世界で食糧危機になる　ロシアは豊作: ずくなしの冷や水
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2022年05月20日

世界で食糧危機になる　ロシアは豊作


Number of EU country’s farms at risk of closure revealed
Italian agro-producers can’t keep up with soaring production costs
Nearly 100,000 Italian farms are on the verge of closure due to skyrocketing production costs brought about by the conflict in Ukraine, major farming association Coldiretti said in a report this week.

According to the group, growing production costs far exceed what is being paid to farmers and breeders for their products, from milk to fruit, meat and vegetables.
More than one farm in 10 (11%) is therefore on the verge of closure, while about one-third of the nation’s total (30%) are working in conditions of negative profits, Coldiretti explains, citing data from Italian agricultural research organization Crea.

The group notes that prices have been growing on nearly every raw material used by agro-producers: from energy to diesel, fertilizers, fodder for animals and seeds.

Another problem is the gap between the final price of products and what the farmers are getting after transportation and processing. According to Coldiretti, for every euro spent by consumers on food products, only between six and 15 cents go to farmers. The price of bread, for instance, is now nearly 13 times the cost of wheat.

The group does not propose any solutions to the problem, but paints a dramatic scenario in which the closure of farms would lead to a decrease in crops and force the country to depend even more on agricultural imports. Italy already buys 64% of its grain abroad, as well as 49% of beef and 38% of pork. It also imports over half the corn crops and a third of the soy crops required for animal nutrition, according to the Centro Studi Divulga. And these figures, analysts say, may soon rise dramatically.

・・・・・

肥料、飼料が入手できない、農機具の動力油が入手できない。ビニールハウスなどの資材が入手できない。イタリアだけでなく世界中で発生します。

ロシア、ウクライナで、今年の麦の播種ができるかどうか。世界的な食糧危機があり得ます。確実と言っていい。

［国連　２９日　ロイター］ - 国連の世界食糧計画（ＷＦＰ）のビーズリー事務局長は２９日、ウクライナ戦争について、世界の約１億２５００万人に食料を供給するＷＦＰの取り組みに打撃となる恐れがあると警告した。ウクライナが「世界の穀倉地帯からブレッドライン（食料供給を待つ人の列）になった」ためとしている。
国連安全保障理事会で、「ウクライナとその地域が壊滅的な打撃を受けるだけでなく、第２次世界大戦以降に目にしたことがないようなグローバルな影響をもたらすだろう」と指摘。ＷＦＰが購入する穀物の５０％はウクライナ産で、「われわれの活動だけでも壊滅的な打撃を受けることは想像に難くない」と述べ、「農民が最前線にいるのだ」と強調した。










UN issues drought disaster warning
Worsening water shortages in developing countries will trigger massive climate refugee crisis, report warns
Droughts have increased 29% in the space of a single generation, according to a paper the United Nations released on Wednesday, which observed that the problem is rapidly accelerating. Released to coincide with the 15th annual Conference of Parties held by the UN Convention to Combat Desertification, the “Drought in Numbers 2022” report reveals that droughts comprise just 15% of natural disasters but account for 45% of disaster-related deaths, along with an encyclopedia of other disturbing statistics.



https://t.me/rtnews/24483
Russia Set to Reap Largest-Ever Wheat Harvest
Russia is expecting a bumper crop year, including a record wheat harvest.
“A good harvest is expected this year. According to experts grain harvest can reach 130 million tons, including 87 million tons of wheat, this can become a record in the entire history of Russia,” said Putin.
Russian President blamed the western elites for the imminent threat of famine for a number of countries and stressed that the large grain harvest will allow Russia to increase supplies to the global food market.

Germany warns of ‘brutal’ global hunger
Russia’s military campaign in Ukraine is to blame, Berlin claims
Skyrocketing food prices worldwide are the result of Russia pursuing a hybrid war strategy, German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock claimed on Saturday following a G7 meeting.

However, Moscow immediately hit back by blaming Western sanctions for the spike.

“Russia made a conscious decision to turn the war against Ukraine into a ‘grain war,’” the German minister insisted. This, she alleged, is now affecting a wide range of states, especially those in Africa.

”There is a threat of brutal hunger,” she said.

“We must not be naive about this,” Baerbock warned. “It’s not collateral damage, it’s a perfectly deliberate instrument in a hybrid war that is currently being waged.”

She said the countries of the G7 wanted to look for alternative ways of delivering grain from Ukraine to the world.

Earlier in the week, the US State Department tweeted: “While Ukraine used to export up to five million tons of grain per month, shipments have all but stopped due to the Kremlin’s blockade of Ukrainian ports.” Washington claimed that such actions put “millions at risk of famine.”

Ukraine is currently unable to export about 90 million tons of agricultural products, as Russia has blocked Ukrainian ports, its Prime Minister Denys Shmygal told local media. The country produces a significant share of world food – about 27% of its sunflower seeds, 5% of its barley, 3% of its wheat and rapeseed, and 2% of its corn.

Russia is the largest exporter of wheat in the world. Although it has the ability to export grain, it also faces problems due to sanctions and its own requirements.

Responding to the German foreign minister’s comments, Moscow accused the West of causing the spike in food prices.

“Prices are rising due to sanctions imposed by the collective West under pressure from the United States. This is if we talk about the direct reason. Failure to understand this is a sign of either stupidity or deliberate misleading of the public,” Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova wrote in her Telegram channel.

