パーティーに出席した後、欧州議会から辞職した。
・ヨズセフ・サジャーは、日曜日に欧州議会議員として辞職し、後に彼は "プライベートパーティー "に出席していたと述べました。
・警察はSzajerと外交官を含む他の24人の裸の男性の会合を見つけたと 地元のレポートは言った.
・サジャーは、ハンガリーのLGBTQの権利に対するオルバン政府の取り締まりで重要な役割を果たした。

・・・

この集まりは、新コロナウィルス以前には別に問題はなかったんでしょうが、新コロナウィルス対策のロックダウンで集まりが取り締まられたためなのでしょう。LGBTQのQはクエスチョニング(Questioning)のQとか言われます。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 15:04| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

タリバンとアフガン政府の直接交渉が予備的な合意に

RT2020/12/2
Afghan govt & Taliban reach preliminary deal paving way for peace talks
The Afghan government and representatives of the Taliban have jointly announced reaching a preliminary deal to push on with peace talks, which could precede discussions on a political roadmap for both parties.

右端に向こうを向いて立っているのはタリバンのスポークスマン、座っている白いひげの人がポリティカルチーフではないでしょうか。握手している右側の人はタリバンの共同創設者の一人でしょう。
The first written agreement between the two sides marks a breakthrough after 19 years of war. "The procedure, including its preamble of the negotiation, has been finalized and from now on, the negotiation will begin on the agenda," said Nader Nadery, a member of the Afghan government's team for the talks.

Muhammad Naeem, a representative of the Taliban political office in Doha, Qatar, posted the same statement on his Twitter account, while the spokesman for the militant group, Zabihullah Mujahid, retweeted it.

Kabul and the Taliban have held discussions encouraged by the United States for months in Doha, but in Afghanistan, Taliban fighters continue attacking government forces.

US Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation Zalmay Khalilzad welcomed the move announced on Wednesday as a "significant milestone," and explained that the document agreed in Doha codifies "rules and procedures for their negotiations on a political roadmap and a comprehensive ceasefire."

The breakthrough means that "the negotiating parties can agree on tough issues," Khalilzad tweeted, adding that "rapid progress on a political roadmap" is now needed.

During the preliminary stages of negotiations, the Taliban refused to agree to a ceasefire, and the group dismissed the document's preamble last month because it mentioned the Afghan government, which the militants see as puppets of Washington.

However, the insurgents concluded a peace deal with the US on February 29, and it set in motion a withdrawal of all US and NATO troops from Afghanistan by May 2021.

The Taliban, which was ousted from power in Afghanistan by US-led forces in 2001, also said in early November that it expects projected US president-elect Joe Biden to stick to this peace agreement aimed at ending the war.

aljazeera2020/9/16
When the Taliban came face-to-face with the Afghan government

After nearly 20 years of war, peace talks between the Afghanistan government and the Taliban have started in Qatar.

左側がアフガン政府、右側がタリバンです。


タリバンの交渉団。黒いチョッキに個人ごとに柄の違うターバン。これはこれで洗練されていると感じます。






Al Jazeera 23 Sep 2020
Exclusive: Jurisprudence, inclusivity slow down Afghan talks
By Osama Bin Javaid

アフガニスタンの内戦は20年続きました。タリバンがどうやってアフガン解放に結束し続けられたのか。最後は暴力を含めた力の対決、それはイスラム世界だけのことではないと認識させられます。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 14:24| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2020年12月02日

イランの上級司令官がシリア、イラク国境でドローンで殺害される イランは否定

RT2020/11/30
Senior Iranian commander killed in drone strike on his car near Iraqi-Syrian border – reports
A senior commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps was killed in a drone strike near the Syrian-Iraqi border Sunday night, according to reports, just two days after the assassination of Iran’s top nuclear scientist.

The IRGC commander and three of his escorts reportedly died after his car was struck by an unmanned aerial vehicle near the border, according to multiple media outlets citing Iraqi officials.

