ずくなしの冷や水

2018年10月13日

私は若い人に就農を勧めることはしません

日本で若い方に就農を勧めるのは適当ではないかもしれません。いずれまとめて書きますが。消費者が離れていくと思います。

※ hiino @iinoh
甘い基準値……(-_-;


※ akiyama @moriyuki777氏の2018/7/19のツイート
アメリカで厳しく使用制限されている危険な農薬「スルホキサフロル」が国内で使用許可されることが決まりました。もはや、全員知らなきゃマズイ「農薬」の話。

※ やのっち(。・ɜ・)d @_yanocchi0519氏の2018/6/30のツイート
“2020年にまで食料を自給する。”
プーチンが宣言してみせたのは、2015年12月のことだった。そして、この目標は、いまかなり達成されつつある。特に、プーチンが未来の成長産業と見なしているのが、ハイテク施設栽培を含めた近代的で利益があがる有機農業である。

※ やのっち(。・ɜ・)d @_yanocchi0519氏の2018/6/30のツイート
続》ロシア農業省のピョートル・チェクマレフ穀物局長は言う。
「食の独立は種子から始まる。ビジネスはより儲かっており、我々は誰にも依存しないレベルへと前進しなければならない。」
ロシアは、健康、環境、生物多様性への認められたリスクからGMOを禁止しており、脱GMO革命に邁進している。

※ エリック ・C @x__ok氏の2018/7/5のツイート
国鉄を見て見よ、電電公社を見よ、郵政を見よ。民営化というのはそれまでの国民達の財産を取り上げて、どこかの誰かが直接的に儲けることなのだ。国民から奪う行為。JRはそれで私鉄より安くなったか?過疎地域では廃止もされた。一等地の多くの土地は超高く売られ誰かが儲けた。新宿を見よ、品川を見よ

https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRq5gSKqGyo6TVgT4UCLN1UR17JWh1opmMmDG31RoQsAibvp_UtYA



イラクで、シリアで、イエメンで、リビアで、スーダンで、みな同じ。


※ 安保 隆 @AmboTakashi氏の2018/7/25のツイート
人口削減と日本の農業の壊滅などを目指す勢力が、気象兵器を悪用して連日の猛暑をもたらしている可能性が高い。http://ab5730.blog.fc2.com/blog-entry-1703.html





※ tunenti @tunentl氏の2018/6/5のツイート
旦那が御近所の麦農家さんと立ち話。種子法廃案になってから初めての麦栽培、今年は大きく違うらしい!品種は1種類だけ。農薬・化学肥料も指定の物しか使えず、全部農協の指示に従ってもらうと農業者の自由が全く無くなったって。栽培の指示も物凄く厳しくなり、今までとは全く違ってしまったと。

※ デスラーさんから 2018/10/13
いつか、この話題が出てくるものと思っていてストックしていた情報をリークします。

一つ目:モンサント社との遺伝子組み換え種子の購入契約書

1.自分の種子を使ってはならない。
2.毎年、モンサント社から種子を購入すること。
3.全ての化学肥料、農薬をモンサント社から買わなければならない。
4.違反して、モンサント社から受けたことをマスコミにも友人にも話してはいけない。
5.年間1ヘクタールあたり、40ドルのライセンス料を支払う。
6.モンサント・ポリスが3年間畑に来ることを認めなければならない。
7.モンサント・ポリスに畑、倉庫、税金支払いの記録を見せなければならない。

でも、こないだカナダでしたっけ?
訴訟されて負けてますよね。。。

次に二つ目:野菜や果物に付いているシールの番号が意味する事

@4桁で、3か4で始まる=化学肥料使用。
A5桁で、9で始まる=昔ながらの有機栽培。殺虫剤・化学肥料無し。
B5桁で8で始まる=遺伝子組み換え作物。
だそうです。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 23:51| Comment(6) | 福島原発事故

Trump vows 'severe punishment' if Saudi Arabia is behind killing of WaPo journalist Khashoggi

RT2018/10/13
Trump vows 'severe punishment' if Saudi Arabia is behind killing of WaPo journalist Khashoggi
Saudi Arabia will face "severe punishment" if it ordered the murder of Washington Post journalist Jamal Khashoggi, US President Donald Trump has warned.

"There's a lot at stake, and maybe especially so because this man was a reporter. There's something really terrible and disgusting about that if that were the case...we're going to get to the bottom of it and there will be severe punishment," Trump said during an interview with the CBS program 60 Minutes on Friday.

However, Trump stressed that even if the journalist was killed at the hands of Riyadh, he still wouldn't end the arms deal between the two countries.

"They are ordering military equipment; everybody in the world wanted that order. Russia wanted it, China wanted it, we wanted it - we got it. And we got all of it, every bit of it."

He went on to say that he doesn't want to "lose an order” or hurt jobs, and that there are "other ways of punishing" Riyadh if needed.

Khashoggi, a critic of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and the Saudi royal family, was last seen on October 2 when he entered the Saudi consulate in Istanbul to get documents for his upcoming marriage.

Turkish officials have stated that they believe a 15-person Saudi “assassination squad” killed Khashoggi at the consulate. Ankara says it has video and audio evidence that he was murdered inside the building, though that information has not been publicly presented.

An investigation into his disappearance by Turkey has reportedly revealed that recordings made on his Apple Watch indicate that he was tortured and killed, Turkey's Daily Sabah reported on Saturday, citing “reliable sources in a special intelligence department.” It added that his watch was synced with his iPhone, which his fiancée was carrying outside the consulate.

The paper also stated that Saudi intelligence agents had realized after Khashoggi died that the watch was recording, prompting them to use his fingerprint to unlock it. They reportedly deleted some files, but not all of them.

