ずくなしの冷や水

2018年10月15日

サウジ株式、通貨リアルが下落 原油は上昇

FARSNEWS2018/10/15
Saudi Riyal at Weakest Since Mid-2017 over Missing Journalist Case, Oil Could Skyrocket
TEHRAN (FNA)- Saudi Arabia's riyal was quoted at 3.7514 to the US dollar in the market early on Monday, its weakest rate since June 2017, Refinitiv data showed.

Saudi financial markets have come under pressure in the last few days as US President Donald Trump has threatened to punish Riyadh if it turns out that journalist Jamal Khashoggi was killed in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.

Although the riyal's move was unusual, it was smaller than some bouts of instability in recent years, including in November 2015, when oil prices were plunging, the riyal dropped as low as 3.7598.

As international pressure is mounting on Saudi rulers by various governments and rights group over disappearance of the journalist, analysts say the sell-off on Riyadh's Tadawul stock exchange shows investors are uneasy.

Shares in Saudi Arabia plunged as the fallout over the disappearance of Khashoggi got worse over the weekend. The main stock market index in Riyadh fell as much as 7% --- biggest drop since December 2014 --- on Sunday and billions of dollars were wiped off the value of leading Saudi companies. The index recovered some ground later to close 3.5% down.

According to a United Nations report earlier this year, direct foreign investment in Saudi Arabia fell to $1.4 billion in 2017, the lowest level in 14 years.

Analysts also warn that there could be fallout for global oil markets, as Riyadh pushes back against international pressure that it played a role in the disappearance of the WaPo writer

They believe that oil could indeed by used as a tool of retaliation by Saudis, stating that if the oil price continues to react in an upward direction, it affects many markets, also many emerging markets in Asia, which are net importers of oil.

Oil prices rose on Sunday afternoon during Asian trade, with Brent crude jumping 1.29 percent to $81.47 per barrel, and US crude futures rising 1.14 percent to $72.15 a barrel.

The US administration is seeking to cut Tehran's oil exports to zero as Washington introduces new sanctions on the nation after unilaterally abandoning the historic 2015 Iran Joint Cooperative Plan of Action (JCPOA) nuclear deal signed by Russia, China, Iran and several European states. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) agreed to boost oil output by about one million barrels a day − a move strongly opposed by Iran.

Washington's unilateral oil sanctions of Tehran have led to a sharp drop in Iran's crude oil exports and to a price hike in the oil market. Saudi Arabia has also insisted that the kingdom is replacing lost Iranian oil with its own output. But, Iran dismissed claims by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman that Riyadh was making up for the loss of Tehran's oil supplies as "nonsense".

"Bin Salman's remarks can only satisfy Trump. No one else will believe him. Iran's oil cannot be replaced by Saudi Arabia," Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh said early October, adding that "any country that makes such claims… just wants to display its support to the US sanctions against Iran".

Also, several US media organisations and business leaders have pulled out a major Saudi investment conference over the disappearance and suspected murder of Khashoggi, as global pressure for answers about the whereabouts of the prominent journalist mounts on the kingdom.

The United Kingdom, France and Germany have also called on Saudi Arabia and Turkey to mount a "credible investigation" into the disappearance of Khashoggi, adding they were treating the case with "utmost seriousness".
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:10| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

Saudi Dissident Believes Riyadh Tapped Calls with

FARSNEWS2018/10/15
Saudi Dissident Believes Riyadh Tapped Calls with Khashoggi
TEHRAN (FNA)- A Saudi dissident in Canada believes the kingdom hacked his phone and listened to calls he had with Jamal Khashoggi prior to the journalist's disappearance.

"For sure, they listened to the conversation between me and Jamal and other activists, in Canada, in the [United] States, in Turkey, in Saudi Arabia," Omar Abdulaziz said in an interview with the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation.

A report published recently by the University of Toronto's Citizen Lab concluded that Saudi authorities were "very likely" responsible for hacking his phone with powerful spyware sold only to governments.