The drone strike is said to have targeted the senior commander after he had entered Syria via the Al Qaim border crossing from Iraq.

There were also reports that the men’s bodies had been transferred to the Iraqi capital Baghdad. Iran has not confirmed or denied any of the reports.

The alleged attack comes after leading Iranian nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh was shot dead on Friday north of Tehran, with Iranian officials blaming Israel for his assassination.

Speaking at a funeral procession for Fakhrizadeh on Monday, Iran’s Defense Minister Brigadier General Amir Hatami said the crime would not go unanswered.

On January 3, the US killed Iranian General Qassem Soleimani, leader of the Quds Force, in a drone strike shortly after he left Baghdad Airport, claiming that he had plotted attacks against America.

The incident marked the start of a severe escalation in tensions between Tehran and Washington, and Iran retaliated by launching a series of strikes on US forces based in Iraq.

RT2020/12/1
‘Seems to be fake news’: Iran’s foreign ministry denies that senior IRGC commander was killed in drone strike on Iraq-Syria border
Iran’s foreign ministry has apparently denied reports that a senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander and three of his escorts were killed in a drone strike on their car near Iraq’s border with Syria.

“It seems to be fake news,” ministry spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh said in a press briefing on Tuesday in Tehran. He added that he was unaware of the reports regarding the drone strike and directed further questions to Iran's military.

The commander was identified as Muslim Shahdan in some reports on Monday. Two Iraqi officials reportedly told Reuters that the commander's vehicle was struck on Sunday, shortly after crossing into Syria from Iraq at Al Qaim with a load of weapons. There was no claim of responsibility for the alleged drone strike.

The reports came less than one week after Iran's top nuclear scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, was assassinated on Friday while his convoy of bullet-proof vehicles was driving to Absard, east of Tehran.

Accounts of the incident shifted sharply on Sunday, with the semi-official Fars news agency saying Fakhrizadeh was shot with a remotely operated machine gun. Previous reports indicated that the convoy was ambushed by a 12-person commando team, which was backed by a 50-person logistics group that infiltrated Iranian security services.

2020年11月29日
トランプ大統領の「微妙な」時期の「イランに対する米国の攻撃の可能性」にイスラエル軍が備える–報告
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 16:17| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

豪州と中国の緊張高まる 幼い豪州側

この絵は、中国の若い画家がCGで描いたものです。中国の若い人たちが多彩な才能を発揮し始めています。


※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/12/1のツイート
「問題の絵を描いたウーヘチレンです。モリソン首相がボクにも謝罪を要求している。同情するけど、彼は自国のことに努力すべき。軍の規律を高め二度とこのような悲劇が起こらないように。また返答の絵を描きます」
中国で人気のアーティスト「ウルフ・ウォリアー」。若い!



※ Martin Jacques@martjacques氏の2020/11/30のツイート
What is Scott Morrison's outrage really about? The photo? I think not. What really offends him is that he doesn't think the Chinese have a right to comment on the murderous behaviour of Australian special forces in Afghanistan.

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/12/1のツイート
何を言っている! オーストラリア軍がアフガンの14歳の少年2人を殺し首を切り、遺体を川に捨てたのは事実。軍調査官の報告が出た。それにショックを受けた中国のアーティストが、この画を描き戦争犯罪に抗議。スコット・モリソンは、画像だから捏造とミスリーディングし、責任を逃れようとしている! https://twitter.com/HiroshiMatsuur

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/12/1のツイート
日本は戦慄すべき。このオーストラリア首相スコット・モリソンが14日間の検疫も覚悟で、突然来日し、安全保障協定を結ぼうと言ってきた。こんな戦争犯罪の軍が同じアジア人である日本の領土に上陸したら何をするか! 戦後直後、上陸した米軍とともに日本人女性をレイプしまくったオーストラリア軍

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/12/1のツイート
彼らはタリバンも市民も人間と思っていません。タリバンを殺害し、その勝利感をこのような形で表現するのです。米軍もやっています。戦争は、人を人間でなくします。もう20年間もアフガンの人を苦しめている。撤退させるべきです。 https://twitter.com/Una_zucca/stat