Riyadh has denied claims that it ordered the killing of Khashoggi, with the country's interior minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Saud bin Naif, condemning the “lies and baseless allegations” against the kingdom.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 23:30| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

アイホォンの次はアップルの腕時計

イスタンブールのサウジ領事館で殺害されたとされるジャマル・カショーギ(カショギ、カショジとも)氏はアイホォンとアップル腕時計で情報武装していたのだそうです。

領事館に入る前に外で待つ婚約者にアイフォンを渡したとされており、アップル腕時計はアイフォンとブルートゥースやWifiでデータをやり取りし、アイフォンから電話をかけるような仕組みになっているようです。

アップル腕時計は転倒を探知する仕組みがありますから、殴り倒されればアイフォンにそれを知らせることができるはずです。

記事の中には、暗殺団はアップル腕時計を見つけ、ロックを解除しようとしていろいろ試し、指紋認証でロックを解除できたもののファイルの消去は一部しかできなかったと書いてあるものがあります。

アイフォンは指紋認証の仕組みがありますが、アップル腕時計にはその仕組みがないそうですから、ずいぶんいい加減なことも書かれています。

ジャマル・カショーギ氏の婚約者は領事館から少し離れた場所にいましたから、アップル腕時計との距離は20m以上あり、壁などもありますからブルートゥースでの情報のやり取りはできなかったと見られます。Wifiも利用可能なものはなかったはずですから、アイフォンと腕時計との間のデータのやり取りはできなかったと見られます。

それでも、トルコ当局は、殺害時の音声と映像を持っていると述べているようですから、どうやって入手した? ということになります。

トルコのような国は他国の公館に盗聴施設などを設置しているのが当たり前と述べている記事もあります。まあ、それはわかりますが、映像を得るのは難しいです。下水道を調べたというのもありうることでしょう。

サウジとトルコが合同の調査団を作りましたが、互いに手の内を探り合うことに終始するのかもしれません。

これからはローレックスよりもアップルの腕時計のほうがステータスシンボルとしては優位に立つかもしれません。アップルの腕時計をしている人を見たら、この親父、いい歳をしておもちゃの時計をはめているなどと思い違いをしてはなりません。誘拐されて殺されるかもしれないVIPなのですから。

で、管理人もこの腕時計を使ってみたくなりましたが、それはあくまでも技術的な側面の研究のためです。管理人を誘拐したりする奇特な犯罪者はいないでしょう。

私の身に危険が及ぶとしたら警察による冤罪が一番可能性が高いと思います。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:46| Comment(2) | デジタル・インターネット

ジャマル・カショーギの失踪に世界的な注目が集まる 4

FRSNEWS2018/10/11
Jamal Khashoggi Case: Consular Source Heard Screams, Sounds of Struggle, Calls for Help
TEHRAN (FNA)- Turkish investigators heard testimony from a source who was inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul at the time of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi's disappearance who claims to have heard sounds of a struggle, according to a report.

"I have learned earlier that, among the evidence with the investigation is testimony from inside the consulate at the time that Jamal [Khashoggi] was there, which includes hearing sounds of loud screams and shouting, as well as calls for help and the sound of a struggle and then sudden silence," Al-Jazeera's Jamal Elshayyal said.

Turkish foreign ministry sources denied to Al-Jazeera that Saudis rescinded their authorisation for Turkish authorities to search the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.

The foreign ministry’s remarks came after some media outlets claimed that Saudi Arabia cancelled an offer to allow Turkish authorities onto the premises after Turkish state-owned media published a list of the 15 Saudi nationals who allegedly arrived in Istanbul on the same day Khashoggi disappeared.

Turkish investigators are also requesting to search a number of vehicles registered to the consulate, along with the home of the consul general, which is a few hundred metres from the consulate, after a van with tinted windows was seen leaving the consulate and driving to the home a couple of hours after Khashoggi entered.

The Washington Post reported that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman himself ordered an operation targeting Khashoggi.

Based on US intelligence intercepts, Saudi officials were heard discussing a plan to lure Khashoggi from the US state of Virginia, where he resides, back to Saudi Arabia where he would be detained, the newspaper noted, citing unnamed US officials.

It was not clear to the officials with knowledge of the intelligence whether the Saudis discussed harming Khashoggi as part of the plan to capture him, according to the report.

Jamal Khashoggi case: All the latest updates
Khashoggi's Apple watch
A Turkish security official told Reuters news agency the Apple smartwatch Khashoggi was wearing at the time of his disappearance was being looked into by Turkish investigators.

They said the watch was connected to a mobile phone Khashoggi left outside and security and intelligence agents in Turkey believe it may provide important clues as to Khashoggi’s whereabouts or what happened to him.

If the watch and phone were connected to the internet and the devices were close enough to synchronise, data from the watch - saved to the cloud - could potentially provide investigators with information such as the journalist's heart rate and location.

"We have determined that it was on him when he walked into the consulate," a security official said. "Intelligence services, the prosecutor’s office, and a technology team are working on this."

RT2018/10/11
Saudi Arabia’s ambassador to the US has unexpectedly left for Riyadh, with the State Department saying they did not request it but “expect” the envoy to return with information about the missing journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

“That was not our direction,” State Department spokeswoman Heather Nauert told reporters on Thursday, adding, “we expect some information when he gets back.”

The Khashoggi case has the “highest level attention” from the US government, Nauert added.

Khashoggi, a Saudi journalist who wrote for the Washington Post and lived in Turkey, was last seen entering the Saudi consulate in Istanbul last week. Ankara has accused Saudi Arabia of murdering the journalist. Riyadh has rejected the allegations as “baseless.”

Ambassador Khalid bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud is the son of King Salman and younger brother of Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman.

