ずくなしの冷や水

2020年01月08日

サウジ大型タンカー ホルムズ海峡航行停止

※ Russian Market@russian_market
STRAITS OF HORMUZ TRANSITS SUSPENDED
午後7:21 ・ 2020年1月8日・TweetDeck

fxstreet NEWS | 10:31 GMT | By Eren Sengezer   
Saudi tanker giant Bahri suspends transit through Strait of Hormuz – WSJ
Saudi Arabian tanker giant Bahri has suspended transits through the Strait of Hormuz, the Wall Street Journal said on Tuesday. According to the report, other major tankers including Petrobras have suspended sailing through the Strait as well.
Oil largely ignored this headline as it was largely expected following Iran's retaliation attack on the US military bases located in Iraq. As of writing, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate was trading at $63.75, adding 0.15% on a daily basis. Markets are now waiting for US President Trump to make a statement.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:04| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

米軍が今度はフェイクレター作戦

2020年01月07日
米軍がイラクから退去 本当か?  の続報

RT2020/1/6
‘Not leaving Iraq!’ Pentagon clarifies ‘poorly worded’ US withdrawal plan sent by ‘mistake’
Confusion reigned at the Pentagon after the publication of a letter about withdrawal from Iraq, with the top general describing it as a “mistake” and the defense secretary saying there were no plans for a US pullout.

“There’s been no decision to leave Iraq. Period,” Secretary of Defense Mark Esper told reporters at the Pentagon on Monday. He was referring to reports that the head of Combined Joint Task Force Iraq, General William H. Seely III, informed the Iraqi government of preparations to reposition the coalition forces “in due deference to the sovereignty” of Iraq.

Meanwhile, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley said that the letter Seely had sent was only a draft and that releasing it was a “mistake.” The Iraqi military confirmed receiving it, however.

Esper would neither confirm nor deny the letter’s authenticity, though US Army public relations officials said earlier it was real. Instead, he reiterated the position staked out earlier by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, that the Iraqi people “want the US to stay,” and cited the rise in attacks by Iranian “proxy groups.”

US President Donald Trump likewise rejected the withdrawal on Sunday, threatening Iraq with sanctions and saying the US will not leave until the Iraqis “pay us back” for an airbase that he said cost billions of dollars to build.

(以下略)

何たるざまだ! ペンタゴンと現地は、とりあえず撤退準備の方向に動いたが、ポンペオやトランプに押し戻されたようです。トランプは、まずは自分がツイートしてからという意識が強い。

このレターの信ぴょう性についてはSyrian girlが署名もないとの疑問に注意を喚起していました。


MEMOは署名されていないと言っている人に。 紙の裏側はアラビア語ですが、かすかな署名が見られますか?
もしそうなら、これはイラク政府によって漏らされ、そうでなければ不満を抱いた陸軍当局者によって漏らされた。
公式に拒否されない限り、何も信じないでください。
#イラク

さらに調べて次のような結論。

撤回の#DODの手紙は明らかに秘密で暗闇で撮影されました。 「誤ってリリースされたドラフト」ではありませんでした。
実際に署名されていない場合、戦争を望まないDODの上位の誰かによってリークされました。
名誉ある反乱。

レターを白黒にしてイコライザー処理しています。

レターの下部をそのままイコライザー処理。何か左下に見えます。


RT2020/1/7
Iraq asks US to clarify after letters with different messages on troop withdrawal received
The government of Iraq has asked Washington for clarification, after Baghdad received Arabic and English-language letters on troop withdrawal containing different messages.

Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi acknowledged receiving a letter from the US military containing an outline for the withdrawal of American troops from his country. However, the Iraqi leader said that the English and Arabic versions of the letter were not identical, and that he has requested clarification, Reuters reported on Tuesday.

One day earlier, a copy of a letter announcing the US withdrawal was circulated online, and confirmed as genuine by a US Army press spokesman. However, the Pentagon did not immediately confirm its authenticity, and Defense Secretary Mark Esper later stated that that the letter was a “poorly worded” draft copy leaked by mistake. Esper added that “there’s been no decision to leave Iraq. Period.”

The letter emerged after the Iraqi parliament voted on Sunday to expel all foreign troops from the country, following the US assassination of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani at Baghdad International Airport on Friday, and several clashes between American forces and Iranian-backed militia groups in the weeks beforehand.

The parliament resolution is non-binding, and US President Donald Trump responded by threatening sanctions on Iraq, and refusing to leave until the Iraqis “pay us back” for an airbase that he said cost billions of dollars to build.

