Vital Demographic Statistics of Japan The Trends of the 48 months after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident: ずくなしの冷や水

2015年05月04日

Vital Demographic Statistics of Japan The Trends of the 48 months after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident

April 27th, 2015

Vital Demographic Statistics of Japan
The Trends of the 48 months after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident

1. On the pacific side of the Tohoku region where many lives were lost to the tsunami it is difficult to separate the effect of the tsunami and the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Accident in the statistics. However in Tokyo and the surrounding 8 prefectures where there was no tsunami, mortality measured as the number of deaths (pink – 12 month moving average) is rising and the number of births (blue – 12 month moving average) declining.



2. Table of mortality of prefectures west of Shiga. There is a strong suspicion that an influx of contaminated food is triggering the rise of mortality in Okinawa (grey, at the top). The x axis shows the number of months starting from 12/2009.



In the prefectures of Osaka, Nara, Wakayama and Tokushima the mortality marked a peak in autumn 2013. It was most probably caused by the incineration of the contaminated debris in Osaka. The effect is still continuing to these days. A political homicide by a certain minister and a mayor who were promoting this incineration.

For those who want to leave the east of Japan, I cannot recommend moving to Okinawa or Osaka.

3. The worst in the rise of mortality is Saitama prefecture (pale green at the top), followed by Kanagawa (pale pink).



The peaks of Iwate, Miyagi and Fukushima after 3/2011 are due to delays in processing of statistics.

4. Can humans live in Osaka? Making Osaka the “western” capital of Japan like some politicians like to claim? A capital with very low number of births (yellow, at the bottom) and high mortality (see graph 2)? You’ve got to be joking.



5. As for the decline in number of births in the East, the worst ranking is Chiba prefecture (pale yellow), followed again by Kanagawa (pale pink, near the bottom). That makes Kanagawa prefecture no. 1 in the worsening of the population trend.



6. In Yamagata prefecture the number of births was rising before the accident. This trend reverses after the accident (pink). In addition to the prefecture-wide contamination by alpha and beta particles there is also a high cesium contamination in the eastern and southern parts of the prefecture. However the municipalities of the prefecture chose to hide this information.
The declining number of births seems to be becoming a common phenomenon in areas with strong alpha and beta contamination. I fear that there will be a rise of infertility among younger people in the future.



7. Tochigi prefecture. The number of births in pink and the number of deaths in purple.



8. Chiba prefecture (pink=births, purple=deaths).



9. Gifu prefecture (pink=births, purple=deaths) shows a very obvious anomalous decline in birth rate. A much larger decline of birth rate than in Yamagata. So avoid moving to Gifu.



10. Mie prefecture. What are these swings in the mortality (purple)? They might have been caused by the incineration of contaminated debris and wastes. The decline in number of births (pink) is as bad as the one in Gifu prefecture. So avoid moving to Mie as well.



11. In Shizuoka prefecture there is a sharp fall in number of births (pink).



12. Comparison of the average number of births over the 12 months before 2/2011 and the 12 months before 2/2015. The pink line presents the prefectures of the west and the blue line presents the eastern ones. It is obvious that in West Japan the drop in numbers of birth is smaller compared to the east.



13. Comparison of the numbers of birth in the 12 months following the accident (2/2011-2/2012) and the 12 months before 2/2015. Compared to the graph of 12 there is less difference between east and west Japan.



posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:53| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故
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