On Wednesday, 22 senators from both parties sent a letter to President Donald Trump demanding an investigation into Khashoggi’s disappearance under the Global Magnitsky Act. The administration has four months to complete the investigation and send a report to the Senate, including recommendations for any sanctions against individuals or countries found responsible.

Trump had already been asked to look into the matter by Khashoggi’s fiancee. "It's a very sad situation. It's a very bad situation. And we want do get to the bottom of it,” the US president told reporters Wednesday. "We cannot let this happen, to reporters, to anybody."

RT2018/10/11
‘Absolutely disgusting’: London museum blasted for hosting Saudi event amid Khashoggi disappearance
London’s National History Museum has been blasted as “absolutely disgusting” after it emerged that it’s due to host an event for the Saudi embassy despite Riyadh being accused of abducting and murdering a journalist in Turkey.

The museum has come under fire for the event, on Thursday night, aimed at celebrating ‘Saudi Arabia Day’ while the Middle Eastern country stands accused of the suspected killing of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi after he entered its embassy in Istanbul, Turkey, last week.

News of the museum hosting the event emerged when details were leaked to The Guardian’s columnist Owen Jones.

Jones called for the event to be cancelled in light of Khashoggi’s disappearance, as well as Saudi Arabia’s bombing campaign in Yemen, where a three-year-old civil war has reduced the country to what the UN has branded the “world’s worst humanitarian crisis.”

The museum, however, defended the event and said it would not cancel it as commercial events are an “important source of external funding.”

RT2018/10/11
Missing Saudi journalist: BBC slammed for releasing off-air Khashoggi interview
The BBC is under fire for releasing off-air comments made by Saudi Arabian journalist Jamal Khashoggi in a radio interview, three days before he went missing in Turkey – a decision some say may have endangered his life.

The BBC’s Newshour, a news and current affairs programme for the World Service, tweeted an off-air recording of Khashoggi, making comments about life under the Saudi regime, and revealed that he wouldn’t be “able to go home [to Saudi Arabia] because of the fear of arrest.”

The BBC insisted they wouldn’t normally release such a conversation, but “in light of the circumstances” they were making an exception.

Their decision has prompted widespread criticism on social media. Dr H.A. Hellyer, an associate fellow at British defence and security think tank, Royal United Services Institute, who says he’s been detained by authorities, labelled the BBC’s actions as ‘reckless’. He claims he’d now have to think twice about making off-the-record conversations with any medium.

Chris Doyle, director for the Council for Arab-British Understanding (CAABU) has called the Newshour’s decision as “reprehensible.” He also appeared to question whether they had thought about the impact on the family and friends of the Saudi journalist. Others suggested the BBC’s move had contravened journalistic ethics and may have sealed the fate of Khashoggi.

RT2018/10/12
‘Pressure will be on Turkey’ if Saudis found guilty of journalist’s murder in Istanbul – analysts
If the Saudis are found to be complicit in the disappearance of US-based journalist Jamal Khashoggi, the result could be a “huge earthquake in international relations,” experts believe.

The Turkish government reportedly has recordings that confirm the alleged kidnapping and murder of outspoken Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. The scandal sounds like a ticking time bomb for international relations, which could not only affect Turkish-Saudi relations, but drag in Washington, the key Saudi ally.

Former US diplomat Jim Jatras and investigative journalist Rick Sterling tell RT what could happen if allegations that the Gulf monarchy, headed by Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman, is behind the plot prove to be true.

If Saudi Arabia is found to be complicit in Khashoggi’s disappearance, Sterling believes “the pressure will be on [Turkish president] Erdogan and Turkey to escalate.”

“Saudi Arabia effectively abducted Lebanese Prime Minister [Saad] Hariri and he appeared in Riyadh, resigned - supposedly - and then it turned out he was coerced in some form or manner,” Sterling added. “The Saudi government is extreme, it’s bizarre and we’ll have to see how the facts develop in this case but it points towards the instability of that government that beheads hundreds of citizens a year.”

However, he adds, the Saudi regime has been “an extremely close ally of the US and Israel. This would be a huge earthquake in international relations if the calls for a serious reduction in relations continues.”

Despite the years of brutality against their own people, Khashoggi’s disappearance seems to have ushered the Saudi regime’s reckless violence into the global spotlight, Jatras told RT.

“Saudi Arabia is usually immune from criticism from the American establishment, They can destroy Yemen, they can cut people’s heads off… and suddenly over one journalist everyone is outraged; We discover that Saudi Arabia is an oppressive regime that kills people,” Jatras said, adding that the sudden attention “seems very strange” considering the “bloody murder that the Saudis have gotten away with for decades.”

A number of media outlets and corporations have cited the Khashoggi affair to pull out of the upcoming Future Investment Initiative (FII) in Riyadh. Meanwhile, pressure is growing on the Trump administration to freeze the sale of US weapons to Saudi Arabia and even sanction Saudi officials under the Global Magnitsky Act if they are found responsible for the journalist’s disappearance.

So far, Trump has resisted the notion, saying that stopping the $110 billion Saudi investment into US weapons would force the longtime US ally to look instead toward Russia or China.

AMN2018/10/13
Saudi Interior Ministry denies reports of Khashoggi’s murder
Jamal Khashoggi, a columnist for The Washington Post, has been missing since October 2, when he visited the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, to obtain documents needed for his upcoming marriage.

The journalist’s fiancee stayed outside the consulate building waiting for Khashoggi for hours before being told by one of the Consulate General’s employees that the journalist had already left. According to media reports, Turkish investigators believe the journalist was murdered inside the consulate.

Meanwhile, Saudi Interior Minister Abdulaziz bin Saud bin Nayef slammed Friday allegations regarding the death of Khashoggi as “lies,” stressing that the accusations of murder plot were targeting the Saudi government, Reuters reported.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said earlier that the Saudi authorities’ comments were unconvincing and called for Riyadh to prove that they have nothing to do with the incident. According to the Turkish Foreign Ministry, Saudi Arabia has authorized Turkish officials to access the consulate building in relation to the disappearance.
According to media reports, the Turkish authorities have informed US officials that they have audio and video recordings that prove that the missing Saudi journalist was killed inside the consulate.

