スウェーデンはこうなる? それより英国アドバイザーのルール違反と辞任のほうが大ニュース: ずくなしの冷や水

2020年05月21日

スウェーデンはこうなる? それより英国アドバイザーのルール違反と辞任のほうが大ニュース

※ yoͥ̊̈͋͌̆͑s̔hͯ̓͐͌ͬ́̈́̅il͆͂͋ͧͬͮo͌ͧ́ͮ̂͒̏̆̎̑̓̽̓gͫ̔̓͊͐̌ͦ@yoshilog氏の2020/5/20のツイート
3) 英ファイナンシャル・タイムズ紙に興味深い記事が載っていた。要は北欧4カ国がスウェーデン
スウェーデン国旗
の取り扱いに困ってる。デンマーク
デンマーク国旗
、フィンランド
フィンランド国旗
、ノルウェー
ノルウェー国旗
の三国は早い時期にロックダウンと国境の封鎖をして感染拡大を抑え込んだが、スウェーデンはまったく違う。
6) 先週、ラトビア、リトアニア、エストニアのバルト3国は”Travel Bubble" を形成した。つまり、その3国間では、相互に渡航を開始する - 大きな泡(Bubble)で囲い込む。
北欧4国ではそれができない。フィンランド、デンマーク、ノルウェーはスウェーデンを外して渡航の再開を検討している。
7) アウトオブコントロールだと見なされている限り、スウェーデンの本当のコストはこれから現れてくるだろう。「緩やかなソーシャルディスタンシングにより国内経済活動の収縮を最低限に抑えながら集団免疫を達成する」という理想は完全に破綻した。感染を管理できない国は他国の脅威になるからだ。
8) これは #ポストコロナ の国際関係にとって示唆的だ。世界では、コロナの初期対応をなんとかかんとか通過して、最適な再開方法を巡っての知恵比べが開催中だが、その向こうには新たな国際関係が待っている。当然、知恵比べの勝者が有利なポジションを取り、愚鈍国家の地位が下がるだろう。
11) もっと実質的な意味があるのは、中国と韓国のビジネス渡航の再開だろう。感染爆発をぶり返したい国なんてあるはずもないので、有効な感染管理をしていると信頼できる国どうしで徐々に繋がっていくだろう。
12) シンガポールとニュージーランドもその例だ。バルト3国や、北欧3−1国もその例だと言える。少数の国が開放し合って、その小さいグループどうしが繋がって、徐々に新しい国際関係図が出来ていくのだろうと思う。傍若無人なグローバリズムはもう返ってこないだろう。
13) 軍事力や経済力が国家の地位を高めるのではなく、国民の生命を守る能力が国家の信頼の源泉になるというのはとても面白いトレンドだと思う。

ロンドン インペリアルカレッジの学者Neil Fergusonが攻撃されています。ニールモリスファーガソンは、数学的生物学の教授で人間や動物における感染症の蔓延パターンを専門としているそうです。日本の8割おじさんでしたかと同じような専門のようなのですが。

次は彼の作成したスウェーデンの新コロナウィルスによる死者の予測。丸ごとゴミだと酷評されています。


※ Michael Levitt@MLevitt_NP2013氏の2020/5/6のツイート
Having to deal with UK press must be horrible for people in the line-light like @neil_ferguson. This is a very difficult area of real-time science and when you become very famous it is easy to forget that reality is more complicated than your models. Wishing him well!

※ Daniel Wirt@wirt_dan氏の2020/5/6のツイート
Or maybe we should focus on Ferguson's long-term poor record. Dr. Levitt, gave you seen what his model would predict for Sweden? (It's absurd.) Daniel Wirt M.D. @VanessaBeeley, @Ian56789, @MartinLarner, @Charlotte3003G, @PiersRobinson1, @ClarkeMicah
バネッサビーリイの名が出ています。


The spectator
Sweden tames its ‘R number’ without lockdown
スウェーデンはロックダウンなしで「R番号」を飼いならす