The assassination of Soleimani drove already simmering US-Iran tensions to boiling point. Tehran has vowed to avenge its fallen general, while Trump has threatened to launch military strikes on 52 Iranian state and cultural sites should American interests be harmed. As Soleimani’s body was buried in Iran on Tuesday, the semi-state Fars news agency reported that the Iranian government is considering 13 “revenge scenarios” in retaliation for the killing.


Trump follows Pentagon and State Department lead, says he wants US troops out of Iraq eventually – but not just yet

While he'd like to bring US troops home at some point, President Donald Trump has ruled out leaving Iraq at this time, claiming most Iraqis support the ongoing US presence and that pulling out would lead to an Iranian takeover.

“It’s something ultimately that I want to see, we can’t be there forever,” Trump said Tuesday, asked if he would pull out troops from Iraq. “Eventually, we want to be able to let Iraq run its own affairs… but this isn’t the right point,” he quickly added.

If we leave, that means Iran would have a much bigger foothold.

The president’s words echoed the rhetoric coming from the Pentagon, where Defense Secretary Mark Esper told reporters earlier in the day that there were no plans to pull out of Iraq, regardless of the unsigned draft letter sent to the government in Baghdad on Monday suggesting otherwise.

Trump did contradict Esper’s stated justification for staying in Iraq – the need to maintain a presence against the resurgence of Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) terrorists – by saying that the US “got rid of the Caliphate, a hundred percent of the Caliphate is gone.”

He seemed convinced, however, that a majority of Iraqis want the US troops to stay, saying that there was “tremendous support” from the people who do not wish to see Iran take over.

“Iraqi people understand we’re there to help them stand up their sovereignty,” chimed in Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who was at the Oval Office with Trump and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis.

Both Pompeo and Esper have been working that talking point tirelessly for the past two days, with the Pentagon chief telling reporters that Sunday’s resolution adopted by the Iraqi parliament that asked the US to leave was not the work of just some Shia lawmakers, while Sunni and Kurdish MPs boycotted the vote.

The resolution followed last week’s US drone strike that killed Iranian General Qassem Soleimani outside Baghdad international airport. On Tuesday, Trump once again called Soleimani a “monster” and a dangerous terrorist, argued that the assassination saved lives of both Americans and Iraqis and noted that Soleimani had been “traveling with the head of Hezbollah” – possibly conflating the Lebanese-based militia with one of the factions of Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF).

PMF deputy chief Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis was killed in the same strike that targeted Soleimani. His death angered many Iraqis, and PMF even threatened to send US troops back in coffins if they do not leave the country.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 18:20| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

ソレイマニとムハンディス暗殺関係 和訳あり

邦訳はみゆうさんのご協力によります。

※ masa@zebra_masa氏の2020/1/6のツイート
個人的には、米国のテロに対してイランやその協力国が最終的に中東の米軍基地を攻撃するのはやむを得ない。何もしなければ米国は調子に乗るだろうし、そもそも中東から米軍を撤退させない限り、中東の自決はなく、平和を築けないだろう。先ずはイラクと組んで、イラクの米軍を撤退させて欲しい。

※ masa@zebra_masa氏の2020/1/6のツイート
911の大宣伝によって米国はあたかも自国がテロの被害者であるかのように装うことができた。しかし、今回のイランのソレイマニ氏暗殺によって、実際にテロをやり続けているのは米国であり、米国こそが加害者、最大のテロ国家であることを世界に周知させたと思う。

Joe@youssef_hussen氏の2020/1/6のツイート
إيران تعلن عن جائزة ٨٠ مليون دولار لمن يقتل ترامب ..
والرئيس السيسي يعلن عن زيارة مفاجئة للبيت الأبيض !!
アラビア語からの機械翻訳
イランはトランプを殺した人に8000万ドルの賞金を発表しました...シシィ大統領はホワイトハウスへの驚きの訪問を発表しました!!

※ Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai氏の2020/1/5のツイート
No country or leader in the world will trust the #US as long as @realDonaldTrump and his team are in power.
もはや#アメリカを信用する国も指導者も世界にはいないだろう、@realDnaldTrumpと彼のチームが権力の座にある限り。

RT2020/1/4
US-led coalition halts MOST operations, focuses on own forces’ protection in wake of Iranian general’s killing
米主導連合は、イラン人司令官の殺害をきっかけに、大部分の軍事行動を中断し、自国軍保護に焦点を当てている

The US-led coalition has announced it will put most of its operations on hold and focus on ensuring the security of its troops as tensions in the Middle East skyrocket after the death of Iran’s top general at the hands of the US.
米主導連合は、軍事行動の大部分を中断し、自国軍隊の安全確保に焦点を当てると発表した。イランの最高司令官がアメリカの手で殺害された後、中東の緊張が急上昇していることによる。