Khashoggi’s disappearance has led officials and business leaders to drop out of some of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s large projects.

Several American companies and business leaders have pulled out of an upcoming The Future Investment Initiative conference in Saudi Arabia as questions mount over the disappearance of Saudi journalist. Moreover, Bloomberg, the New York Times, the Financial Times, CNN and CNBC all have cut their ties with the conference.
ALSO READ Houthis unleashes barrage of missiles on southern Saudi Arabia (video0
On Wednesday, former US Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz said that he had suspended his advisory role on the board of Saudi Arabia’s planned mega business zone, NEOM, until more is known about what happened to Khashoggi.
According to Reuters, the possible murder of a high-profile critic of Saudi crown prince has cast a long shadow over Saudi Arabia’s global image and it could have significant implications for Middle East politics.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 18:08| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

神奈川県下にお住まいの方に改めて甲状腺疾患の警告をします

管理人が神奈川県下にお住まいの方について甲状腺がんに関して得ている情報は次の通りです。

※ 平塚市の2012/10/12の発表によると、落合克宏平塚市長(55歳・男性)は、甲状腺腫瘍摘出手術のため10/15から10/19まで5日間公務を休んだ。

※ 2011/3/15の午前、横浜市内のスーパー屋上駐車場で20分から30分待機していただけで、甲状腺障害が生じ、甲状腺を摘出した方がおられます。読者から直接伺いました。

※ 2011/3、町田市内でガーデンウェディングをした家族の中で二人が甲状腺がんを発症したとの事例を読者から伺いました。

※ 横浜にお住いの読者が所用で東京まで電車で往復した日、携帯していた線量計の日平均線量が0.542μSv/hという高い値が出たと伺ったことがある。2014/2のこと。これは甲状腺がんの手術の後放射性ヨウ素を投与された方が電車に乗り合わせ、その方から強いガンマ線が出ていたことによるものと推定されます。電車の中でヨウ素131を投与された人の側、線量率が25μSv/hの席に30分いたとすると12.5μSv、それ以外の時は0.08μSv/hで23時間半で1.88μSv、合計14.38μSv、24時間で割ると0.599μS/hとなる。日平均で0.542μSv/hはありうることになる。

※ 2017/1、神奈川県下にお住まいの方のコメントに「3ヶ月前に、知人の50代女性が甲状腺がんになったと人づてに聞きました。」

※ 2018/9、逗子市で下水汚泥の放射性ヨウ素含有量が増加。手術を受けた患者がおられることが推定されます。

WSPEEDIによる、2011/3/15、午前10時の地表近くのヨウ素の濃度分布。


ほぼ神奈川県の全域で甲状腺疾患、それから進行した甲状腺がんの発生の恐れがあります。平塚、大和市の北に隣接する町田、横浜、逗子と西から東に至るまで事例があります。

南相馬市立総合病院の白血病やがんの患者数推移
をご覧ください。成人の甲状腺がんが年を追って増えています。

人口55,000人に対して29人の患者です。10万人当たり52人。神奈川県の人口920万人。4,800人の患者がいてもおかしくないことになります。


2013年02月28日
甲状腺のガンとその転移はすさまじいものになるだろう

2015年03月31日
懸念される神奈川県下の健康被害

2017年04月06日
甲状腺異常の経過観察受診に怠りがないように 信頼できる医療機関を選んで
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 17:54| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

米国経済破綻から世界経済が混乱 食品の流通まで止まる?

昨晩、NYの株式市場が大きく下落し、今日のアジア株式市場が波乱となりました。

管理人は、もともと米国経済はバブル状態にあることは確かだと考えていますので、国際的な経済変動が生じる兆しかもしれないと注意喚起の同報メールを送りました。

そして驚いたのは、読者の中には、今年中にはアメリカ経済破綻→世界経済大混乱→世界通貨新導入。食品の流通も止まる可能性もあるので備蓄を進めている方がおられました。

はぁー、そうなんですか。

アメリカ経済破綻→世界経済大混乱 まではありうると思いますが、→世界通貨新導入 となるとこれは眉唾の説です。これまでの通貨を捨てて新しい世界通貨に切り替えることなどできそうにありません。

米国経済の破綻があれば、その一原因はドルの信認の失墜であり新たな通貨を発行しても信認が得られないと思います。

その点は別にして、「食品の流通も止まる」というのは輸入が止まるという意味ですよね。国際経済の混乱、特にドルの信認の失墜で貿易が止まるというのはあることかもしれません。

でもそうなれば、原油の輸入も止まるでしょうし、他の資源の貿易も止まることになりはしないでしょうか。

でも、そうなればそれをチャンスと見る業者もいますから、また新たな流通ルートができるでしょう。

混乱が続くとしても1か月で収まるとの見方もあるようです。

どこまで現実のものとなるか知りませんが、そんな備えをしている人もいることはご紹介しておいたほうがよいでしょう。

次のような見解の方もおられます。

私はアメリカよりも日本の経済破綻に備えるべきではないかと思ってます。
世界通貨を心配するくらいなら、日本の預金封鎖を心配すべきかなと。
日銀はステルステーパリングをやっているとかいないとか。ステルスに続けることができればいいですが日銀は出口がない出口戦略をつづけている気がします。