Abdulaziz said he was working on several projects with Khashoggi in recent months, including a campaign to counter Riyadh's pro-government propaganda on social media.

Khashoggi "promised me to sponsor the project and I guess they could listen in to those conversations", he stated, adding that "his voice was a headache for the Saudi government".

Khashoggi entered Saudi Arabia's consulate in Istanbul on October 2 to obtain a document certifying he divorced his ex-wife. He has not been seen since.

Turkish sources have told media outlets they believe the Saudi writer and critic was killed inside the consulate in what they describe as "premeditated murder". Saudi officials have countered that claim, insisting Khashoggi left the building before vanishing.

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan and King Salman of Saudi Arabia spoke by telephone and discussed the investigation into the disappearance of Khashoggi, according to Turkish presidential sources.

They said the leaders stressed the importance of their two countries creating a joint working group as part of the investigation. The king thanked Erdogan for welcoming the Saudi proposal for the joint group and said no one could undermine their relationship.

The United Kingdom, France and Germany have also called on Saudi Arabia and Turkey to mount a "credible investigation" into the disappearance of Khashoggi, adding they were treating the case with "utmost seriousness".

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:55| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

米国が制裁をすればサウジはイランと友人になり元で石油を取引しロシア軍を招く!

RT2018/10/15
Oil priced $400 in yuan, Russian military base – Saudi insider says kingdom mulls 30 anti-US moves
If the US imposes sanctions on Saudi Arabia, it will “stab its own economy to death” the head of Al Arabiya said. Riyadh may become friends with Iran, trade its oil in yuan and invite the Russian military.

The Saudis may make a geostrategic turn away from the US and towards its rival: China, Russia and Iran, Aldakhil added. “No one can deny that repercussions of these sanctions will include a Russian military base in Tabuk,” he said, referring to Saudi Arabia’s northwestern province located in a strategically valuable place near the Red Sea with its trade routes as well as Israel and Jordan.

As part of its possible rapprochement with Iran, Saudi Arabia would see “Hamas and Hezbollah have turned from enemies into friends” while at the same time stop exchanging intelligence with the US and its allies. At the moment information from the Saudis is contributing to the “protection of millions of Westerners,” he stressed.

Of course Saudi Arabia will no longer buy weapons from US manufacturers if sanctions are given the green light, Aldakhil predicted, adding that this would reduce foreign sales of US defense contractors by two thirds. American firms will also be barred from the Saudi markets, he added.

Saudi officials said they may retaliate against the US, if Washington delivers on a threat to impose sanctions over the disappearance of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi. Turki Aldakhil, the General Manager of the Saudi international news network Al Arabiya, said Riyadh was considering some 30 moves that it may take in response to possible sanctions, and many of those he mentions seem pretty harsh.

In an op-ed published on Sunday, the insider said Saudi influence on the oil market alone puts it into position to badly hurt American interests. “If the price of oil reaching $80 angered President Trump, no one should rule out the price jumping to $100, or $200, or even double that figure,” he wrote, adding that Riyadh may start pricing its crude in Chinese yuan rather than US dollar, dealing a blow to its status as a world reserve currency.

“These are simple procedures that are part of over 30 others that Riyadh will implement directly, without flinching an eye if sanctions are imposed on it, according to Saudi sources who are close to the decision-makers,” the report said.

Saudi Arabia came under fire after Turkish officials accused it of murdering Khashoggi, a self-exiled critic of the current Saudi leadership, during a visit to the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. Riyadh is denying the allegations, but has so far claimed to provide any evidence of the journalist freely leaving the diplomatic mission. US President Donald Trump said the Saudis would face “severe punishment” if the alleged crime is confirmed, but indicated his reluctance to act due to multi-billion arms deals with the kingdom.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:05| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

サウジが制裁措置には反撃すると開き直る

RT2018/10/15
Riyadh threatens retaliation for 'actions' against it over missing journalist
Saudi Arabia has rejected any threats against it over the disappearance of Washington Post journalist Jamal Khashoggi, once again declaring its innocence and saying it will respond to any actions with “greater actions.”