CNN2020/5/5
UK coronavirus advisor resigns after breaking lockdown rules
(CNN)A leading epidemiologist who advised the UK government on its coronavirus response resigned from his government post on Tuesday, after the Telegraph newspaper reported he broke the lockdown rules he helped shape.
Professor Neil Ferguson, who is based at Imperial College in London, is one of the architects of the UK government stay-at-home strategy and was a prominent member of Britain's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) which has been spearheading the coronavirus response.
The Telegraph reported Tuesday that a woman had visited his home twice despite social distancing guidelines.
テレグラフは火曜日に、女性が社会的距離のガイドラインにもかかわらず2回彼の家を訪問したと報告しました。
In a statement to CNN, Professor Ferguson said he accepted he made "an error of judgement and took the wrong course of action," and had therefore stepped back from his involvement in SAGE.
"I acted in the belief that I was immune, having tested positive for coronavirus and completely isolated myself for almost two weeks after developing symptoms," he said.
「私は免疫があると信じて行動し、コロナウイルスの検査で陽性を示し、症状が現れてからほぼ2週間、自分を完全に隔離した」と彼は言った。

"I deeply regret any undermining of the clear messages around the continued need for social distancing to control this devastating epidemic."
"The government guidance is unequivocal, and is there to protect all of us."

SPUTNIK2020/5/6
UK Leading Coronavirus Advisor Resigns After Neglecting Social Distancing
Neil Ferguson helped shape the US coronavirus stay-at-home guidelines and was a prominent member of Britain's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) which has been leading the coronavirus response.

The UK's leading epidemiologist, Neil Ferguson, has resigned after a report by the Telegraph newspaper revealed that he had accepted a woman in his house despite the anti-coronavirus lockdown.

The report claimed that a married woman had visited Ferguson's house twice, ignoring social distancing guidelines. In his statement to CNN, Ferguson admitted he made "an error of judgement and took the wrong course of action", and would therefore step down from his position at Britain's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

"I acted in the belief that I was immune, having tested positive for coronavirus and completely isolated myself for almost two weeks after developing symptoms. I deeply regret any undermining of the clear messages around the continued need for social distancing to control this devastating epidemic", he said, cited by CNN.

Ferguson also stressed that "the government guidance is unequivocal, and is there to protect all of us".

It was Ferguson who helped compile the social distancing guidelines in responce to the effects of the global coronavirus pandemic in the UK alongside SAGE.

Currently, the number of confirmed cases in the UK has topped 196,240 with a death toll of 29,501, as shown by current data collated by the Johns Hopkins University Resource Centre.

※ Charlotte Gracias@Charlotte3003G氏の2020/4/29のツイート
What questions do you have for #neilferguson
Mine is:
Did you not think it inappropriate and a conflict of interest to have links to the #GatesFoundation whilst advising the UK government on a pandemic response?

RT2020/5/20
Shameful treatment of the elderly is further proof Sweden got its Covid-19 strategy all wrong
By Marcello Ferrada de Noli, Swedish professor emeritus of public health sciences esp. epidemiology, former Research Fellow at Harvard Medical School.

With a coronavirus death rate that is among the world’s worst and shocking stories of neglect emerging from the country’s care homes, Sweden’s political and healthcare leaders have a lot to answer for.

One of the most notable features of the Covid-19 pandemic has been the different ways countries across the world have responded. This has obviously resulted in varying outcomes. Some nations have fared reasonably well. Others less so. And some, such as Sweden, have had a terrible time.

On May 14, it achieved the unenviable record of having the highest number of confirmed daily Covid-19 deaths per capita reported over a seven-day rolling period.

The chief epidemiologist at Sweden’s public health agency Anders Tegnell admitted that such a high death toll is “horrifying” – a dramatic change of tack from earlier in the crisis, when he claimed that the body count was perhaps “not the most important part.”

These results come, remember, from a country that was targeting herd immunity and, according to its ambassador to the US, Karin Ulrika Olofsdotter, believed it could be reached sometime in May in Stockholm.
Sick and dying

Besides the dramatic number of fatalities, what is emerging in Sweden is a dreadful catalog of inappropriate healthcare provided for the elderly, with sick and dying people denied resources which should be widely available.