管理人は、日本の経済破綻は、精神破綻という形ですでに始まっているとの考えです。

※ くりえいと @kurieight氏の1:25 - 2018年10月13日 のツイート
10日の発行の米国債は誰も買わずに売れ残ってしまいました。アメリカの金庫は空っぽに。 20日の償還はできず、アメリカ史上初の不渡り(=倒産)を迎えることがはっきりとしました。
これは中国が全く買わなかったのと、売れ残ったのをいつも買うFRBが全く手を出さなかったのです。

・・・20日の償還ができないのかわからないが、米国債の買い手が減っていることは確か。むしろ売っているところが増えている。買っているのは日本など一部の限られた国。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 14:59| Comment(1) | 社会・経済

南相馬市立総合病院の主要疾病別患者数推移から

南相馬市立総合病院の主要疾病別患者数推移のデータはあまりに傷ましくて今更分析しても・・・というのが率直な気持ちです。

南相馬市立総合病院の外来患者数(延べ数だとみられます)は、2010年福島第一原発事故前から人口総数を上回っていたのですね。それが2011年福島第一原発事故の年に外来患者数がガタンと落ち込みました。2013年に事故前の水準に戻り、その後外来患者数の人口に対する割合は上がり続けています。2011年の外来患者数の落ち込みは、とにかく南相馬から離れていた人が多かったということでしょう。ところが帰還する人が増えてそれとともに人口当たりの患者数は増加している。










posted by ZUKUNASHI at 13:28| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

南相馬市立総合病院の主要疾病別患者数推移

南相馬市立総合病院の主要疾病別患者数の推移には関心が高いようです。ただこのデータの解釈に当たっては人口の推移に注意が必要です。人口が大きく減少しているうえに途中にギャップダウンがあるからです。



当初住民票を移す転出者が多かったのですが、次第に住民票を残したまま転出した住民が多くなったのではないでしょうか。それが2015年の国勢調査で是正されています。

2012年から2015年までの月別の常住人口は過大とみられますのでそれを簡易な方法で修正します。


下にある元表では毎年の人口は10/1現在のものを使っています。上の簡易な推計から毎年10/1の推計人口を取り出すと次のような違いが出ます。


推計人口で疾患別の人口10万人当たり患者数を計算すると次のグラフになります。まあ、グラフにすれば人口修正前でも修正後でもお大差はないと言えますが、毎年の変化率を論じたりする場合は、留意すべき点でしょう。


元表

この元表と 修正人口のデータを末尾に掲げました。これをそのままコピーして表計算シートに張り付ければ表ができます。

人口当たりの計算値




白血病、甲状腺癌よりも胃癌、肺癌、大腸癌で命を落とす恐れが大



死因別の統計では、全国計では急性心筋梗塞による死者は、平成28年と29年では特に増えていません。肺癌も増加率はわずかです。死因別と疾患別の患者数は必ずしも密接に関連しているとは見えません。


・・・・・

期間 白血病(成人) 白血病(小児) 甲状腺癌 胃癌 肺癌 大腸癌 肝臓癌 小児癌 心筋梗塞 肺炎 合計 外来患者数 人口総数 人口総数推定
リンパ性 骨髄性 他 リンパ性 骨髄性 他 成人 小児 急性 急性以外
H22 1 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 147 64 131 12 1 33 6 245 645 82,954 70,878 70,878
H23 1 4 1 0 0 0 4 0 164 68 154 15 1 36 6 287 741 42,029 66,542 66,542
H24 1 8 3 0 0 0 8 0 204 79 188 19 1 40 10 338 899 66,865 65,102 64,412
H25 1 15 4 0 0 0 12 0 231 106 222 25 1 51 14 419 1,101 74,288 64,144 62,312
H26 3 20 6 0 0 0 15 0 269 134 258 31 1 63 17 512 1,329 74,980 63,653 60,212
H27 4 22 10 0 0 0 19 0 300 189 314 35 1 89 20 713 1,716 74,901 57,797 58,112
H28 6 29 15 0 0 1 21 0 342 227 385 42 2 123 24 911 2,128 76,154 56,979 56,979
H29 7 28 18 0 0 1 29 0 333 269 392 47 4 132 23 974 2,257 81,812 55,404 55,404
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S


白血病(成人) 甲状腺癌(成人) 胃癌 肺癌 大腸癌 心筋梗塞(急性) 人口総数推定
実数 対人口10万比 実数 対人口10万比 実数 対人口10万比 実数 対人口10万比 実数 対人口10万比 実数 対人口10万比
2010 5 7 1 1 147 207 64 90 131 185 33 47 70,878
2011 6 9 4 6 164 246 68 102 154 231 36 54 66,542
2012 12 19 8 12 204 317 79 123 188 292 40 62 64,412
2013 20 32 12 19 231 371 106 170 222 356 51 82 62,312
2014 29 48 15 25 269 447 134 223 258 428 63 105 60,212
2015 36 62 19 33 300 516 189 325 314 540 89 153 58,112
2016 50 88 21 37 342 600 227 398 385 676 123 216 56,979
2017 53 96 29 52 333 601 269 486 392 708 132 238 55,404
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 12:31| Comment(8) | 福島原発事故

ジャマル・カショーギの失踪よりもサウジとの武器取引に関心を示すトランプ

RT2018/10/12
Trump under pressure to stop arms sales to ‘good partner’ Saudi Arabia over Khashoggi affair
As public pressure mounts on the Trump administration to halt arms sales to Saudi Arabia over the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, the US defense industry is alarmed while critics of the Yemen war hope for the best.

Khashoggi, a Saudi journalist living in Turkey who wrote for the Washington Post, was last seen entering a Saudi consulate in Istanbul last Friday. Turkey claims he was murdered by Saudi assassins, which Riyadh has denied.

Several major US weapons manufacturers have expressed concern to the White House about proposals to block further arms sales to the Saudis over the Khashoggi case, Reuters reported on Friday citing anonymous US officials.