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/11/30のツイート
オーストラリア軍兵士が、オーストラリアの動物とアフガンの子どもをどのように扱うか?
真実を暴かれ、中国を猛攻撃するスコット・モリソン。それを後押しするBBC! 欧米のモラルと人間性! このオーストラリアとの議論で中国を全面支持すべきだ。レイプされ殺されても抗議できない歴史が長すぎた https://twitter.com/NaseebZadran0/

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/11/30のツイート
首相スコット・モリソンが、オーストラリアの兵士がアフガンの子供を殺したことを示すツイートについて、中国に謝罪を要求した。中国外務省の報道官ヒュア・チュンインはモリソンの要求を拒否し、オーストラリアはアフガニスタンの民間人を殺害したことを恥じるべきだと述べた。

※ Global Times@globaltimesnewsの2020/11/30のツイート
China state-affiliated media
When responding to a question about Australia's "demand for apology" over diplomat's tweet, Chinese FM asked Australia:
- Isn't it the Australian govt that dispatched troops to Afghanistan?
- Shouldn't the Australian govt feel ashamed over its soldiers' killing of civilians?

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/11/30のツイート
オーストラリアの税金を使ったASPIが、新疆の人権侵害のデマを際限なく報告。その後、中国はオーストラリア軍がアフガニスタンで行った真実の人権侵害を投稿した。

※ Syrian Girlリマインダーリボンシリア国旗@Partisangirl氏の2020/11/30のツイート
Scomo’s reaction to China’s photoshoot depicting warcrimes was more emotionally charged than his reaction to actual the warcrimes. Psychology today says Angry is a way that many people conceal shame. #auspol

※ Syrian Girlリマインダーリボンシリア国旗@Partisangirl氏の2020/11/30のツイート
The image China tweeted about Australia isn't "fake" or "doctored" because it's a depiction. They're not saying this is an actual photo. What's actually fake is babies in incubators, children overboard, Syria chemical attacks. What's real is Australian soldiers shot civilians.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 16:05| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

救急医はユダヤ人、運ばれてきた急患はネオナチの入れ墨

救急医がユダヤ人、運ばれてきた急患はネオナチの入れ墨というケースで懸命に治療に当たる救急医の心情が綴られています。米国人の人種差別やネオナチの受け止め方がわからないと日本語訳が難しい。

※ Taylor Nichols, MD@tnicholsmd氏の2020/11/30のツイート
He came in by ambulance short of breath. Already on CPAP by EMS. Still, he was clearly working hard to breathe. He looked sick. Uncomfortable. Scared.

As we got him over to the gurney and his shirt off to switch a a hospital gown, we all noticed the number of Nazi tattoos. 1/

He was solidly built. Older. His methamphetamine use over the years had taken its usual toll and his teeth were all but gone.

The swastika stood out boldly on his chest. SS tattoos and other insignia that had previously been covered by his shirt were now obvious to the room. 2/

“Don’t let me die, doc.” He said breathlessly as the RT switched him over from CPAP by EMS to our mask and machine.

I reassured him that we were all going to work hard to take care of him and keep him alive as best as we could. 3/

All of us being a team that included a Jewish physician, a Black nurse, and an Asian respiratory therapist.

We all saw. The symbols of hate on his body outwardly and proudly announced his views. We all knew what he thought of us. How he valued our lives. 4/

Yet here we were, working seamlessly as a team to make sure we gave him the best chance to survive that we could. All while wearing masks, gowns, face shields, gloves. The moment perfectly captured what we are going though as healthcare workers as this pandemic accelerates. 5/

We exist in cycle of fear and isolation. Fear of getting sick on the front lines. Fear of bringing a virus home and exposing our families. Fear of the developing surge of patients. Fear of losing our colleagues. Fear of not having what we need to take care of patients. 6/

And isolation because we don’t want to be responsible for spreading the virus, knowing that we are surrounded by it on a daily basis. Isolation because no one else can truly understand this feeling, these fears, the toll of this work. But we soldier on. 7/

Unfortunately, society has proven unwilling to listen to the science or to our pleas. Begging for people to take this seriously, to stay home, wear a mask, to be the break in the chain of transmission. 8/

Instead, they’ve called the pandemic a hoax, called us liars and corrupt, told us we are being too political by worrying about patients dying and trying to save lives.