The coalition will from now on devote most of its efforts to protecting its troops and bases, a coalition spokesman told journalists, adding that most operations against militant groups have been put on hold. He added, however, that the coalition forces could still carry out some military operations and would act in self-defense should they come under attack.
連合は今後、自国軍と基地の保守に注力することになるだろう、と連合のスポークスマンはジャーナリストたちに語った。また、軍事グループに対するほとんどすべての活動は中断されているとした。しかしながら、連合軍は引き続きいくつかの軍事行動は継続しており、攻撃された場合には自衛行動をとる。

Earlier, the US-led coalition also officially announced it is suspending all training operations in Iraq.
先立って、米主導連合は公式にも、イラクでのすべての訓練行動を中断すると発表していた。

RT2020/1/4
Soleimani assassination has opened new phase for whole Middle East region – Hezbollah leader Nasrallah
The assassination of Qassem Soleimani has opened a new phase for the whole region, the leader of Lebanon’s Hezbollah, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, has said, calling for attacks on US soldiers and military assets.

Iraqi resistance will not let a single US soldier stay in Iraq after the killing of the Iranian Quds force commander, Nasrallah said in a televised speech on Sunday.

The Hezbollah leader, however, warned against harming any American civilians, as such acts will only play into the hands of US President Donald Trump, adding that every US military asset and serviceman in the region is fair game.
“When the coffins of American soldiers and officers begin to be transported ... to the United States, Trump and his administration will realize that they have really lost the region and will lose the elections,” Nasrallah said.

Expulsion of the US from the whole Middle East is a fair price for the murder of Soleimani and other officials, Nasrallah said, issuing a rather grim threat to the US military. The suicide bombers, who had forced America to leave before, are still there – and now they are greater in numbers, he added.

Avenging the deaths of Soleimani and other high-ranking Iranian and Iraqi military officials, including Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, the deputy commander of Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Force (PMF) militia, is the responsibility of not only Iran but of all its allies in the region. Nasrallah urged all the members of the so-called 'Resistance Axis' to make up their minds on how they will deal with the assassination.

※ Brasco_Aad@Brasco_Aad氏の2020/1/5のツイート
Wow!
Iraqi PM Adil Abdul-Mahdi: ''Hadj Soleimani was in Baghdad at my invitation. He was scheduled to visit me and carried a letter with him from the Iranian leadership on how to de-escalate tensions with Saudi Arabia.''
ワオ!
イラク首相アディル・アブドゥル・マディ「ハジ・ソレイマニは、私の招待でバグダッドにいた。彼は、いかにしてサウジアラビアとの緊張を緩和するかに関する、イラン指導者からの書簡を携えて私を訪ねる予定だった。

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/1/5のツイート
速報! イラク議会で、最大の連合勢力アルファターとサイロウンが、米軍を撤退させるために投票することで合意! ついに! 米・イラクの安全保障協定を破棄し、米軍撤退を要求する法案が通過する可能性が大。そうなれば、米軍は違法な占領軍と化す! 米国が無視しようが、国際法違反の占領軍に!

米軍が湾岸地域に兵士を増派しても、それで報復を抑え込めるわけではない。
※ Dr Marcus Papadopoulos@DrMarcusP氏の2020/1/4のツイート
To achieve a geo-strategic objective, the US creates a crisis and then offers a solution to this. So, the US wants Iran to be an American client state so it murders Soleimani, knowing this will create a crisis, then sends more troops to the Gulf to threaten Iran.
戦略地政学上の目的を達成するために、アメリカは(意図的に)危機を作り出し、これを解決しようとしている。アメリカはイランをアメリカの属国にしたいと考えており、そのためにソレイマニを殺害した。危機が起こることを分かったうえで殺害し危機を作り出し、より多くの軍隊を湾岸に派遣して、イランを脅かそうとしているのだ。

※ Rudaw English@RudawEnglishの2020/1/5のツイート
#BREAKING: The Kurdish factions will not participate in Iraqi parliamentary session today, which seeks to vote for the complete withdrawal of U.S. troops.
#速報:クルド諸派は、米軍の完全撤退を求める決議を行う、今日のイラク議会に参加しない。

※ The Spectator Index@spectatorindex氏の午前7:10 ・ 2020年1月5日のツイート
BREAKING: Iran has informed an envoy from Oman that it will not accept mediation between it and the United States, and instead will only seek revenge.
速報:イランはオマーンからの使節に対し、アメリカとの間の調停は受け入れない、報復のみを模索すると伝えた。

※ mko@trappedsoldier氏の2020/1/5のツイート
「尊重する必要ない。なぜなら彼らはイランの体制に支えられているから。イラク国民はイランに支配されるのを望んでいないのです」
驚! イラク議会で米軍を叩き出す法案が通りそうだが、「無視する」と断言する米議員。これが世界に民主主義と自由を説教するアメリカ!

