キエフは敗北を認める方向に近づいている-元ロシア大統領: ずくなしの冷や水



Kiev inching closer to conceding defeat – ex-Russian president
Dmitry Medvedev cited talks about a ‘Korean scenario’ in Ukraine as evidence of a growing acceptance of “reality”
Discussions of a “Korean scenario” in Ukraine are a sign that Kiev is on the way to recognizing the reality on the ground and accepting its losses, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has said. The idea of a Korean-style division of Ukraine has been discussed by current and former officials in Kiev, who claim that this is what Russia is pursuing.

The idea that Ukraine could be divided up the way Korea was after the war in the 1950s is “for domestic consumption” and constitutes “wishful thinking,” Medvedev added, citing unnamed “propagandists” as peddling the notion.

What is notable is that “they coyly tested the statement that there can be no victory” and that “being split is the best-case scenario,” the former president said. The ‘Korean scenario’ means that a smaller, US-backed Ukraine could eventually develop to the level of South Korea while maintaining its claims over lost territories, Medvedev explained.

“In essence, this is the first step towards accepting the realities on the ground,” he said.

Korea was split into two parts after a three-year civil war, in which the opposing factions in the north and south were backed by the USSR and China, and the US respectively. Both Pyongyang and Seoul claim sovereignty over the entire Korean Peninsula, and each considers the other government to be unlawful.

Unlike South Korea, Donbass voted in a referendum to become part of Russia rather than forming a sovereign state, Medvedev said, arguing that a ‘Korean scenario’ is not feasible for Ukraine. The former president currently serves as the deputy chairman of the Russian National Security Council.

The idea was floated to the Ukrainian public last month by Medvedev’s counterpart in Kiev, Aleksey Danilov, who claimed that Russia is lobbying EU nations to accept a Korean-style split of his nation, and stated that Kiev would reject it. The Kremlin dismissed the report as a “hoax.”

This week, the Korean scenario was also brought up by Aleksey Arestovich, the former aide to the office of Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky. Speaking at an expert panel discussion on Monday, he stated that Ukraine does not have enough manpower to beat Russia on the battlefield anytime soon, and claimed that a Korean scenario may become an acceptable off-ramp for the parties involved.

Like Danilov before him, Arestovich claimed that Russia is seeking this type of outcome, while noting that the Western nations which Kiev depends upon “think the same way.”
ドミトリー・メドヴェージェフは、ウクライナにおける「朝鮮半島シナリオ」についての話し合いを、"現実 "を受け入れつつあることの証拠として挙げた。






このアイデアは先月、キエフにいるメドベージェフのカウンターパート、アレクセイ・ダニロフ氏によってウクライナ国民に流された。同氏は、ロシアがEU諸国に韓国式の国家分裂を受け入れるよう働きかけていると主張し、キエフがそれを拒否すると述べた。クレムリンはこの報道を "デマ "と断じた。



Kremlin rubbishes ‘hoax’ about Korea-style Ukraine split plan
Reports that a Russian presidential aide has talked to the EU about freezing the conflict are not true, Moscow says

The allegation that Russia has been secretly negotiating an end to the Ukraine conflict along the lines of how the Korean War ended is false, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated on Monday.

The Russian official described as a “hoax” last week’s reports in Ukraine that Dmitry Kozak, the deputy head of Russia’s presidential administration, was involved in a clandestine diplomatic mission to resolve the Ukrainian conflict.

Aleksey Danilov, the head of Ukraine’s national security council, claimed during a TV interview last week that Kozak “got into action” and was holding meetings with European officials “to force us to sign” a peace deal. He stated that Russia wanted to partition his country the way the Korean Peninsula was split in 1953, after its three-year-long devastating armed conflict. Kiev will not accept any such deal, Danilov declared.

Peskov suggested that whatever contacts between Kozak and EU officials Danilov was referring to may have involved a different person by the same surname, possibly a Ukrainian MP.

Taras Kozak is a Ukrainian politician elected to the country’s parliament in 2019 and attached to the faction of the Opposition Party - For Life bloc. The party has come under repeated attacks by the government of President Vladimir Zelensky for supposedly having a pro-Russia agenda, but its members have insisted they are victims of political persecution.

In early 2021, the Ukrainian security council imposed personal sanctions against Kozak and the head of the party, Viktor Medvedchuk. In May of the same year, both were charged with state treason for allegedly handing over Ukrainian secrets to Russia.

Kozak reportedly fled the country shortly afterwards. Medvedchuk was put under house arrest, reportedly went on the run last year, but got captured and was later included in a prisoner swap with Russia. Kiev seized the assets owned by both men.

Russia sent troops into Ukraine on February 24, 2022, citing Kiev’s failure to implement the Minsk agreements, designed to give Donetsk and Lugansk special status within the Ukrainian state. The protocols, brokered by Germany and France, were first signed in 2014. Former Ukrainian president Pyotr Poroshenko has since admitted that Kiev’s main goal was to use the ceasefire to buy time and “create powerful armed forces.”

Shortly before the hostilities broke out, the Kremlin recognized the Donbass republics as independent states and demanded that Ukraine officially declare itself a neutral country that will never join any Western military bloc. Last September, Donetsk and Lugansk, as well as Kherson and Zaporozhye Regions, were incorporated into Russia following referendums.








ロシアは2022年2月24日、キエフがドネツクとルガンスクにウクライナ国家内の特別な地位を与えるために作られたミンスク協定を履行していないとして、ウクライナに軍隊を派遣した。ドイツとフランスが仲介したこの議定書は、2014年に初めて署名された。ウクライナのピョートル・ポロシェンコ前大統領はその後、キエフの主な目的は、停戦を利用して時間を稼ぎ、"強力な武装勢力を生み出すこと "だったと認めている。

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:49| Comment(0) | ウクライナ
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