ずくなしの冷や水

2022年07月28日

コロナ感染拡大続く 家庭内感染防止に全力を

2022/7/28の全国の新規感染者が23万人を超えてきました。まだまだ増えます。登録遅れの感染者、把握できていない感染者も多いとみられ、実際には23万人を何万人も上回るでしょう。

老人介護施設、病院などの集団感染が急増しています。

これらの施設は、毎日職員のPCR検査をして感染者を入居者に接触させないようにしなければならないのですが、その体制ができていません。

今支配的な変異株BA.5は、感染力が強く、広い世代にわたって重症化する人が出ています。

甘く見ないようにしましょう。夏の暑さの盛りに近親者の野辺の送りになる恐れがあります。



posted by ZUKUNASHI at 23:52| Comment(2) | Covid19

Kiev threatens to attack Russian territory


Kiev threatens to attack Russian territory
The Ukrainian government has enough “will” to order a strike against Russian territory, a senior official has warned

Kiev will not hesitate to attack Russian soil if it deems it necessary, Aleksey Danilov, the head of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, threatened during a live broadcast on Wednesday.

The security council closely follows all the missile and air strikes Russia launches against Ukraine, Danilov said, adding that Ukrainian authorities are well aware of all the locations in Russia from which the attacks have been carried out. Kiev possesses “enough political will” to order a strike against these targets if such a need arises, he added.

“If needed … anyone [in the government] will act without hesitation and sign anything that needs to be signed to destroy these objects,” Danilov said. The security council head also stated that Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky’s words about Ukraine retaliating against the locations from which the strikes are launched serves as “proof” of Kiev’s determination.

Earlier, some Ukrainian officials said that Kiev forces may hit targets on the Crimean Peninsula or the Crimean Bridge, which they consider to be a key supply route for Russian forces. Ukraine’s military intelligence spokesman, Vadim Skibitskiy, claimed that Crimea could be targeted by US-supplied М142 HIMARS and M270 MLRS multiple launch rocket systems.

Moscow responded by saying that Ukraine would pay a heavy price if it decided to strike Crimea. Russia’s former president, Dmitry Medvedev, said in mid-July that Moscow might respond with a “massive strike” targeting the Ukrainian leadership if that happened.

The US and its allies previously appeared to be reluctant to supply Ukraine with longer-range weapons capable of striking targets deep inside Russia as they were concerned about a potential escalation of the conflict. Washington has not yet agreed to send tactical ballistic missiles with a distance of up to 300 kilometers to Ukraine. Such missiles can be used by the US-made HIMARS multiple rocket launchers the US handed over to Kiev.

However, according to the spokesman for the army of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR), Eduard Basurin, Ukrainian forces may have already received 300km-range HIMARS missiles. DPR troops have found pieces of munitions with a range of 110 kilometers to 120 kilometers, which meant that Kiev could have the 300km-missiles as well, Basurin told the Russian media last week.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Wednesday that the West’s persistence in pumping Ukraine with long-range weapons, including the HIMARS, was already making Moscow reconsider the goals of its military operation in the neighboring country. They now go beyond Donbass and include several other Ukrainian regions, he added.

Russia sent troops into Ukraine on February 24, citing Kiev’s failure to implement the Minsk agreements, designed to give the regions of Donetsk and Lugansk special status within the Ukrainian state. The protocols, brokered by Germany and France, were first signed in 2014. Former Ukrainian president Pyotr Poroshenko has since admitted that Kiev’s main goal was to use the ceasefire to buy time and “create powerful armed forces.”

In February 2022, the Kremlin recognized the Donbass republics as independent states and demanded that Ukraine officially declare itself a neutral country that will never join any Western military bloc. Kiev insists the Russian offensive was completely unprovoked.

