曖昧な「戦略的利益」のために核戦争を検討する段階になってしまったのはなぜなのか

論議の的のヤフーニュース　2021/10/13
Should the U.S. be willing to go to war to defend Taiwan?
What’s happening

For the past 70 years, Taiwan has existed in a geopolitical gray area. Internally, it governs itself like an independent nation, complete with a strong economy and thriving democratic system. But China has always insisted that the island is part of its territory, a stance that has made other world powers hesitant to recognize Taiwan’s sovereignty.

Chinese leaders have long expressed a desire to bring Taiwan, which sits about 100 miles off China's coast, back under the full control of the mainland communist government. President Xi Jinping reiterated China's commitment to “reunification” in a speech over the weekend. Xi repeatedly said he sought a “peaceful” way to bring Taiwan back into the fold, but some global affairs experts believe the threat of a military invasion is becoming increasingly likely.

For decades, the United States has pursued a policy of “strategic ambiguity” when it comes to Taiwan, building an economic and military partnership with its government while still officially recognizing China’s claim that the island is part of its territory. Part of that ambiguity involves never providing a definitive answer to the question of whether the U.S. would be willing to use military force to defend the island if China launched an invasion.

この記事に対して次の記事が批判的に検討しています。あいまいな戦略的利益などの用語で米国の世論は誘導されているとの指摘は当たっていると思います。
Yahoo! News Informs the Stupid Peasants Why the US Needs to Go to War to Protect Taiwan
Andrew Anglin • October 14, 2021 • 1,600 Words • 288 Comments • Reply

The actual appropriate headline for this article would be “A Baby’s First Guide to Why the US Must Initiate a World War in Order to Prevent Chinese Reunification.”

The article gives a quick, slanted and false outline of the situation which does not attempt to either:
Explain the Chinese position on Taiwan, or
Explain why Taiwan is important to “American interests.”

It then gives a series of quotes from supposed experts on what Joe Biden should do.

A firm commitment to defend Taiwan is the best way to prevent an invasion

“The United States needs to remove the ambiguity about whether it would come to Taiwan’s defense. Uncertainty about U.S. intentions raises the risk of war. … President Biden should declare that, though we will not support a Taiwanese declaration of independence from China, we will defend the island if it is attacked.” − Max Boot, Washington Post

The U.S. must accept it has nothing to gain from defending Taiwan

“Bluntly put, America should refuse to be drawn into a no-win war with Beijing. It needs to be said up front: there would be no palatable choice for Washington if China finally makes good on its decades-long threat to take Taiwan by force.” − Daniel L. Davis, defense priorities senior fellow, Guardian

The U.S. should maintain its noncommittal position as long as it can

“As a superpower, the United States should preserve flexibility in its global security relationships. It also is not even obvious that Taiwan’s body politic would welcome an explicit security guarantee from the United States.” − Therese Shaheen, National Review

Taiwan is too important to U.S. interests to let it be taken by the Chinese

“Abandoning Taiwan in the face of a Chinese military assault would be a monumental disaster. … The U.S. cannot afford to see a country that occupies vital strategic space in the Western Pacific subdued by Beijing.” − Hal Brands, Bloomberg

War with China would pose an existential threat to the U.S.

“Stumbling into a shooting war over Taiwan is akin to opening a Pandora’s box, and it would make the last 20 years of conflict in the Middle East look like an uneventful peacekeeping mission. A fight between Washington and Beijing could also escalate to the nuclear level, particularly if the Chinese Communist Party determines that the use of such weapons is the only thing standing in the way of a humiliating defeat.” − Daniel R. DePetris, NBC News

America has a duty to protect the free world from authoritarianism

“The United States and its allies have built and defended a rules-based system over the past 75 years that has produced unprecedented peace, prosperity, and freedom globally. I don’t want to trade that in for a world in which Americans stand by as revisionist autocracies like China gobble up neighbors by military force.” − Matthew Kroenig, Foreign Policy