※ Wyatt Reed@wyattreed13氏の2020/1/5のツイート
.@MaxBlumenthal told 100s of anti war activists outside the White House today "why Qassem Soleiman was killed: He rolled back salafi jihadi forces the CIA had been backing in Syria to destabilize another independent state & he helped prevent Iraq from becoming a US client state."
マックスブルメンタールは、今日、ホワイトハウスの外で数百人の反戦活動家に語った。なぜソレイマニが殺されたか。:彼は、CIAがシリアで支援していたもう一つの独立国家を不安定化するサラフィジハード勢力を巻き返し、イラクが米国の従属国になるのを防ぐことに助力しました。

※ The Spectator Index@spectatorindex氏の2020/1/4のツイート
UNITED STATES: The US military has put a brigade in Italy on alert to possibly be sent to Lebanon to protect the embassy there
アメリカ:米軍は、レバノンのアメリカ大使館を防衛するための派遣に備えて、イタリアに旅団を配置した。

※ The Spectator Index@spectatorindex氏の2020/1/4のツイート
BREAKING: The United Kingdom warns its citizens against travel to Iraq
速報:イギリス政府は、イラクへの渡航を控えるよう国民に警告を出した。

※ The Spectator Index@spectatorindex氏の2020/1/4のツイート
BREAKING: Iranian commander says that Tel Aviv and thirty-five American bases are within reach of Iran's military
速報:イランの司令官が、テルアビブ(訳注:イスラエル第2の都市)と35か所のアメリカ軍基地がイラン軍の射程内にあると述べる。

※ Fares Shehabi@ShehabiFares氏の2020/1/4のツイート
In few seconds Trump unified millions of Iraqi Shiaa's, put thousands of US troops in great danger, and insulted the Iraqi gov and people! What kind of advisors are in the White House?!
ほんの数秒で、トランプはイラクのシーア派数百万をひとつにまとめ、数千のアメリカ軍部隊を多大な危機に陥れ、イラク政府と国民を侮辱した! ホワイトハウスにいるのは、どんなアドバイザーだ?!

※ Borzou Daragahi@borzou氏の2020/1/4のツイート
Today:
* Funerals in Iraq and Iran for Qassem Suleimani and Abu Mahdi Mohandes
* Iran army spox says response to killing won’t be hasty
* Qatar FM arrives in Tehran to meet with Zarif
* IRGC commander claims US asked for “proportional” response in letter delivered via Swiss
今日: *イラクとイランで、ガセム・ソレイマニとアブ・マハディ・ムハンディスの葬儀 *イラン軍広報担当官、反撃の殺害は拙速に行わないと述べる *カタール外務大臣が、ザリフ(訳注;イラン外務大臣)に会うためテヘランに到着 *IRGC(イラン革命防衛軍)司令官が、スイス経由の書簡の中で、アメリカが「相応の」対応を求めてきたと主張

※ Borzou Daragahi@borzou氏の2020/1/4のツイート
Just in:
* NATO suspends all anti-ISIS training missions for Iraqi forces, with countries like Denmark withdrawing troops
たった今:
*NATOは、イラク軍のために行っていた全ての反ISISの訓練を中断。デンマーク等の国々は、部隊を撤退させている。

※ Borzou Daragahi@borzou氏の2020/1/4のツイート
* IRGC commander threatens US ships in Persian Gulf https://reuters.com/article/iraq-s
IGRC司令官、ペルシア湾でアメリカ船を威嚇 https://reuters.com/article/iraq-s

※ Ian56@Ian56789氏の2020/1/4のツイート
#Baghdad: Iraqi MPs attend the funeral of #Soleimani and Muhandis, killed by an American Terrorist Attack to start War with Iran.
Iraq's Parliament will soon vote on whether to expel all US Occupation Forces from their country.
#TrumpsWar
#NoWarWithIran
#バグダッド:イラクの議員たちは、#ソレイマニ とムハンディスの葬儀に参列する。彼らは、イランとの戦争を始めたいアメリカのテロ攻撃で殺害された。イラクの議会はまもなく、自国からすべてのアメリカ占領軍を撤退させるかどうかの投票を行う。
#トランプの戦争
#イランとの戦争反対