ウクライナ政府はロシア領土への攻撃を命令できるだけの「意志」を持っていると、高官が警告した。

ウクライナの国家安全保障・防衛評議会のトップであるアレクセイ・ダニロフ氏は、水曜日に生放送で、キエフは必要と判断すればロシア領への攻撃をためらわないだろうと脅した。

ダニロフ氏は、ロシアがウクライナに対して行っているミサイル攻撃や空爆を、安全保障会議が注視していると述べ、ウクライナ当局は、攻撃が行われたロシア国内のすべての場所をよく知っていると付け加えた。キエフは、必要な場合にこれらのターゲットへの攻撃を命令する「十分な政治的意思」を持っている、と彼は付け加えた。

「必要であれば......(政府の)誰もが躊躇なく行動し、これらのオブジェクトを破壊するために必要なものに署名するだろう」と、ダニロフ氏は述べた。また、ウラジーミル・ゼレンスキー大統領は、ウクライナの攻撃地点に対する報復について、キエフの決意を示す「証拠」であると述べている。

これに先立ち、一部のウクライナ政府関係者は、キエフ軍がクリミア半島や、ロシア軍への重要な補給路と見なすクリミア橋の標的を攻撃する可能性があると述べている。ウクライナ軍情報部のヴァディム・スキビツキー報道官は、米国が供給するМ142 HIMARSとM270 MLRS多連装ロケットシステムによってクリミアが標的にされる可能性があると主張した。

これに対してモスクワは、ウクライナがクリミアを攻撃することになれば、大きな代償を払うことになるだろうと述べた。ロシアのドミトリー・メドベージェフ前大統領は7月中旬、もしそうなればモスクワはウクライナ指導部を標的に「大規模な攻撃」で対応するかもしれないと述べた。

米国とその同盟国は以前、紛争がエスカレートする可能性を懸念し、ロシア奥地の標的を攻撃できるより長距離の兵器をウクライナに供給することに消極的なようであった。米国は、300キロまでの戦術弾道ミサイルをウクライナに送ることにまだ同意していない。このようなミサイルは、米国がキエフに引き渡した米国製多連装ロケットランチャー「HIMARS」で使用することができる。

しかし、ドネツク人民共和国(DPR)軍のエドゥアルド・バズリン報道官によると、ウクライナ軍はすでに300km射程のHIMARSミサイルを受け取っていた可能性があるという。バスリン氏は先週、ロシアのメディアに対し、「DPR軍は射程110kmから120kmの弾薬の破片を発見しており、キエフが300kmのミサイルも持っている可能性がある」と述べた。

ロシアのセルゲイ・ラブロフ外相は水曜日に、西側がHIMARSを含む長距離兵器をウクライナに送り込むことに固執していることは、すでにモスクワに隣国での軍事作戦の目標を再考させるものだと述べた。また、ドンバスだけでなく、ウクライナの他の地域も含まれるようになったという。

ロシアは2月24日、キエフがドネツクとルガンスクの両地域にウクライナ国家内での特別な地位を与えるためのミンスク合意を履行していないとして、ウクライナに軍を派遣した。ドイツとフランスが仲介したこの議定書は、2014年に初めて署名された。ウクライナのピョートル・ポロシェンコ前大統領はその後、キエフの主な目的は、停戦を利用して時間を稼ぎ、"強力な武装勢力を生み出すこと "だったと認めている。

2022年2月、クレムリンはドンバス共和国を独立国家として認め、ウクライナが西側軍事ブロックに決して参加しない中立国であることを公式に宣言するよう要求した。キエフは、ロシアの攻撃は完全に無抵抗であると主張している。

Deeplによる翻訳

残り少ないロケット砲などを用いるに当たり、ウクライナ側もその最も有効な利用法を模索しますが、そのあとが続かないです。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:55| Comment(0) | ウクライナ

米国に第三の党

America’s new third party emerges
The Forward party was created by former Democrats and Republicans who vow to stand against “politicalFormer Republicans and Democrats joined forces on Wednesday to create a new Centrist national party to meet the aspirations of Americans that say they are tired of the dysfunctional political system in the US.

