トルコは右往左往というしかない トルコのリゾート刑務所構想: ずくなしの冷や水

2018年09月17日

トルコは右往左往というしかない トルコのリゾート刑務所構想

米英仏は、シリアで化学兵器が使われればシリア軍を攻撃すると繰り返しています。

ロシアは、シリア軍・情報機関の協力を得てテロリスト・ホワイトヘルメットの化学兵器(塩素ガス)にかかわる動きを入念に追い、随時把握した動きを公開しています。

シリア軍は、テロリストの中の化学兵器偽旗作戦の責任者を捕らえようと追っている模様で、責任者のテロリストがトルコに逃げました。

米国は、シリア周辺に攻撃態勢を取り、ロシアが対抗して地中海で大規模演習。ロシアはシリアに新鋭対空防衛機器を供与。シリア南部では、ロシアが米軍支配下のルクバン難民キャンプにいるテロリストを精密兵器で攻撃すると通告、米軍が追加の部隊を送り込み、演習も実施。

これはロシアの情報収集用艦船。周りの小型艦船は何らかの役割を持つのでしょう。アンテナが高いです。


トルコは、言うこととやることがまったく異なり、シリア北部に部隊を追加投入。テロリストにシリア軍の攻撃に反撃するよう指示し、または呼び掛けています。

下の記事によれば、エルドアンが国際社会に向けてイドリブの攻撃をやらせないように呼び掛けたとのことです。トルコは先週テヘランでロシア、イラン首脳と会談しています。トルコが兵力増強して、シリア軍と対峙、対戦したいなら仕方がないというロシア、イランの姿勢でしょうが、この辺はベテランの政治家同士の会談ですから、本音の話は出ていないはずです。

エルドアンはイドリブで戦闘が始まるとトルコに安全保障上の問題が生ずるとしています。避難民やテロリストがトルコに流入するためですが、テロリストを集め組織したのはほかならぬトルコです。

イドリブからテロリストが掃討されるとクルドの力が強くなり、トルコへの攻撃が強まることを警戒しているのでしょう。エルドアンにとってシリアへの軍隊派遣は、何の成果もなく犠牲者を出しただけで終わる、最悪の結果とならないように動いていますが、それはもう避けられないのでは。

ロシア、シリア軍は、イドリブのテロリスト拠点を居住地から離れたところにあるものからピンポイントで攻撃しています。地下要塞はバンカー爆弾で破壊。

今の世界の注目点は、いつシリア軍がイドリブへの地上軍侵攻を開始するかです。ロシアのスポークスマンは、知らないと答えています。

今の状況は、ロシアが2年前に参戦した直後と同じような動きです。ロシアは、攻撃目標を洗い出して一つずつつぶしていきました。ドローンやミサイルの製造拠点、司令本部などを攻撃しています。テロリストに対する威圧効果ははなはだしいものがあります。これらの攻撃によりテロリストの士気が低下します。

オランダの政府は、国会議員への手紙でもうすぐアサドが勝って戦争が終わると書いたとか。でも、落ち着くまでにはまだ一山も二山もありそうです。

テロリストがエルドアンにイドリブから引き揚げたらトンネルを使ってトルコの国境近くの町レイハンルを我が物とすると警告しています。

トルコはロシアを通じてシリア軍のイドリブ侵攻を数日遅らせるよう要求しています。その間にハードコアのテロリストと「穏健な」反政府勢力を区分けするといっています。トルコは、イドリブに「穏健な」反政府勢力を温存したいと狙っています。クルドに対抗するためです。「穏健な」反政府勢力など存在せず、みなテロリストです。

エルドアンが9/17急遽プーチンに会うことになりました。

FARSNEWS2018/9/16
Turkey Plans to Force Europe Make Concessions Using Terrorists in Idlib
TEHRAN (FNA)- Ankara plans to transfer senior Tahrir al-Sham Hay'at (the Levant Liberation Board or the Al-Nusra Front) terrorist group commanders to Turkey to use their repatriation to the European and regional states as a leverage to receive concessions from them in future, Syrian media said.