Senator Rand Paul (R-Kentucky) has already suggested freezing the sale of US weapons to Riyadh until the Khashoggi case is resolved. President Donald Trump has so far remained unconvinced.

“They’re spending $110 billion on military equipment and on things that create jobs ... for this country. I don’t like the concept of stopping an investment of $110 billion into the United States, because you know what they’re going to do? They’re going to take that money and spend it in Russia or China or someplace else,” Trump told reporters at the White House.

If it turns out that Khashoggi was abducted and killed on orders of the Saudi government, “it will destroy the relationship as we know it,” Senator Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) told Fox News on Friday. The chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Bob Corker (R-Tennessee) had said the day before that such a turn of events would “hugely change our relationship.”

Corker and Graham were among the 22 senators that sent Trump a letter earlier this week, demanding a US probe into Khashoggi’s disappearance under the Global Magnitsky Act. The White House is now obligated to provide a report within 120 days, including recommendations for sanctions against those responsible.

Washington, DC lobbyists The Harbour Group announced on Friday they will be ending their $80,000 a month contract with the Saudi Embassy, CNN reported. The Saudi ambassador to Washington, brother of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, reportedly returned to Riyadh for consultations earlier this week.

Though a number of US-based companies have chosen to withdraw from the upcoming Future Investment Initiative conference in Saudi Arabia, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is still going. The desert kingdom has “been a very good partner,” he told CNBC on Friday.

Though the missing journalist is not an American citizen, he did write for the Washington Post - a newspaper beloved by the US political establishment and openly hostile to the Trump administration. Therefore, the Khashoggi affair has quickly grown into an internal US political issue, with some of Trump’s critics blaming it on the president’s “anti-press rhetoric.”

Critics of the Saudi war on Yemen have welcomed the newfound scrutiny of US support for the government in Riyadh, even if it took an unrelated case to bring it about. A Saudi-led coalition invaded Yemen in 2015, on behalf of a pro-Riyadh president ousted by what they say are Iranian-backed rebels. The war has resulted in tens of thousands of deaths and widespread civilian suffering.

Others have pointed out that weapons sales have now become an excuse for perpetuating US foreign wars, which Trump himself opposed during his 2016 presidential campaign.




thinkprogress
Trump cites Saudi Arabia’s arms deal with U.S. to downplay apparent murder of journalist
"Again, this took place in Turkey, and to the best of our knowledge, Khashoggi is not a United States citizen, is that right, or?"
Aaron Rupar Oct 11, 2018, 3:28 pm
During a press availability on Thursday, the supposed leader of the free world downplayed the apparent death of Jamal Khashoggi at the hands of the Saudi regime as a cost of doing business, and pointed out that the Virginia-based dissident journalist was merely a permanent resident of the United States.

“Again, this took place in Turkey, and to the best of our knowledge, Khashoggi is not a United States citizen, is that right, or?… he’s a permanent resident, okay,” President Trump said. “We don’t like it even a little bit. But as to whether or not we should stop $110 billion from being spent in this country, knowing that they have four or five alternatives − two very good alternatives − that would not be acceptable to me.”
Trump’s “$110 billion” comment refers to an arms deal his administration struck with Saudi Arabia in May.

Earlier during the press availability, Trump was unable to describe what exactly the U.S. is doing to investigate the apparent death of Khashoggi inside the Saudi Arabian consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, beyond saying, “we are looking at it, we are looking at it very strongly.” He characterized Khashoggi’s potential murder as “a terrible thing, assuming it happened.”

Asked about the possibility of punishing Saudi Arabia, Trump made clear that he prioritizes doing business with the country more than he does basic human rights.

“I don’t like stopping massive amounts of money that’s being poured into our country,” Trump said. “They are spending $110 billion on military equipment and on things that create jobs for this country.”

Trump’s financial relationship with Saudi Arabia goes beyond arms sales. As the Washington Post reported in August, the Saudi regime has been pumping money directly into Trump’s pockets through his hotels.

FARSNEWS2018/10/11
Trump: Khashoggi Still in Saudi Consulate
TEHRAN (FNA)- Ten days after disappearance of well known Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, US President Donald Trump commented on the incident, which seems is not Riyadh's cup of tea. The leader of America, Saudi Arabia's strongest ally, stated that Khashoggi "went in" the Saudi consulate in Turkey, and "it doesn't look like he came out".

"We have investigators over there and we're working with Turkey and frankly we're working with Saudi Arabia," Trump told "Fox & Friends", adding that "we want to find out what happened. He went in, and it doesn't look like he came out. It certainly doesn't look like he's around".

The US president on Thursday called Washington relations with Riyadh "excellent" but indicated that could change if the Saudi government is found to have orchestrated the killing of Khashoggi.

Humiliating Riyadh government over its power and stability, Trump once again stressed that "there would be no Saudi Arabia if there wasn't a United States because we protected them".

Trump announced days ago that he has warned Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud he would not last in power "for two weeks" without US military support.

Despite the harsh rhetoric, the US administration has maintained a close relationship with Saudi Arabia, which it sees as a bulwark against Iran’s rising influence in the region.

When pressed by "Fox & Friends" hosts if American-Saudi ties would be jeopardized if it was discovered that Khashoggi was killed, Trump said, "You're right", adding that "I have to find out what happened. I mean, I do have to find out. And we're probably getting closer than you might think. But I have to find out what happened".

The president's remarks come days after The Washington Post, citing US intelligence intercepts, reported that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman hatched a plot to lure Khashoggi back to his home country and detain him.

"Well it would be a really sad thing and we will probably know in the very short future," Trump said when asked about the report, adding that "we don't like it. I don't like it. No good".

Trump has faced criticism for being too slow to respond to the disappearance of Khashoggi. A group of Republican and Democrat senators united to demand an investigation into the disappearance of the Saudi journalist. It could lead to sanctions against Saudi Arabia within 120 days.