It is worth noting that 90 percent of the total Covid-19 deaths in the country are of people aged 70 and older, and that half of these occurred in nursing homes. There is, for example, one case under investigation by prosecutors of a care home in Stockholm where over a third of the elderly who lived there reportedly died after coronavirus ran amok.

In a piece titled ‘The treatment of Sweden’s old and vulnerable is a ‘catastrophe’’, the Telegraph reports the story of a local Stockholm politician, Bjorn Branngard, who got a call from the nurse in charge of the care home where his mother was. The nurse asked him if it was ok to move his mother to another section. “Why?” inquired Branngard, “Because it’s only her and one other person who is still alive. Everyone else is dead,” she said. Eventually, his mother died too, just a few days later, said the report.

To their credit, some health workers have been prepared to speak out on the shocking treatment given to the elderly. As I reported in the Indicter, registered Nurse Latifa Lofvenberg witnessed the demise of many patients living in care homes, and told of how they were denied oxygen to aid their respiratory problems, resulting in “horrible” deaths. Her bravery in exposing this led to her being fired from her job after her comments were posted on YouTube.

Confirmation of this macabre practice was given by a respected professor of geriatric medicine, Yngve Gustafson, in an interview on TV Channel 4. He admitted, “What most often is done with the elderly at nursery homes, after deciding not to take them to the hospital, is that they prescribe palliatives usually including both morphine and midazolam. This means that one quickly suffocates the patients, because both drugs deteriorate breathing.”
Hospital complaints

But it’s not only in care homes that discriminatory healthcare behavior against the elderly been observed. It has also taken place in hospitals, according to a growing number of reports filed with the Swedish Health and Social Care Inspectorate (IVO).

These complaints surround patients denied treatment at intensive care units (ICU) at hospitals in the Stockholm Region, despite places being available (as they still are). IVO has described the reports – which also concern the Karolinska University in Solna – as “serious.”

One complaint filed with IVO was also published in the newspaper Expressen. It read: “We are concerned about the process of selection for respiratory care among patients with severe Covid-19 infection in the Stockholm region. We have repeatedly found that those patients who are deemed to be in need of respiratory care for a long time (e.g. a couple of weeks) are denied intensive care with the argument that a younger patient with better prognosis may need the place in a few days.”

According to Dr Elda Sparrelid, Stockholm Region chief physician, there is no patient data linked to the cases claimed by the filing doctors. “Therefore, it cannot be investigated whether someone received the wrong care or not,” she added.

The situation emerged after the National Board of Health and Welfare issued instructions – described in an earlier article – to handle priorities in case the ICUs reached “disaster” mode, where resources would be depleted and no longer available to all.

But Swedish hospitals have not been in that critical situation, and ICU beds have remained available. ICU head at Karolinska Hospital, Dr Bjorn Persson, admitted on May 5 that only “around 115 of the 140 available intensive care beds are currently occupied.” Nevertheless, while Chief Doctor Persson denied that patients “who had still had a chance of survival were not treated,” medical staff members gave a different account, and IVO chief lawyer Linda Almqvist admitted it initiated an investigation.
Delays in seeing doctors

Another problem has been that scores of elderly Swedes with Covid-19 have had to wait to receive health care at hospitals, or simply told to stay at home for an inappropriate length of time. Some have even died without ever getting the opportunity to see a doctor.

Further evidence of the neglect of the elderly in Sweden is the apparent determination of the local authorities to manipulate, or even cover up, the extent of the scandal. An exposure by a regional newspaper, Ekuriren, laid this bare: In eight out of nine municipalities in Sormland (south of Stockholm), it alleged that authorities “deliberately withheld the information in order to prevent media scrutiny and public transparency” regarding the number of elderly Covid-19 infected in care homes.

In summary, the management of the pandemic by the Swedish public health authorities is not only an affront to scientific epidemiology, but also compromises the medical ethics and human rights of a country that considers itself a “humanitarian superpower.” It's just as well other countries have not followed suit.


posted by ZUKUNASHI at 09:37| Comment(0) | Covid19
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