“The Kingdom affirms its total rejection of any threats and attempts to undermine it, whether by threatening to impose economic sanctions, using political pressures, or repeating false accusations,” the official Saudi Press Agency quoted an unnamed government source as saying.

“The Kingdom also affirms that if it receives any action, it will respond with greater action, and that the Kingdom's economy has an influential and vital role in the global economy,” the source added.

Sunday’s comments come just two days after US President Donald Trump warned that Riyadh would face “severe punishment” if it was found guilty of ordering the death of Khashoggi. He noted, however, that he would be unlikely to cancel the major arms deal between the two countries, stating that there would be “other ways of punishing” the government. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau also stated that his country will be holding onto its $15 billion arms deal with Riyadh, despite the concerns surrounding Khashoggi.

However, Senator Marco Rubio (R-Florida) says the US must take action against Saudi Arabia - including potentially regarding arms sales - if the allegations are proven true. Otherwise, the US risks losing credibility when it comes to human rights, he told CBS' Face the Nation on Sunday. His comments come after a bipartisan group of senators also proposed imposing sanctions on Riyadh over the matter. Trump's words led to a plunge of Saudi Arabia's stock market, in a possible foreshadowing of what could take place if countries take action against Riyadh in the form of sanctions.

Khashoggi, a critic of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the Saudi royal family, was last seen on October 2 when he entered the Saudi consulate in Istanbul to get documents for his forthcoming marriage.

Turkey believes he was murdered inside the building by a 15-person “assassination squad,” with the government saying it has video and audio evidence proving he was killed at the consulate. However, it has not publicly presented that information.

The Turkish Daily Sabah newspaper reported on Saturday that a government investigation into the journalist's disappearance revealed that recordings made on his Apple Watch indicate that he was tortured and killed. The paper cited “reliable sources in a special intelligence department.” It noted that the Apple Watch was synced with Khashoggi's iPhone, which his fiancée was holding outside the consulate.

The paper further elaborated by claiming that Saudi intelligence agents had realized after Khashoggi died that the watch was recording, prompting them to use his fingerprint to unlock it. They reportedly deleted some files, but not all of them.

In a joint statement on Sunday, the foreign ministers of Britain, France, and Germany said they were treating the matter with the “utmost seriousness” and called for a “credible investigation” into the journalist's disappearance, adding that anyone who bears responsibility should be held to account.

Khashoggi's disappearance has already led to many media organizations withdrawing from an upcoming high-profile investment conference in Riyadh, including CNN, CNBC, The New York Times, and The Financial Times. Uber's CEO has also backed out, while billionaire Richard Branson has suspended talks with Riyadh regarding a planned $1 billion investment into his space ventures.

Meanwhile, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow told ABC News on Sunday that US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is “intending to go” to the conference at the moment, but “will make up his mind as the week progresses and as new information surfaces.”


FATSNEWS2018/10/14
Riyadh Vows Response to Any Sanctions over Saudi Journalist's Disappearance
TEHRAN (FNA)- Saudi Arabia rejected "threats" after US President Donald Trump's comments on Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi who went missing in Turkey in early October.

Saudi Arabia has rejected "any attempts to undermine it whether through threats to impose economic sanctions or the use of political pressure", an official source was quoted by the country's state-run news agency SPA as saying.

"The kingdom also affirms that it will respond to any action with a bigger one," the source pointed out.

Riyadh also pledged to respond to any steps taken against it amid mounting concern over writer's disappearance.

It also referred to the Saudi economy which the source stated that "has vital and influential roles for the global economy".

In Saturday's interview with CBS, Trump pledged "to get to the bottom" of the disappearance of Khashoggi.

