欧州冬の陣

「カラカスも欧州向け石油を停止。アルジェリアも批判を躱す事由でこれ以上のガス供給はできないと通告。外堀から内堀へ埋められ始めた西欧は、��欧州冬の陣�≠ﾆ化し、石油・ガス窮乏に躁る人心は、電気ストーブ購いに殺到。送電網破裂の現実味が増大している」

— DULLES N. MANPYO (@iDulles) August 15, 2022

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Germany’s business model is broken – vice chancellor
The country must swallow “bitter medicine” after years of cheap Russian energy, the economy minister explains

German Economy and Climate Action Minister Robert Habeck threw out the country’s entire business model on Monday, saying it relied on cheap energy imports from Russia that will never return.

The vice chancellor’s comments came during his announcement of a special tax on natural gas, intended to redistribute the impact of energy shortages between companies and the general population.

“Germany developed a business model that was largely based on dependence on cheap Russian gas,” Habeck told reporters in Berlin, noting that this also meant dependence on an “enemy” of international law, “liberal democracy and its values.”

“This model has failed and it is not coming back,” he said.

Because Russia has “arbitrarily” interrupted gas deliveries to the EU, Habeck claimed, Germany needs to “rescue companies that have got into difficulties and have to bear that as a national economy,” calling it “bitter medicine” that has to be taken in the process.

“This tax is the fairest possible way to distribute and bear the additional costs that have accrued among the population. The alternative is not no tax. The alternative would have been the collapse of the German energy market and with it, large parts of the European energy market,” Habeck argued.

On Monday, an association of gas pipeline operators settled on a tax of 2.4 euro cents per kilowatt hour, which will take effect in October and run through April 2023. According to estimates published by Reuters earlier in the day, the tax will run a typical household about €500 ($508) per year.

Habeck said that 12 importers have applied for relief so far, and will get about €34 billion ($34.7 billion) in bailouts, accounting for 90% of their additional costs.

“All measures have consequences and some of them are also impositions. But they lead to us being less susceptible to blackmail and thus being able to decide on our energy supply independently of Russia. And thus, in the end, we can also act sovereignly in terms of foreign and security policy,” he told reporters.

Germany has long relied on Russian natural gas to fuel its manufacturing industry. This model has taken one blow after another over the past several years, however, between Covid-19 lockdowns that disrupted international trade, Habeck’s Green Party bringing its climate-change agenda to the ruling coalition, and EU embargoes against Russia on account of the conflict in Ukraine.

Russia has pledged to fulfill all outstanding gas contracts, but Germany has not made long-term commitments in part due to environmentalist concerns, leaving Berlin with the skyrocketing prices on the spot market. German authorities refused to certify Nord Stream 2, a fully finished pipeline under the Baltic Sea that was supposed to double the volume of direct Russian imports, even before the conflict in Ukraine escalated in February.

「西欧には残された時間はない。独はオタワとのエネルギー供給協議にも失敗。断崖絶壁に立った。英はさらに阿鼻叫喚をこれから迎え、南欧諸国も60~80%のエネルギー高騰が社会を直撃し、ジリ貧の諸当局は着の身着のまま飛び出す光景を呈して、昨日のトルコ・ギリシャ間の衝突になどやぶれかぶれ化」

— DULLES N. MANPYO (@iDulles) August 23, 2022