The new party, called Forward, is co-chaired by former Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang and Christine Todd Whitman, the former Republican governor of New Jersey. Although Yang’s Forward Party was initially established in October 2021, it has now merged with two other organizations: the Renew America Movement, of former Republicans, and the bipartisan Serve America Movement.

The leaders of the newly hatched political group hope to challenge the traditional two party system in America, claiming it divides the US into different camps, while the Forward party seeks to bring them together. “Not left. Not right. FORWARD,” the slogan on the party’s website reads.

In an opinion piece in The Washington Post on Wednesday, Forward leaders sounded the alarm over the current state of the US, decrying “political extremism” that “is ripping our nation apart” and is leading to “political intimidation.”

“If nothing is done, the United States will not reach its 300th birthday this century in recognizable form,” they wrote, adding that Americans have lost faith in their government.

The United States, they said, “badly needs a new political party − one that reflects the moderate, common-sense majority.” “Today’s outdated parties have failed by catering to the fringes. As a result, most Americans feel they aren’t represented,” the article reads. extremism”

To achieve the goal of uniting people, the Forward party seeks to “reinvigorate a fair, flourishing economy,” to “give Americans more choices in elections, more confidence in a government that works,” and “revitalize a culture” that “rejects hate and removes barriers.”

The Forward party intends to gain registration and ballot access in all 50 states by late 2024, just in time for the presidential and congressional elections. It also aims to contest several votes on a local level.

In an interview with Reuters, Andrew Yang pointed out that the party’s initial budget would be about $5 million and would gain considerable financial support from its donors. "We are starting in a very strong financial position. Financial support will not be a problem," Yang said.

The formation of the new party comes after a recent poll suggested that only 13 percent of Americans believe that the country is headed in the right direction.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:32| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

40度超の発熱に備え水枕を発注 準備点検

BA.5では、熱発が激しく体温が40度以上に上がることがあります。こうなると、頭を冷やさないと熱による脳障害が出ます。

昔ながらのゴム製の水枕が良いと思い、発注しました。



冷水のシャワーを被った、水風呂に入ったなどの体験が伝えられています。

子供から大人まで40度を超えるような高い熱を出すという例はこれまでほとんど見たことがありません。今流行の変異株の特徴です。一方で高熱を出さない人も多く、症状の幅が広いです。

保健行政破綻、医療崩壊。社会サービスの中に停滞するものが出ています。

行政が自己責任でやれと投げ出しました。

仕方なく、準備を点検。
薬品類は、IVMを除いてほとんど使っていません。カモスタットを家族にわずかですが渡しました。

マスク KF94の在庫がまだあります。郊外ウォーキングの際には普通の不織布マスクを使っています。混んだ電車には乗らないようにしています。

パルスオキシメーター
温度計

水枕を発注しました。

非常用食品は、団地の期限切れ保存食品も含めて1週間分ほどはあるでしょう。

ケガなどをしても治療を受けられないかもしれないので、自転車は低速走行。歩行時も転倒、衝突などのないよう気を付けています。

抗原定性検査、PCR検査キットなどは用意していません。陽性と判明しても何か支援があるわけでもないでしょう。


2022年07月25日
BA.5もこんなに壮絶ですよ これでは死ぬ


posted by ZUKUNASHI at 17:07| Comment(0) | Covid19

医療従事者にワクチン関連死が増えるだろう

2022年07月28日
*ワクチン接種の後遺症対策は難しい*

を書きましたが、ワクチンによる害を事後的に解消、軽減する確実な方法は、目下のところないようです。

2022年07月28日
ワクチン接種 次は止めないと死ぬぞ

ワクチンを接種した人が、時間経過に伴ってどのような身体的な変化によって亡くなるのかはわかりませんが、現に亡くなる方が出ているようです。



ワクチン接種が多い職種は、なんといっても医療従事者でしょう。義務教育の教員も多いかもしれません。

ハイリスクの集団に属する方は、できればリスク軽減策を講じたほうが良いですし、ある意味覚悟が必要かもしれません。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 16:11| Comment(0) | Covid19

Think-tank advises US how to avoid war with Russia

Think-tank advises US how to avoid war with Russia
Rand Corporation has outlined four “escalation pathways” that could lead to NATO-Russia war

The US and its NATO allies need to take a series of steps to avoid a direct conflict with Russia over Ukraine, the Pentagon’s foremost think-tank advised in a report published on Tuesday. Sanctions against Russia have created conditions for one of the escalation pathways already, while the continuing flow of weapons and volunteers to Ukraine may trigger others, the RAND Corporation warned.