According to the diplomat, the threat to Ukraine’s statehood is also the work of the West. “Ms. Baerbock’s predecessors are also involved in it, who not only interfered in the situation in this country, but modeled Ukraine’s domestic and foreign policy in manual mode,” she wrote.

Global famine likely this year – Putin aide
Washington’s attempts to take over Ukraine’s grain may lead to a food crisis, according to the Russian official

The attempt by the US to take over Ukraine’s grain reserves may spark a humanitarian crisis in the country and lead to grain shortages globally, Maksim Oreshkin, an aide to President Vladimir Putin, said on Thursday.

According to the official, a global famine could break out by this coming fall.

“It is important that in the conditions, for example, of a global famine that will occur closer to autumn, by the end of this year all over the world, Russia should not suffer, but be fully provided with food,” Oreshkin stated, as cited by RIA Novosti.

The main reason for this potential global famine, in his opinion, is the increase in the cost of wheat in the world market, which stems from Washington’s irresponsible monetary policy.

“Until about 2020, wheat prices on the world market were stable, but following the increased printing of the dollar, which started around July 2020, prices started rising sharply,” he stated, referring to Washington’s measures to curb the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the economy. However, according to Oreshkin, the Biden administration’s more recent actions are likely to worsen the situation, which is already dire.

“In fact, what America is trying to do with Ukraine now is to take out the grain reserves that Ukraine currently has in its possession – just another action that dooms Ukraine to serious humanitarian problems, but also dooms the global community to having big problems with hunger,” the official warned.

Wheat prices have shot up more than 60% this year, with the latest spike resulting from supply disruptions caused by the conflict in Ukraine and Western sanctions against Moscow. The two countries account for almost a third of the world’s wheat exports.

The situation was further exacerbated after major grain suppliers Russia, Kazakhstan, and India largely banned exports to protect their domestic food supplies.

Following the news from New Delhi, the price of wheat futures rose by 5.9% on Monday to reach an all-time high of $12.68 per bushel on the Chicago commodities exchange, before correcting slightly in the following days. In the European market, the price reached a historic high of around $461 per ton.

Russia will not export food to detriment of own market – top official
Dmitry Medvedev blamed the looming global food crisis on the “cosmic cretinism” of the West
ロシアは自国の市場を犠牲にして食品を輸出しない–最高責任者
ドミトリー・メドヴェージェフは、迫り来る世界的な食糧危機を西側の「宇宙クレチン病」のせいにした
Russia will not export food to the detriment of its own market, Deputy Chairman of Russia’s Security Council and former president Dmitry Medvedev said, adding that the West has to blame its own “cosmic cretinism” for the looming crisis.

In a lengthy Telegram post, Medvedev commented on recent statements by Western leaders about food security. As Russia and Ukraine are major wheat suppliers, accounting for some 30% of global exports, the prices have significantly grown since the launch of the Russian military offensive in the neighboring state and the subsequent sanctions imposed on Moscow by the US, the EU, the UK and some other Western nations. On Wednesday, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said that fertilizers and food products from Russia should be available to the world markets without obstacles.

Medvedev agreed that without wheat and other food supplies from Russia, the importing countries would “have a very difficult time,” especially, he noted, because, without Russian fertilizers, “only juicy weeds [would] grow” on their fields.

Russia can offer 25 mln tonnes of grain for export starting on August 1 - UN envoy
According to Nebenzya, Russia continues to remain a responsible supplier of food and energy
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 11:35| Comment(2) | 国際・政治
この記事へのコメント
　いつもありがとうございます。
コロナパンデミック騒ぎと、ウクライナ騒動は、どこか連動しているように思えます。

　人口削減。なぜかこれが命題になっているのかもしれないと思います。
そこから来れば、食糧危機、パンデミック、地域紛争、新しい疫病、さらに新しいワクチン、
ぐるぐる回せば、、動乱と人口減なのでしょうか。

　いったい何のために？
本当に人口はそんなにも多過ぎるのか。何をしたいのか。

　日本ではそういえば、
「ナチスのやり方に学べばいい」とか、
「不幸な1億2000万より、幸せな6000万人」というような台詞が
政治家から聞こえましたが、

　まさかここまで本気だとは思っていませんでした。
事実は、小説より奇なり。
Posted by るる at 2022年03月27日 21:16
スーパーの食品店頭価格は、小麦大豆原料の食品を筆頭に3月から徐々に上がっています。
4月からは確実に上がる見込みです。（そのように通知されているとのこと）

今のところ、定番定量品の上げ幅は20〜50％ですが、パッケージ変更による容量減は実質２倍ではないでしょうか。
季節変動の大きい生鮮品は動きが見えにくいですが、概ね同様かと思われます。

客筋の動向は、まだ食料よりも嗜好品や日用品の方に意識が向いているようで、食品関係の動きは激流になっていません。
（そもそも備蓄に耐える食品が少ない？）
あくまでも石油価格に連動した、当面の価格高騰であって、生産流通の障害による供給途絶までは想定されていない感じです。

まだまだ平和な？今のうちに、備蓄や供給手段が確保できるかどうかという状況にあると思われますが、どうでしょうか。
政府やメディアに騙されて呑気に構えている方々は、地獄を見るのかもしれませんし、怪しい配給を受け入れることになる？
また、ワクチンその他の原因による人口減が進めば、ある程度は量的な部分は辻褄が合わされるのかもしれません。

この状況、回復を含めても3年は覚悟した方がいいと思います、災害等でさらに悪化する可能性もありますが
しかし、何れにしても地獄ですね。
Posted by SY at 2022年03月28日 20:46
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