えっ テロリスト・ロンダリングじゃないですか: ずくなしの冷や水

2020年01月25日

えっ テロリスト・ロンダリングじゃないですか

すごいニュースが入ってきました。トルコがリビアに派兵すると発表した時は、これはトルコ傘下のテロリストの行き場を探しているのだとは思いましたが、リビア経由でイタリアに向かわせるという悪知恵だとは想像できませんでした。トルコから直接隣国に送り込もうとしても隣国から拒否されます。

それで裏口から送り込むことにした。ですが、テロリストの中にはアフリカ出身者がいても欧州あるいは中央アジア出身の者もいます。どうやってアフリカ出身の難民だと理屈をつけるのでしょう。

イタリアは、難民受け入れに消極的、否定的です。これまでもNGOが救助した難民の上陸を拒否しています。

それにしてもトルコは悪知恵の働く人がいる。

リビアから難民を乗せたボートや船は、シシリア島を目指します。シシリア等の海岸線はこんな感じです。これは北部のチェファルーという町です。



イタリアの国境警備隊が取り締まらなければ、いくらでも上陸できるでしょう。

さて、イタリア、欧州諸国はどう対処する。
Merkel and Erdogan’s smiles hide tough times ahead: What can we expect from EU-Turkey talks?
Damian Wilson is a UK journalist, ex-Fleet Street editor, financial industry consultant and political communications special advisor in the UK and EU.
They may be all smiles for the cameras, but the issues Angela Merkel and Recep Tayyip Erdogan are set to discuss – from Syrian refugees to Turkey’s attempts to join the EU – may stall talks and deteriorate relations even further.

And both sides have more to play for this time round than political point-scoring.

The festering wound of Syria continues to provide pain for Turkey, which already hosts 3.7 million Syrian refugees. Now the prospect of further trouble around the city of Idlib means more migrants could be heading Turkey’s way in the not too distant future as they flee the mayhem.

And while Turkey came to the rescue of a panicked EU during the last major migrant push from the war-torn hellhole that is Syria, the promises made at the time by EU leaders in order for President Erdogan to play ball have simply not been fulfilled.

So the German chancellor finds herself on the way to Ankara for talks with the Turkish hardman, a gambit the EU hopes will be more conciliatory than sending, say, Emmanuel Macron.

Because high on the list will be four questions, in no particular order: first, where is the rest of the six billion euros you promised us last time to help deal with this influx of migrants; second, what happened to the visa-free travel deal you mentioned for Turks wanting to travel to the EU; third, where are we with Turkish accession to the EU; and finally, what’s happening with the weapons exports ban?

The first issue is easy enough. Merkel just needs to make the outstanding payment guarantees that Turkey is seeking and it’s ‘job done’. After all, why let 3.7 billion euros come between friends?

As for the second matter – visa-free travel – well, that’s a tricky one. The way the EU would look at it is this: Turkey is a nation of 80 million people. What if they were all granted visa-free travel throughout Europe? We need some more time on this one.

Because that could lead to issue number three: accession to the EU. You’d think the Turks would have given up, remembering they first made their application to become an EU member back in 1987. But no, they persist.

Accession would not only bring with it trade and free movement of people, it would also see Europe’s borders moved right up to Iran, Iraq and Syria. Boris Johnson used the idea of Turkey’s EU accession as a scare tactic during the Brexit referendum. While he had to ride out the race storm that followed, there is no doubt that it was a very effective threat.

Now that London’s views don’t carry the same weight in Brussels as they once might have, don’t think there is a softening on Turkey’s accession. The idea sends a chill wind through the grey corridors of the European headquarters.

Not that anyone needs to tell Angela Merkel much about the resistance to immigration from the East. After 14 years as the first female chancellor, and with an amazing story for a modest scientist born in East Germany, it is most likely she will be remembered for opening the immigration floodgates to her country in 2015, which saw one million refugees arrive – mostly Syrian – in the largest immigration influx since WWII.

She needs to ensure the cooperation of the Turkish president to make sure that does not happen again, because that would guarantee her time in office was remembered not for her achievements, but for a catastrophic misreading of her nation’s mood.

So the final issue, of weapons exports, might be the card to play. Germany imposed the partial ban in October (despite selling it as something a bit harsher), but as arms sales to Turkey topped 250 million euros in the first half of this year and the reason for it – that the Turks would use the weapons against Kurdish fighters – is no longer an issue, perhaps lifting restrictions would provide a bit of leverage.

Erdogan knows the strength of the cards he holds. He’s already suggested in the past that he might simply unleash migrants into the EU unless their deal was honored.

Meanwhile, feelings still run high over the abrupt cancellation of political rallies organized in Germany by Turkish ministers aimed at addressing their huge immigrant communities ahead of a referendum in Turkey. That spat saw Erdogan accuse German authorities of "Nazi" tactics – not an accusation ever received lightly in Berlin.

Will these harsh words be forgotten? Most likely. Both sides have far too much at stake now to let a bit of name-calling get in the way. And while the more recent issue of Turkey’s dispatch of the Kurds in Syria is still a bone of contention, it is that issue of Syria that will actually bring the two leaders together.

As these two leaders meet, what can we realistically expect? Some conciliation over the cash payments to Turkey from the EU, most likely in a further installment of the six billion Euros. While on the money front, perhaps an easing of arms exports restrictions from Germany and maybe other EU nations.