Khashoggi has been missing since he entered the Riyadh consulate in Istanbul on October 2.

The disappearance of the Saudi journalist has sparked global concern, particularly after Turkish sources stated that authorities believed he was killed inside the consulate in Istanbul.

Saudi officials at the consulate have denied that Khashoggi had been killed or abducted at the mission, rejecting the accusations were baseless; yet, Ankara has asked for permission to search the consulate premises.

As Khashoggi prepared to enter the Saudi consulate, a squad of men from Saudi Arabia who investigators suspect played a role in his disappearance was ready and in place. They had arrived from Saudi capital, Riyadh, early that morning and checked in at two inter-national hotels in Istanbul before driving to the consulate in the leafy Levent neighborhood, according to two people with knowledge of the investigation. According to flight records, two privately owned planes flying from Riyadh arrived in Istanbul on October 2, one before sunrise and the other in the late afternoon.

Last year, the US president signed the largest arms deal in history with Saudi Arabia despite warnings that he could be accused of being complicit in the regime's war crimes in Yemen. During visit to Riyadh in May 2017, Saudi Arabia agreed to buy $US110 billion of US weapons and signed "investment" deals worth billions more.

The kingdom has one of the highest rates of spending on its military in the world, which stood at 10.3 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2017, according to World Bank data.

Before his presidency, Trump described Saudi Arabia as "a milk cow" which would be slaughtered when its milk runs out.

FARSNEWS2018/10/11
Whistle-Blower: Turkish Security in Possession of Saudi Consulate's CCTV Camera Footage Recorded in Past 3 Months
TEHRAN (FNA)- The Turkish security forces have found access to all the video files recorded by the CCTV cameras of the Saudi consulate in the last three months during their investigation into the case of prominent Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi, Saudi whistle-blower Mujtahid revealed on Thursday.

"All recorded files of the CCTV cameras of the Saudi consulate in Istanbul in the last three months are now in the hands of the Turkish security forces," Mujtahid, who is believed to be a member of or have a well-connected source in the royal family, said in a tweet on Thursday.

He added that the US officials, with the help of the CIA and Turkish authorities, have understood that Khashoggi has been killed and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is the one to be blamed.

Mujtahid said that US President Donald Trump and his advisor and son-in-law Jared Kushner have come to believe that saving bin Salman is growing rather impossible.

On Wednesday, a Turkish pro-government newspaper reported to identify the 15 men who Turkey claims murdered a journalist inside the Saudi Arabian consulate.

The front-page of Sabah displayed pictures of the alleged 15-member intelligence team who they said were behind the disappearance of Jamal Khashoggi.

Earlier this week, Turkish President Erdogan called on Saudi Arabia to prove that Khashoggi left the embassy. On Tuesday, Saudi Arabia granted permission for Turkish authorities to search the kingdom's Istanbul consulate.

Along with photographs of the suspects, Sabah published the names and birth years of the 15 Saudis they claim arrived on October 2. The newspaper published photographs of 12 of the men arriving in Istanbul’s Ataturk airport, captured as the men passed through passport control.

Khashoggi, a former Saudi government adviser, had been living in self-imposed exile in the United States since last year fearing possible arrest.

He has been critical of policies of the Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Riyadh's intervention in the war in Yemen.

FARSNEWS2018/10/11
No Murder Mystery: Saudi Royal Court Ordered Journalist Assassinated
TEHRAN (FNA)- Turkish media have quoted officials as saying that Saudi Arabia is behind the assassination of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, and that the order to murder him came from the “highest” levels of the Saudi royal court.

On top of this, Turkish officials have named 15 Saudi men that they have identified as “operatives” involved in the assassination of Khashoggi. The murderous group included a Saudi Special Forces member, two royal guards, and a chief in the internal security agency.

Of course, Saudi officials still deny that anything at all happened to Khashoggi, claiming he entered the consulate on October 2 and left unharmed. Turkish officials, however, don’t think so. According to CCTV cameras, phone call records by the CIA (they refuse to acknowledge or come forward), and confidential intelligence, he was killed. His body has not been found, but there has been no sign of him since this visit, and this is in no way a murder mystery:

1- Turkish officials have concluded that the order to assassinate Khashoggi came from the highest levels of the Saudi government. President Donald Trump has confirmed that he has talked to officials at the highest levels of the Saudi government as well about the matter.

2- Khshoggi was last seen at 1:14 p.m. local time last Tuesday as he entered the Saudi consulate. Turkish officials, talking to Western media, have described the operation as "quick and complex," and that Khashoggi was killed within two hours of his arrival at the Saudi consulate. The agents "dismembered his body with a bone saw they brought for the purpose. It's like 'Pulp Fiction,'" they told the media.

3- Turkish officials have repeatedly said that Khashoggi has been killed. A friend of the journalist, Turan Kislakci, who is also the head of the Turkish-Arab Media Association, told the Western media that Turkish officials called him and "offered their condolences and told us to be ready for a funeral".

4- That Turkey was so easily able to identify this group, and that they arrived in such a conspicuous manner suggests that the Saudis did little to cover their actions, and may even have figured being implicated would intimidate other dissidents. Closed-circuit television footage, flight trackers, intercepted communications and even rumors of a bone saw can easily help serve pieces of this puzzle.

5- The Washington Post - for which Khashoggi wrote critical columns – says US intelligence intercepted communications of Saudi officials discussing a plan to capture the journalist. The Post says the Saudis wanted to lure Khashoggi back to Saudi Arabia and lay hands on him there.