The Arabic-language al-Watan newspaper quoted sources close to Tahrir al-Sham as saying on Sunday that Turkey has set up a 'resort prison' at bordering areas in Hatay and Antakiyeh provinces and has transferred a number of low-ranking Tahrir al-Sham commanders who want to leave 'Jihad' and survive to these places after the recent meeting between the Iranian, Russian and Turkish leaders in Tehran.

The report said high-ranking Tahrir al-Sham commanders and Horas al-Din and Turkistani terrorists will most likely not allow Turkey to complete its plan as Ankara has been encouraging some notorious terrorists of Tahrir al-Sham to retreat to the said border areas in a bid to show that Tahrir al-Sham is no more present in Idlib.

The sources said that Ankara wants to use the low-ranking terrorist commanders who are in the country's resort prisons in other areas of clashes as a leverage to pressure the western and regional states.

Earlier reports this month had revealed Turkey's demand from Damascus, via Russian channels, again to further delay the army's military operations in Idlib.

The Arabic-language website of Sputnik quoted informed Syrian sources as saying that Ankara has asked the Syrian army's command center, with Moscow's mediation, to provide the country with more time to separate those who it calls as "moderate dissidents" from Tahrir al-Sham and the ISIL terrorists.

Based on the report, the Turkish side has admitted dispatch of military equipment to several regions of Idlib province in the past few days, saying that if Tahrir al-Sham rejects leaving the regions occupied by the "moderate dissidents", it will use military power against them. Turkey has not mentioned where the terrorists could retreat to after leaving Idlib.

The sources said that if Syria and Russia agree with Turkey's demand, it will be the last deadline given to Ankara to act upon its undertakings based on the Astana conference.

Earlier reports said that Damascus has extended its deadline for two days upon Turkey's demand to delay military operations in Idlib province.

RT2018/9/14
Erdogan to meet Putin on Monday for Syria talks – Turkish FM
“President Erdogan will meet with Mr. Putin on Monday,” Turkey’s Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu told a televised press conference on Friday. The meeting will take place in the Russian resort city of Sochi, a senior Turkish official told AFP. Cavusoglu was speaking at a joint news conference with his Pakistani counterpart. Ankara is working to achieve a ceasefire in Syria’s rebel-held northwest and is ready for cooperation to fight terrorist groups in the Idlib area, according to Cavusoglu.

こんなニュースも
AMN2018/9/14
YPG to help Syrian gov’t recapture Idlib – Turkish Foreign Minister
BEIRUT, LEBANON (9:30 A.M.) – On Thursday, the Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu penned a response to a New York Times op-ed that was released last week.
Cavusoglu stated in the response that the U.S. should reassess who they consider their ally, while also claiming that the Washington-backed People’s Protection Units (YPG) had struck up an alliance with the Syrian government to retake the Idlib Governorate.
“New reports suggest that the Y.P.G., a terrorist group operating from Syria that has received arms and aid paid for by American taxpayers, has forged an alliance with Mr. Assad and is sending troops as part of a deal brokered in July to help him recapture Idlib from the rebels,” he wrote.
This is not the first time that a Turkish official has made this allegation; however, the YPG continues to deny Ankara’s claims.
Furthermore, there have been no signs that the YPG is in fact preparing to participate in the upcoming Idlib offensive.

FARSNEWS2018/9/12
Syrian Sources: Ankara Asks Damascus for More Delay in Idlib Operations
TEHRAN (FNA)- Syrian sources revealed Turkey's demand from Damascus, via Russian channels, again to further delay the army's military operations in Idlib.

The Arabic-language website of Sputnik quoted informed Syrian sources as saying on Wednesday that Ankara has asked the Syrian army's command center, with Moscow's mediation, to provide the country with more time to separate those who it calls as "moderate dissidents" from Tahrir al-Sham (the Levant Liberation Board or the Al-Nusra Front) and the ISIL terrorists.

Based on the report, the Turkish side has admitted dispatch of military equipment to several regions of Idlib province in the past few days, saying that if Tahrir al-Sham rejects leaving the regions occupied by the "moderate dissidents", it will use military power against them. Turkey has not mentioned where the terrorists could retreat to after leaving Idlib.

The sources said that if Syria and Russia agree with Turkey's demand, it will be the last deadline given to Ankara to act upon its undertakings based on the Astana conference.

Earlier reports said that Damascus has extended its deadline for two days upon Turkey's demand to delay military operations in Idlib province.