They’ve stopped caring about our lives, our families, our fears, worried only about their own. 9/

He was already on high respiratory support and still working hard to breathe so I asked him about his code status and if he would want to be intubated, knowing that was all but inevitable and before the hypoxia made him more confused and unable to answer. 10/

He said that if a breathing tube was the only way he could survive, he wanted us to do everything we could. So we would. We were out of other options by this point, so we prepared. 11/

I’ve faced these situations countless times since medical school. Not the intubation - which is routine at this point for me and my team. The swastikas. The racist patients. Every single time I feel a bit shaken, but I went into this job wanting to save lives... 12/

... and every single time I’ve been able to smoothly and quickly move though those emotions to do so. “They came here needing a doctor, and dammit Taylor, you’re a doctor” is a mantra I’ve repeated to myself when I feel like my empathic core wanes. 13/

As I stepped out of the room to gear up for a high risk procedure and grab equipment, I checked my PPE. I had my N95, face shield, gown, gloves. Was I safe? Was my team safe? I pause to check and make sure I had all my equipment and backups if needed. 14/

I run through the meds and plan with the nurse and RT. I pause. I see the SS tattoo and think about what he might think about having Jewish physician taking care of him now, or how much he would have cared about my life if the roles were reversed. 16/

For the first time, I recognize that I hesitated, ambivalent.

The pandemic has worn on me, and my mantra isn’t having the same impact in the moment. All this time soldiering on against the headwinds, gladiators in the pit.

And I realize that maybe I’m not ok. End/
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 11:30| Comment(3) | 国際・政治

2020年11月29日

スパイはこう養成される

FARSNEWS2020/11/26
Iran Swaps Israel's Spy with 1 Businessman, 2 Nationals
TEHRAN (FNA)- Iran announced on Wednesday that it has swapped a businessman and two Iranian citizens who were detained abroad on baseless charges with a dual national spy working for the Israeli regime.

In September 2018, Iran declared detention of a 31-year-old woman, Kylie Moore Gilbert, who was an Australian-British national described by foreign media as a researcher, Islamologist and university professor.

Kylie had traveled to all the important countries of the West Asian region, including Iran, Egypt, Syria, Iraq, Bahrain, Kuwait, etc., as a university professor and researcher on Shiism. In these trips she participated in scientific and religious forums and had contacts with the cultural and religious figures of these countries.

Kylie was born in Australia in 1987 and is a dual Australian-British citizen. She was born into a Christian family, but later converted from Christianity to Judaism due to her job.

She was disinterested in higher education until, at the age of 25, her acquaintance with an Israeli named Roy Binkowins and her special characteristics and talents draw attention of Israeli military intelligence service. The service sent her to London to study "Asia, the Middle East and Israel" at the University of Cambridge, and she was under supervision of the Israeli intelligence service during the study.

Aman, Israel's military intelligence service, has been monitoring Kylie over the years, changing her major for its own purposes, forcing Kylie to pursue a degree in 'Islamic and Middle Eastern Studies'.

Kylie found herself unfamiliar with the field and tended to use her own methods to spy on and gather information. But Aman convinced her that she needed a special cover to approach certain figures, and that the best cover for her is university education and scientific research on Islamic and Middle Eastern issues.

With Kylie staying longer in London, she first started working as a hotel employee with guests from Arab countries to develop her contacts. Also she wanted to get more acquainted with the cultural atmosphere of Islamic countries.

During this time, Aman put Kylie under specialized intelligence training and turned her into a qualified service agent.