The U.S. also has diplomatic tools to deter China from invading

“To further demonstrate U.S. resolve, Biden should tell Beijing that any more threats of force against Taiwan’s participation in the democracy summit will trigger immediate diplomatic recognition of Taiwan and an official statement of Washington’s new ‘One China, One Taiwan’ policy. Beijing must understand that war would mean instant Taiwan independence.” − Joseph Bosco, The Hill

The best way to defend Taiwan is through investment, not military threats

“Hyping the threat that China poses to Taiwan does Beijing’s work for it. Taiwan’s people need reasons for confidence in their own future, not just reminders of their vulnerabilities. If American policy makers want to help Taiwan, they will need to go beyond focusing on the military threat. They need to modernize the U.S.-Taiwan economic relationship, help Taiwan diversify its trade ties and provide platforms for Taiwan to earn dignity and respect on the world stage.” − Richard Bush, Bonnie Glaser and Ryan Hass, NPR

Some of those are funnier than others. The idea that a country that is force-vaccinating its population is less authoritarian than a country that is not doing that is actually so ridiculous that it borders on the deranged or outright insane.

But this is actually more anti-war material than you usually see anywhere on a mainstream website, so I guess good job with that, Yahoo!

But while they do include people saying “we really should probably think about whether or not we want to start a nuclear war,” what is lacking is a sober perspective.

Why is Taiwan even an issue?

Why are we even talking about this at all?

Not one single person in this entire media landscape will either:

Outline, in real terms, how occupying Taiwan is in “the interests of America,” or
Point out that no one will give that outline
台湾を占領することがいかに「アメリカの利益」になるかを、現実的な言葉で説明する人、あるいは
誰もその概要を説明しないことを指摘する。

You end up in a situation where no one even has any idea what we’re actually talking about.
結局、誰も私たちが実際に何を話しているのかさえ分からないという状況になってしまう。

How is it possible that we’ve reached the point where we’re considering a nuclear war over vague “strategic interests” that no one is able to explain in concrete terms?
誰も具体的に説明できない曖昧な「戦略的利益」のために、核戦争を検討する段階になってしまったのはなぜなのか。

Comments

米国の情報機関に洗脳され完全に狂っていたボケ老人トランプ前大統領は、中国との冷戦と中国への先制核攻撃しようとしていた事実があります。核戦争で米国民が中国の反撃の核攻撃で何億人死のうがおかまいなしでした。認知症のバイデン大統領も、恐ろしい人間ですよ。バカ老人は、米国を破滅に導きます。米国　爺さん狂人　万歳３。

Posted by 西　亨 at 2021年10月17日 15:08

ホラ吹き岸田総理と日本人は、敵基地攻撃能力が必要とか言つているバカですね。核戦略と軍事知識ゼロですね、日本人は米国の奴隷として生きていく以外道は、ありませんよ。北朝鮮の今日のSLBM発射試験は、核戦略の完成が目的です、地上配備のICBMは、先制攻撃用の核ミサイルです、SLBMは敵の核攻撃から生き残り報復攻撃する核ミサイルです。もうすぐ北朝鮮の核戦略は完成します、凄いですね。米国は、もう北朝鮮を核攻撃できません。ホラ吹き岸田総理　もう核戦争はありません。核戦略　万歳３。

Posted by 西　亨 at 2021年10月19日 20:29

世界の弱小国が北朝鮮を見習ってミサイル開発とドローン開発に走り出しましたね。イエメンはすごい。イランから技術を教えてもらったにしてもろくな工作機械はないはずなのによくやります。
もっとも墜落したヘリコプターの機関砲などを使ったりしていて、あの国の若者は頭は良いです。どの国であれ、まずしいからと侮ってはいけない。そういう国でも若者の目は輝いていて予期しない能力を発揮します。

Posted by ZUKUNASHI at 2021年10月19日 20:47