An Arab media outlet reported on Monday that the Turkish Army had dispatched more military equipment to Hama and Idlib provinces amid the Syrian Army's preparation for its major anti-terrorism operation in Northwestern Syria.

The Arabic-language al-Manar TV reported that the Turkish army forwarded a military convoy, comprising of several tanks and missile launch-pads to its truce-monitoring posts in Northern Syria via Kafr Losin crossing at Turkey-Syria border.

In the meantime, the London-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that a military convoy, consisting of tens of vehicles, military hardware, ammunition and Turkish soldiers, arrived in Northern Syria via Bab al-Hawa crossing at Turkey-Syria border in a move to reinvigorate the Ankara army's military capabilities.

Also, field sources reported that the Turkish army has dispatched a large volume of military equipment to its border with Northern Syria.

Field sources reported that the Syrian Army's artillery and missile units and aircraft have been pounding terrorists' positions in Northern Hama and Southern Idlib to pave the way for an imminent large-scale operation in Northern Hama and Southern Idlib.

AMN2018/9/12
Syrian rebel threatens Erdogan against ‘selling Idlib’
With the Syrian Army continuing to amass troops and military hardware in southern Idlib, militants occupying the province are seemingly beginning to panic, warning Ankara against giving Damascus the greenlight to launch its long-awaited offensive in northwestern Syria.

A militant from an unspecified group stationed in Idlib has issued a threat to Turkish President Recep Tayyip, warning that militants in northwestern Syria have dug a tunnel stretching into Turkey’s Hatay province.

He went on to explain that in the event of Erdogan “selling Idlib”, militants will use the tunnel to cross into Turkey, to potentially carry out attacks against civilians and security forces.

“Reyhanli [a town in Hatay province] is behind me. As you know, us [militants] from Ghouta are good are digging and since you’ve built a 960-kilometer border barrier… We want to tell you: if you sell Idlib or other opposition-held areas, we’re going to buy Reyhanli from you. I won’t give you more details, but this is your warning,” the militant said in video footage circulating on social media.

The video was published just days after a trilateral summit in Tehran, attended by Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Iranian and Turkish counterparts, to discuss the situation in Idlib, ahead of the Syrian Army’s impending offensive.

Although the presence of Turkish forces in Idlib could complicate Damascus’ plans to retake the province and risk direct military confrontation between Turkey and Syria, the Syrian government has insisted it will liberate Idlib even if Erdogan does not withdraw his forces.

Wary of the recent summit, the militant is seemingly warning Erdogan against pulling out of Idlib and withdrawing support to the various Islamist militant groups in the Idlib Governorate.

The area is the last major bastion for non-SDF militants and its liberation by government forces would further cement the Syrian government’s victory over terrorists and the survival of Syria as a secular state.

AMN2018/9/11
In an article published Tuesday in the Wall Street Journal, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan called on the international community to take action to prevent an attack on Idlib, the last rebel enclave in Syria, and warned that “the entire world stands to pay the price” otherwise.

On Sunday, the Wall Street Journal reported that the US Defense Department may be mulling the idea of striking Russian or Iranian military forces aiding the Syrian government if they were to launch an assault on Idlib. The report added that the United States would specifically decide whether to strike Russian air defense installations.

Russia Says Has to React to Aggression as Terrorists Entrench Positions in Idlib
A Pentagon official told Sputnik that the United States is prepared to take action in response to any alleged chemical weapons use in the Syrian province of Idlib, however, did not confirm media reports about possible US strikes against Iranian or Russian forces.

“Syria, Russia and Iran should know that the United States and the rest of the world are watching very closely and will take appropriate action if there is a new slaughter in Idlib,” Pentagon spokesperson Commander Sean Robertson told Sputnik on Monday.

The commander said the United States is closely monitoring the situation in Idlib and has engaged the Russian government and military at the most senior level to make clear that the United States and its partners will respond swiftly to any verified chemical weapon use in the province or elsewhere in the country.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told Sputnik on Sunday that Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan have agreed to maintain their dialogue focusing on the conflict in Syria and the situation in the country’s Idlib de-escalation zone, following the Russia-Turkey-Iran summit in Tehran.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 17:49| Comment(0) | 国際・政治
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