After completing the training, Kylie became fluent in Hebrew, Arabic and Japanese, and traveled to Israel for specialized training and completing her military training at a barracks. She then converted from Christianity to Judaism.

The service also arranged an organizational marriage for her and chose a Zionist soldier named Ruslan Hodorov as Kylie's husband.

Kylie's training theory courses ended, and she joined Israeli agencies as an intelligence trainee to prepare for formal intelligence missions. Presence in Syria was Kylie's first mission to conduct intelligence and espionage operations.

After returning from Syria and in the next stage, she was in charge of interrogating some Iranian immigrants and prisoners in order to improve her knowledge of Iran and Iranians in addition to completing interrogation and cover-up training.

Her new mission was to address Iran's nuclear and economic issues, specially how to bypass sanctions, as well as issues related to the axis of resistance. Therefore, in order to maintain coverage and justify further actions, Aman required Kylie to continue her doctoral studies in Islamic and Middle Eastern studies.

Kylie's special training course for the Iranian mission took two years, during which she became fluent in Persian. Kylie, who, in theory, was ready for intelligence operations in the geography of the Islamic Republic of Iran, came to Iran in research and academic disguise, creating a study opportunity to participate in the University of Religions.

During her first visit to Iran, she did not take any action and left the country after a short time. On the second trip, she entered Iran at the recommendation of the Israeli service during Muharram (a lunar month in which the Shiites mourn the martyrdom of their third Imam).

Kylie traveled to various cities in line with her mission to gather information. Unaware of Iran's intelligence superiority, Kylie traveled to religious and tourist sites to look like a tourist in Iran.

This time, Kylie tried to get in touch with some figures and targets and tried to gain access to the economic and military intelligence of Iran and the Resistance Front but she was identified by the Iranian intelligence forces and arrested.

She was sentenced to 10 years in prison for acting against national security through intelligence cooperation with the Zionist regime, and after 2 years, the Islamic Republic finally decided to swap her with three Iranian economic activists who had been detained in foreign states with baseless allegations of trying to bypass sanctions against Iran.

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 16:36| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

サウジのリヤドで爆発事件

サウジの首都での爆発事件。ガス爆発などの事故なのか、それともテロなのか、まだ情報がありませんが、後者だとすればとうとう来たかという感じです。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 10:57| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2020年11月27日

New Daesh leader worked with US, new documents reveal

New Daesh leader worked with US, new documents reveal

Friday, 20 November 2020 11:31 AM [ Last Update: Friday, 20 November 2020 11:36 AM

New documents reveal that Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Quraishi, the new leader of the Daesh terrorist group, had been cooperating with US intelligence elements.

According to the newly declassified documents, the new Daesh commander has betrayed dozens of fellow Daesh terrorists in Iraq.

According to Iraq’s Al-Forat news, during an interrogation in 2008, al-Quraishi provided the Americans with confidential information about terrorist elements.

At that time, he was detained by US forces in Camp Bucca prison in southern Iraq where he met Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the former Daesh leader who allegedly killed himself last year.

Out of 66 reports of al-Quraishi’s interrogations conducted by the Pentagon, only three documents have been declassified.

According to these documents, al-Quraishi had accepted to cooperate with the US intelligence service, giving the names of 88 fellow terrorists to the Americans.

He had also disclosed information about his group’s abduction and terror operations, but denied any involvement in the 2003 attacks against foreign forces in Iraq.

His confessions also shed more light on how Daesh was established and how it could reinforce itself following the increase in the number of American troops in Iraq in 2007 and 2008.

US knows ‘exactly’ who new Daesh leader is: Trump
US President Trump says Washington knows "exactly" who the Daesh terror group

The Daesh terrorist group was vanquished in Iraq and Syria and lost all of its urban bastions in both Arab countries, but its remnants carry out sporadic attacks both on government soldiers and civilians.

The group’s leader, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, was allegedly killed in a US raid in northern Syria last month when he detonated his explosive vest after being cornered in a tunnel by approaching American Special Forces.