The American leader threatened to impose "severe punishment" on Saudi Arabia if it turns out that Riyadh is behind the disappearance of Khashoggi

At the same time, he emphasized that Riyadh has been "vehemently denying" the allegations of its involvement in the Khashoggi case.

Trump also made it clear that he does not want to hurt US jobs by stopping military sales to Saudi Arabia over the Khashoggi case.

Shortly after trading kicked off on Sunday, Saudi stocks plunged by at least seven percent, in what became the biggest drop since 2014 which comes amid an ever-increasing pressure on Riyadh over the situation around the missing Saudi journalist.

Earlier, several US companies and business leaders pulled out of an upcoming The Future Investment Initiative conference in Saudi Arabia as questions mount over the disappearance of the Saudi journalist. In addition, Bloomberg, the New York Times, the Financial Times, CNN and CNBC have all cut their ties with the conference.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 17:10| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

これはいかんぞ 管理人自宅の空間線量率が上がっている

管理人はリアルタイム空間線量率測定システムのセットアップのために、随時GC10Aをデスクわきで稼働させています。

だいたい平均線量率が0.103μSv/hから0.096μSv/hですが、ここ1週間ほど0.109を指すことが多くなっています。今日は0.103μSv/hです。



より長期で見ると次のグラフです。この1か月間を示していますが、近似直線で0.01μSv/h上がっています。測定器はRDS20Aですから測定値の確かさには疑問が残りますが、0.10μSv/h前後ならGC10Aと大差はありません。


放射性物質が降下しているか、降下した放射性物質の崩壊が進みビルドアップが進んでいる? トリチウムのベータ線はどちらも検出できません。

原因不明です。

千葉県の東側でも上がっています。間違いありませんね。


管理人の自宅で警報が出ることが増えています。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 14:49| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

さあ、ソフトバンクグループ孫正義氏はどう動く

RT2018/10/12
Khashoggi case causes media exodus from major Saudi investment conference as CNN, CNBC, FT quit

A number of media outlets, including CNN, CNBC and the Financial Times, have announced they will not be participating in a high-profile investment conference in Saudi Arabia over the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

CNN, CNBC, and the FT all stated on Friday that they would not be attending the upcoming Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh, which has been dubbed “Davos in the Desert” in reference to the annual World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Switzerland.

Some reports have claimed that Khashoggi, a Washington Post columnist, was abducted and murdered after entering the Saudi consulate in Turkey.

“CNBC will no longer participate in the FII in Riyadh due to the continuing questions surrounding the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi,” the network said in a tweet.

Meanwhile, the chief communications and marketing officer at the Financial Times, Finola McDonnell, also wrote on Twitter that the British newspaper would not be partnering with the conference while Khashoggi's disappearance remains “unexplained.”

CNN also confirmed it was pulling out, with a spokesperson saying in a statement that the media outlet “has withdrawn its participation in the Saudi Future Investment initiative Conference.”

The Economist pulled out of the conference on Thursday, one day after The New York Times did the same. Viacom CEO Bob Bakish and Los Angeles Times owner Dr. Patrick Soon-Shiong have also confirmed their withdrawal.

But it's not just media outlets making a statement over Khashoggi's disappearance – Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi did the same on Friday, telling CNBC: “I’m very troubled by the reports to date about Jamal Khashoggi… we are following the situation closely, and unless a substantially different set of facts emerges, I won't be attending the FII conference in Riyadh.”

That came after billionaire Richard Branson suspended talks with Saudi Arabia regarding a planned $1 billion investment in his space ventures over Khashoggi's disappearance.

Khashoggi, a critic of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the Saudi royal family, was last seen on October 2 when he entered the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. Turkey has reportedly told the US that it has video and audio evidence proving the journalist, who lived in the US, was killed inside the consulate.

While several US senators led by Republicans Bob Corker and Lindsey Graham have triggered an investigation by the Trump administration into Khashoggi's whereabouts, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is still planning on attending the conference, which is scheduled to take place in Riyadh on October 23-25.