※ Ian56@Ian56789氏の2020/1/3のツイート
Trump’s Fatal Mistake in Iraq and Beginning of End for US Occupation
https://21stcenturywire.com/2020/01/03/trumps-fatal-mistake-in-iraq-and-beginning-of-end-for-us-occupation/
#Soleimani
#WWIII
Iran
トランプの致命的なイラクでの失敗と、アメリカによる占領の終わりの始まり。
https://21stcenturywire.com/2020/01/03/trumps-fatal-mistake-in-iraq-and-beginning-of-end-for-us-occupation/
#ソレイマニ
#第3次世界大戦
#イラン

※ Syrian Girl@Partisangirl氏の2020/1/3のツイート
Kurds are celebrating #Sulaimani’s death on the streets of Baghdad. The media is referring to them simply as Iraqis, that’s not how they referred to the people protesting at the US embassy.
クルド人たちは、バグダッドの街頭で#ソレイマニの死を祝っている。メディアは彼らを単純にイラク人と言っているが、アメリカ大使館で抗議している人々については、そのように(単純にイラク人とは)報道しない。

※ Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai氏の2020/1/3のツイート(以下の同氏のツイートの日付は同じ)
#US gave an enormous gift to those who were hesitating in approving the withdrawal of the US forces from #Iraq. No matter what kind of pressure #Washinghton will exert, no PM or Parliament will accept to keep US forces in Mesopotamia.
@realDonaldTrump
: you kicked yourself out.
午後2:37 ・ 2020年1月3日・Twitter Web App
・・・イラクでは、国会に米国との協定の破棄するための法案が提出されているようです。

※ Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
The way it goes by #Iran style, usually but it could change, is to find a #US commander at the same level of #IRGC commander and assassinate him/her. This means all #US high ranking personnel could be potential targets because it also depends on the "opportunity".+
・・・イラン流で行けば、IRGCの司令官と同じレベルの米国の司令官を見つけ暗殺する。

※ Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
#US should ask #Israel the cost of every single VIP movement and embassies security measures around the world.
Also, #Iran considers it a US "war declaration" on the country. No matter all US mediations thorugh a 3d country, Iran has no alternative but to respond.
・・・イランに対する米国の戦争の宣言。

※ Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
No credit to be given to "high intelligence" information hunting down #Iran IRGC commander #QassemSoleimani. Throughout the years I have written that the moment Soleimani steps in #Iraq, everybody knows about it and about his movement and visits.

※ Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
Now, there might be few attacks here and there in #Iraq. Don't jump on the conclusion that "this is the revenge". It would be far from it. The real revenge will be by a hit at the same level or similar. This is what we need to watch and expect. #Iran doesn't respond in a hurry.

Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
I conclude for now:
The Middle East will never be less safe from now on. #Iran will do everything for the #US to remember that @realDonaldTrump
is the one responsible for the consequences that might hit its personnel anywhere in the world. Expect it to be before 2020 elections.
・・・この先、中東の安全性が低下することはない。中東で戦闘にはならないという意味でしょう。

Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
#Iran #QassemSoleimani used his Mobil phone like any normal person because he believed that, when the decision to assassinate him will come, it will be at a state-to-state level and no need to hide.
・・・ソレイマニの所在を追う手段は、モバイルフォンだったとしています。暗殺するにも今回のような形ではないとソレイマニは考えていた。今回のようなまるでマフィアまがいの・・・。

※ Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
Many in #Iraq I spoke to at high level consider the #US forces stationed in #Iraq as occupation forces from today onward.
I have the feeling #QassemSoleimani may bring the #US forces out of #Iraq and #Syria AFTER his death.
・・・ソレイマニは死んで米軍をイラク、シリアから追い出す可能性。

Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
#BreakingNews:
#Iraq Asaeb Ahl Al-Haq Leader Kais al-Khaz'ali calls for a
general mobilisation of his forces to "expel the #US forces from #Iraq".
"It won't be easy and simple but you have to trust we shall defeat them", he said.

Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
#BreakingNews:
#QassemSoleimani is causing the withdrawal of #US forces from #Iraq, #Iran cldn't have a better revenge.
PM Abdel Mahdi calling for a Parliament emergency meeting to ask the withdrawal of US following "the assassination of an Iraqi cmdr and a neighbouring comdr".

Elijah J. Magnier@ejmalrai
"Target assassination of an Iraqi commander is a violation of the agreement, can trigger a war in #Iraq and the region. It is a clear violation of the conditions of #US presence in Iraq. I call the parliament to take the necessary steps", PM Abdel Mahdi.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 00:31| Comment(10) | 国際・政治