Expect promises of further investigation into visa-free EU travel but nothing concrete for now. As for the accession to the European Union, with tiny Albania and Macedonia being knocked back on their bids to join this club and a genuine resistance to expansion evident in powerful quarters, what hope does a nation of 80 million people directly bordering some of the world’s most troubled regions realistically have of being given a dream ticket?

President Erdogan doesn’t even need to ask to know the answer there.

トルコがまた言うことを変えています。

RT 24 Jan, 2020 14:23 / Updated 17 minutes ago
Turkey sending military to train UN-backed govt’s forces in Libya – Erdogan
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said that he is sending military personnel to Libya to train the forces loyal to the UN-backed Government of National Accord.

Erdogan announced the move on Friday, days after he apparently backed off on an earlier promise to deploy ground troops to the war-torn African country. The Turkish leader told journalists on Monday that a group of military “advisers” had been sent to Libya in the troops’ stead.

The Turkish personnel will train the forces of Fayez al-Sarraj, who heads the Tripoli-based and UN-backed Government of National Accord. The GNA has been engaged in a prolonged conflict with the Tobruk-based Libyan National Army, led by General Khalifa Haftar.

Haftar’s forces are in control of most of Libya, and at one point last year threatened to overrun Tripoli. After peace talks in Berlin last weekend, a fragile ceasefire between Haftar and al-Sarraj remains in place, but no lasting agreement has yet been reached.

Though Erdogan has played a central role in peace talks alongside Russia, both in Berlin and earlier in Moscow, he has openly backed al-Sarraj, and vowed earlier this month to teach the “putschist” Haftar “a lesson,” should the LNA’s offensive on Tripoli continue.

Turkey’s intervention in the Libyan conflict drew condemnation from the EU, and from the foreign ministers of Britain, France, Germany, and Italy. In a joint statement earlier this month, the ministers said that Ankara’s “interference” was “fuelling the crisis.”

Turkey’s neighbor and regional rival Greece responded to Erdogan’s propping up of the GNA by offering to deploy forces on Haftar’s side, supposedly to monitor the implementation of the ceasefire. For its part, Athens bitterly opposes a maritime borders agreement between Turkey and the GNA, which would allow oil and gas exploration in a region of the Mediterranean it claims as its own.

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/1/23のツイート
エルドアンに言われ、シリアからリビアに入ったテロリストが、そのままイタリアに向かっている! EUが「穏健反対派」と応援してきたアルカイダ。また難民として歓迎する?
Al-Masdar News@TheArabSource
Syrian fighters abandon Libyan War, flee towards Italy: report https://is.gd/kh7ejv #Libya #Syria

AMN2020-01-21
Syrian fighters abandon Libyan War, flee towards Italy: report
BEIRUT, LEBANON (5:45 P.M.) – Some Syrian fighters that went to fight in Libya have since abandoned the war and fled to Italy, opposition media sites claimed, as cited by Al-Watan.

According to the reports, at least 17 of the Syrian fighters have already arrived in Italy after spending a short period of time inside Libya.
シリアの戦闘員17人がすでにイタリアに到着

The reports said that the Syrian fighters intentionally accepted the deployment to Libya in order to later escape into Italy.
シリアの戦闘員は、後日イタリアに逃げることを承知のうえでリビア配備を受け入れた。

According to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR), some 2,400 Syrian fighters have already traveled to Libya thus far.
これまで約2400人の戦闘員がリビアに到着。

Another 1,200 fighters from a number of factions in the Free Syrian Army (FSA) are expected to make their way to Libya in the coming weeks.
さらにFSAの戦闘員1200人が今後数週間以内にリビアに来る。

Last month, Bloomberg News released a story about Turkey offering contracts to Syrian fighters in order to help the Libyan Government of National Accord (GNA).

Since then, several fighters have been seen inside of Libya, most notably near the capital city of Tripoli

MH85@Michael_H85氏の2020/1/22のツイート
返信先:@TheArabSourceさん,@Souria4Syriansさん
Lmaooo might explain why most of them in the video of terrorists on the plane heading to Libya didn't want to show their faces. They knew they'd be abandoning ship as soon as they landed.
飛行機の中でビデオが撮影された際に彼らは顔を隠していたそうです。

Grattan Healy@Grattan_H氏の2020/1/22のツイート
返信先: @TheArabSourceさん,@ma000111さん
Finally copping on that they're just cannon fodder in someone's money-making game

※ Dennys Kassavetis@DeKassas氏の2020/1/22のツイート
返信先: @TheArabSourceさん
Oh a new ''refugee wave'' haahaha

MiddleEastResearchNews@research_east氏の2020/1/22のツイート
返信先: @TheArabSourceさん
You cant make this stuff up. Thats too hilarious!!!

トルコの説明がくるくる変わります。以下の記事では、advisor or troops or mercenaries 傭兵とはっきり述べています。

SPUTNIK2020/1/23
DAVOS, (Sputnik), Anastasia Levchenko - Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu has said that Ankara will no longer send military advisers to Libya and will instead commit to international efforts to reconcile the parties to the conflict.

"No. We all agreed that as long as truce, ceasefire is respected, nobody will send an additional advisor or troops or mercenaries from any neighboring countries … everybody committed to that," Cavusoglu said, when asked whether Turkey would send any more advisers to the conflict-torn country.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said in early January that Turkish troops were already on their way to Libya to support the internationally recognised Government of National Accord at its request. He, however, clarified on Monday that there were only military advisers on the ground.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 00:42| Comment(0) | 国際・政治
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