Concerns that the conflict in Ukraine will “escalate to a Russia-NATO clash” are “warranted,” said the outfit, which has been doing research and analysis for the US military since 1948. While plausible, such escalation is not inevitable if the US and its allies take some steps to fend it off, according to the report.

RAND researchers laid out “four plausible horizontal escalation pathways,” starting with the anti-Russian sanctions already implemented by the US and its allies. The other three possibilities involve Moscow coming to believe a direct NATO involvement is imminent; that weapons delivered to Ukraine are making a major difference on the battlefield; or that unrest within Russia is threatening the government.
READ MORE: Ukraine strikes key bridge with US-made HIMARS missiles – local authorities

“Moscow has yet to respond directly in any substantial manner,” to Western actions, from sanctions to arming Ukraine, which RAND assumes have “immiserated Russia and led to the death of many Russian soldiers.” The researchers explain this by offering up speculation that the “Kremlin’s preoccupation with its faltering campaign in Ukraine might be consuming senior leaders’ limited bandwidth.”

They also assume that Russia is running out of long-range missiles, a claim Western intelligence agencies have been making since March – and therefore may feel pressured to strike NATO territory if it feels the US-led bloc might get directly involved.

The most acute risk of a Russian decision to escalate directly to a kinetic strike on NATO allies would result from Moscow perceiving that large-scale, direct NATO attacks on Russian military forces in Ukraine are imminent.

Deploying long-range strike capabilities in the Baltic States, Poland, and Romania, or having volunteers from NATO member states take part in the fighting – which has already happened – would promote this conclusion, RAND warns, adding that this pathway may lead to “plausible” use of nuclear weapons.

“Continue to signal that the United States and NATO allies have no plans to directly enter the conflict,” RAND advised Washington, as this is needed to counter public statements by “current or former government officials” about Russian “atrocities” and calls for regime change.

NATO should still “increase force presence in the east” but focus on “defensive” capabilities and re-evaluate activities such as drills “to avoid creating a false impression of preparation for offensive action,” the researchers said.

If Western weapons flowing into Ukraine begin to “turn the conflict dramatically against Russia,” Moscow might target their supply nodes, the report claims. Such attacks could start out as “covert or non-kinetic” and escalate from there; one example given is the 2014 explosion at the Czech ammunition depot, which Western media and the intelligence-adjacent outfit Bellingcat blamed on Russia, without evidence.

One proposed countermeasure is to keep NATO training and supply facilities used to aid Ukraine “dispersed and covert, wherever possible.”

Another admission, buried deep in the report, is that Western weapons assistance has not managed to “turn the conflict dramatically against Russia.”

The last scenario envisions Moscow interpreting large-scale protests as “a non-kinetic NATO attack.” While mass demonstrations are yet to take place in Russia, “the dramatic economic contraction that has resulted from the war might well be the spark for such broader popular unrest once economic pain is felt over the medium to long term,” the RAND report said.

The trouble is that Moscow might perceive such protests as “evidence of a coordinated Western campaign to topple the Russian government,” so NATO needs to “maintain the message discipline” that its objective is “the cessation of conflict, not the end of the Putin regime.”

At the very end, the report cautions that the US and its allies “could be the engine of escalation as easily as Russia could,” and that any escalation spiral is as likely to start with their actions. As the report focused on possible Russian actions, however, that warning was left unexplored.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 12:42| Comment(0) | ウクライナ