Daesh later confirmed his death and named Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Quraishi as the new leader.

この記事はよくわからない。時間的な関係が少しおかしいように見える。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:53| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

US army data on civilian harm in war against ISIL questioned

US army data on civilian harm in war against ISIL questioned

Withholding of more precise data raises eyebrows as rights groups remain sceptical of geographic coordinates in densely-populated areas.

By
Sofia Barbarani
27 Nov 2020

Erbil, Kurdish region of northern Iraq – Rights groups and charities have raised questions over the United States military coordinates of civilian harm in Iraq and Syria released last week by the United Kingdom-based watchdog, Airwars.

In a data-sharing agreement hailed by the non-profit as a “groundbreaking decision by the US-led Coalition”, Airwars made public the geographic coordinates of 341 confirmed incidents of civilian harm and roughly 1,400 civilian deaths since the war against ISIL (ISIS) started six years ago.

During the campaign to retake the ISIL-occupied territories in Iraq and Syria, the battles for Mosul and Raqqa marked the height of destruction and civilian casualties.

Airwars estimated that more than 13,000 non-combatants were confirmed killed in the campaign due to the coalition’s actions since 2014. The coalition puts that number at just 1,410.

Once prominent commercial and cultural centres in the region, the two cities were razed to the ground by coalition air raids in the name of liberation. According to the United Nations, much of the old city of Mosul and 70 percent of Raqqa were destroyed.

The data provided by Airwars states that 70 of the 341 credible incidents have been pinpointed to an accuracy of one square metre (10.8 square feet), leaving little margin for error. The remaining 271, however, are accurate to within 100sq m (1,076sq ft).

“The coalition has the one metre squared coordinates of all events it has deemed credible, though more recently has chosen to withhold publicly that more precise data. We don’t know why and it’s for OIR to explain their reasoning,” Airwars director Chris Woods told Al Jazeera.

OIR refers to the Combined Joint Task Forces – Operation Inherent Resolve, as the US-led coalition against ISIL is officially known.

In an air campaign that has been described by the British Foreign Office as “the most precise in history of warfare”, the withholding of more precise data has raised eyebrows.

“Either the coalition doesn’t have the specific coordinates of the buildings it bombs, which would be very concerning, or they do have them and we presume they do, so why are they not providing them?” asked Amnesty International’s senior crisis adviser, Donatella Rovera.

“It has to do with liability, with not wanting to take responsibility.”

Devil in the details: Activists

In populated areas such as Raqqa and Mosul, 100 metres (328 feet) “could be the distance between a legitimate military target and a school or an apartment building,” said Iain Overton of the London-based explosive violence monitoring charity, Action on Armed Violence (AOAV).

While Amnesty’s Rovera does not dismiss the Airwars findings, she argues that “unless the data is accurate, you won’t be able to do much with it at all”.

Over the years, rights groups and watchdogs have worked on the ground and provided the coalition with the precise coordinates of their air raids.

The only known ground investigation carried out by the coalition followed the al-Jadida Mosul attack of March 2017, which killed more than 140 civilians.

“To determine whether a strike is lawful, you need to have the precise location to analyse what happened to that strike,” said Rovera. “One hundred metre radius coordinates are not useful.”

Airwars director Woods disagrees. “Even locational data to within a 100 metre box has significant value, allowing affected families to determine whether loved ones were or weren’t likely harmed in a particular event, in a particular neighbourhood.”

However, even “accuracy” could be an ambiguous term, particularly when a war takes place in dense neighbourhoods, and as was the case with ISIL, the enemy hiding among the civilian population.

“A [lawful] target might be hit but the degree to which 500 pound bombs can be accurate is misleading,” said AOAV’s Overton.

AOAV’s data on explosive weapons over a decade globally has shown that “when explosive weapons with wide area effects are used in populated areas, over 90 percent of those reported in English-language media as killed or injured have repeatedly and routinely been civilians,” said Overton. “No amount of ‘accuracy’ alters that repeated truth.”
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:30| Comment(0) | 国際・政治