But while some are praising the outlets and individuals who are backing away from the event, others are reminding them that nothing was done in response to other actions by Saudi Arabia – including the bombing of a bus full of children.

One person said they simply didn't understand why the bus bombing, combined with the starvation associated with the crisis in Yemen, wasn't enough to make people like Richard Branson “have a conscience earlier.”

Another mentioned US arms sales to Saudi Arabia, after Trump praised a $12.5 billion deal in March, which was just part of a wider $350 billion deal struck between the two countries last year.

Meanwhile, the foreign minister of the United Arab Emirates has warned on Twitter that there there will be "repercussions" for the "political targeting" of Saudi Arabia.


RT2018/10/12
Virgin Galactic boss Richard Branson suspends $1bn Saudi investment over Khashoggi disappearance
Billionaire Richard Branson has suspended talks with Saudi Arabia regarding a planned $1bn investment in his space ventures after Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman was linked to the disappearance of a Washington Post journalist.

Branson, co-founder of Virgin Galactic, announced last October that Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund was planning to invest $1 billion in his commercial space flight companies. He is now putting the brakes on the investment, as well as distancing himself from participation in two advisory boards linked to the sovereign wealth fund, Branson said in statements to several media.

bloomberg 2018年10月6日 10:56 JST 更新日時 2018年10月6日 17:03 JST
サウジ、ソフトバンクの第2ビジョン・ファンドに5兆円出資へ
サウジアラビアの政府系ファンドは、ソフトバンクグループの孫正義会長兼社長が計画する第2のビジョン・ファンドに450億ドル(約5兆1170億円)出資する。1本目への拠出と合わせると、出資額は900億ドルに倍増することになる。
  サウジの公共投資ファンド(PIF)は、サウジ基礎産業公社(SABIC)の持ち分売却や国営石油会社サウジアラムコの新規株式公開(IPO)などによって向こう3−4年で1700億ドルの資金が入ると見込んでおり、その活用方法を探している。PIFの会長を務めるムハンマド皇太子がブルームバーグとのインタビューで明らかにした。

※ にこそく(市況民) @nicosokufx氏の2018/10/15のツイート
サウジ人記者殺害疑惑「ソフトバンクにも影響?」
ソフトバンク・ビジョン・ファンドでタッグを組む、
サウジのムハンマド皇太子に暗殺疑惑
ソフトバンク -5%
ファストリ -4% 決算後出尽くし続く
⇒値がさ株なので大口の売りの思惑も
2銘柄で日経平均を -140円 押し下げ!

・・・・・・

謀略で自国市民を殺すMBSの資金を預かるファンド運営者について世界はどう見るか。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 11:43| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

同じ年頃の女性に65歳と見られた日

まずはこの張りぼてをご覧ください。大変な力作です。何年に一回か作り替えるようですがこんなに大きなものどこに置いておくのでしょう。作成作業のリーダーはかなりの技術を持っている。それに枯れた老人がやっているようには見えない。とても謎に満ちています。







2018/10/14は、好天ではなかったものの雨はなさそうだったので出かけました。気が進まなければ短時間で終えることにして都市部を歩きます。バスの便があるからです。

習志野市は、もともと丘陵部と低地が入り組んだ複雑な地形。そこに個別住宅や大型集合住宅が立ち並び都市計画がなきがごとき街です。


低地も住宅で埋まり緑地は少ないのですが、芝生の広場があったりします。でも、歩いていて道路から低地の緑地を見下ろすとき、あそこまで下りてまた上る? 止めておこうという気になります。

この地域は犬を飼っている人が割と多いように感じます。しかも小型犬を。
芝犬、8か月とか。ワンワンでなくクンないしはコンのような鳴き声


低地の住宅地は、敷地に余裕があるように感じます。台地はあまり緑がありません。
次の花は黄色と緑が鮮やかです。ランタナではないかと教えてもらいました。花が黄色一色で思いつきませんでした。


地形の特徴を知ってからは、極力高低差がないルートを選んで歩きます。低地に下りないように、下りてしまったら低地を選んで行きますが、やはり急坂を登らざるを得ない場合も。

実籾高校の近くの屋敷近隣公園の入口近くの道路わきでキササゲを見ました。種もたくさんついていますから花はきれいなはず。種を一本取ってきましたが、とても固い。来春は必ず。


実籾駅に近づき、最後の力を振り絞って歩いていると後ろから年配女性の二人連れが追いつき、公園のクレソンなくなっていましたね、と話しかけてきました。実籾本郷公園のことでしょう。

「クレソン、召し上がるんですか?」
「ええ、フキも空き地にあるものを採って食べますよ。」
「まあ、ご自分で食べるのはいいとしても家族には食べさせないようにしたほうが良いでしょう。」
「放射能?」
この方は分かっています。でも私は素知らぬふりをして続けます。
「公園の池には周辺から水が集まってきます。今は、家庭で除草剤をまく人も多いので、池の水には化学物質が多いです」
(クレソンが枯れたのは、そんな影響もあるのかもしれませんねとまでは言いませんでした)
「おいくつですか?」
「いくつに見えますか?」
「65歳」
「よくわかりましたね!」(ここから私は65歳になりきります)
「私はいくつに見える?」
「率直に申し上げていいですか? 私より少し上のようにお見受けしました」
「よくわかったわね!」
「普通の方には60歳前後にしか見えないと思います」
「どうしてわかるの?」
「服装、外見からは60歳前後のように見えるでしょう。でも、私のような老人に話しかけてくださるのは、若い方にはいません。それにクレソンのことなど関心が幅広く、ご自分の意見をしっかりとお持ちのようですので、普通の60歳前後の方とは違います」
「私、公務員やっていたのよ。地方公務員」

駅に着きました。住まいは私の帰る方向と同じようでした。一緒に帰りませんか? と誘うと手に下げた袋を示して「長靴も持ってきているの。これから習志野公園に行くのよ。」とさっさと行ってしまいました。

もう一人の女性は地元の方で少し年下の感じでした。

電車の中で中年女性からジロジロ見られることはありますが、年配女性から話しかけられたことは初めてです。

この花は最近見かけますね。とてもきれいですが栽培は難しいらしい。マンデビラという名だそうです。前に徘徊時に大きな鉢にこの花が満開になっているところを見ました。ご主人が庭におられたので話をしましたが、庭の手入れは不良! なんでこの鉢だけがきれいに咲いているのかとても不思議でした。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 10:59| Comment(1) | 日記

Britain, France, Germany Press Riyadh on Missing Saudi Journalist Case

FARSNEWS2018/10/14
Britain, France, Germany Press Riyadh on Missing Saudi Journalist Case
TEHRAN (FNA)- The UK, French, and German governments directly appealed to Riyadh on Sunday “to provide a complete and detailed response” to the disappearance of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

“Defending freedom of expression and a free press and ensuring the protection of journalists are key priorities for Germany, the United Kingdom and France,” a joint statement by the countries’ foreign ministers said, World News reported.

“In this spirit, light must be shed on the disappearance of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, whose family has lost contact with him since October 2nd,” Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt, French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian and German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas stated.

Underlining a shared “grave concern” also expressed by others, including EU Foreign Policy Chief Federica Mogherini and UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, the statement added that they “are treating this incident with the utmost seriousness”.

“There needs to be a credible investigation to establish the truth about what happened, and – if relevant – to identify those bearing responsibility for the disappearance of Jamal Khashoggi, and ensure that they are held to account,” it noted.

“We encourage joint Saudi-Turkish efforts in that regard, and expect the Saudi Government to provide a complete and detailed response,” the statement said, adding that “we have conveyed this message directly to the Saudi authorities".
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 01:10| Comment(0) | 国際・政治