6- Trump claims he wants the US to get to the bottom of the incident. He told reporters that the US is “demanding everything” and considers the matter a very serious situation, adding the US is working closely with Turkey. Trump is clearly doubling down on his push for answers on the matter. He’s not the only one, with Congressional leaders that usually side with Saudi Arabia on all things even starting to ask questions. In that case, the next best move by Washington is to ask the CIA to release their records on phone calls before the murder happened. Yes, they always keep phone call records of everyone up until five years.

7- US Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) spoke to reporters Wednesday, October 10, reporting that it would be a “game changer” if the Saudis had in any way mistreated Khashoggi. Since early indications are that the Saudis had him killed and chopped him into bits, that’s going to be tough for Graham to back away from if this turns out to be the case, which, indeed, is the case. Because Sen. Graham and Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK) both have warned there would be “hell to pay” if the Saudis were behind the journalist’s disappearance. It seems that’s an even safer bet, and while Graham didn’t want to elaborate on what that meant, he did say he thinks the Saudis “know what it means”.

All things considered, and as maintained by Turkish officials, "The Saudis are not cooperating fully with the investigation. They are not open to cooperating." In addition, Saudi authorities have asked Turkish authorities to postpone the search of their consulate in Istanbul. Concerns over Khashoggi’s disappearance have nothing to do with international politics or the geopolitics of the Middle East. For that reason and no other, this particular murder case should prompt calls for investigations from around the world, particularly from the United Nations.

To that end, the Wahhabi regime’s staunchest Western allies, including the United States, where Khashoggi had applied for permanent residency, are equally expected to urge Saudi Arabia to come clean and refrain from double standards. By simply being in touch with the "highest levels" of the Saudi government about Khashoggi's case and/or expressing concerns about his murder, as President Trump would like to suggest, the Saudi regime won’t be pressed enough to reveal more about the murder, much less be held to account in the court of justice.

The Saudi regime might have been able to silence Khashoggi, but it has miscalculated the global impact his murder would have. Under these circumstances and international law, the autocratic regime should never be allowed to escape international justice or else we should wait for more such crimes. It is now the international community's turn to show its choice.

FARSNEWS2018/10/12
For US Money Is More Important Than Murder of Saudi Journalist
TEHRAN (FNA)- A top priority for the US administration, as with many recent administrations, is the selling of massive amounts of US arms to Saudi Arabia. That says why President Donald Trump will never get to the bottom of the murder of Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.

He first claimed he is determined to tackle this matter at the “highest levels.” Now Trump is walking back the issue, insisting that it isn’t worth it for the US to imperil $110 billion in arms sales to Saudi Arabia over a single journalist. Trump says it wouldn’t be acceptable to lose the $110 billion deal, adding that the journalist’s disappearance took place in Turkey, and he’s not a United States citizen.

Trump, as with many recent presidents, has prioritized the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the United States over that of the journalist’s death. He has even specifically warned against upsetting Saudi leaders as it could hurt the US monetarily. “I don’t like stopping massive amounts of money that’s being poured into our country,” Trump said, according to a tweet this week. He added, “they are spending $110b on military equipment and on things that create jobs for this country.”

This is not something of a surprise:

- The arms deal is simply too important to US arms companies, and any serious attempt to punish the Saudis for the killing of Khashoggi is going to boil down to a fight over the arms deal. After all, this is the same autocratic regime that has been murdering thousands of Yemeni people since 2015 and the US government has done nothing to stop the conflict, much less stop its arms supply or refuelling Saudi aircraft mid-air.

- Saudi Arabia is no different than the other authoritarian, violent, and despotic regimes that have dominated the region since the dissolution of the Ottoman Empire. Saudi Arabia is a harsh place, where politically-motivated assassinations and unsavoury governing practices are as commonplace as the oil flowing underneath its sands. To view Saudi Arabia as above the region’s other Arab states is not matched by the facts.

- The relationship between the US and Saudi Arabia is not rooted in common beliefs, shared values and ethics. It is rooted in identical foreign policy interests to dominate the region and protect Israel. Such ties are the reason why Yemen and Syria are in turmoil. They are also the reason why ISIL and Al-Qaeda, the US-Saudi foot soldiers, are still present throughout the region.

- Saudi Arabia is not the answer to the region’s many problems, as Trump would like to suggest. It is in fact the root cause of all regional problems. The despotic regime has taken maximum advantage of America’s appetite for controlling crude market and a desire for a long-term regional partner in crime in order to press its own Takfiri-Wahhabi agenda in the region. This agenda is centred on the regime’s rivalry with Iran and its absolutist quest for hegemony. The United States, having interest in the sectarian fault-lines of the Middle East, has frequently chosen to wade into Arab conflicts on Saudi Arabia’s side.

- Saudi Arabia’s indiscriminate bombing campaign in Yemen, its embargo of Qatar and its export of Wahhabi ideology are not exactly helpful in assuring US security. Many of those who carried out terror attacks in the US were from Saudi Arabia. Riyadh’s war on Yemen, and Washington’s logistical assistance to the Saudi Air Force in particular, has been especially devastating to the people of that destitute country and America’s reputation among the Yemeni population − all the while providing more operating space for the very transnational terrorist groups the US and Saudi Arabia claim to combat in the Peninsula.

- Khashoggi's story now displays pretty well that the Saudi regime is not concerned about women’s rights, press freedom, due process, political pluralism, and individual freedom, but focused on perpetuating its control and subjugating its smaller Persian Gulf neighbours into vassal states. Saudi Arabia has never been a helpful partner in ensuring regional security and peace. Saudi and Persian Gulf Arab money have been absolutely essential in creating and arming ISIL and Al-Qaeda.

In the prevailing environment, it is silly to assume that Trump will ever upend the terms of the decades-long alliance between the United States and Saudi Arabia. US politicians, media figures and foreign policy elites - even those who have fawned over the authoritarian Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman – will never criticize the continuation of US-Saudi alliance. Quite the opposite, the US will continue to give the Saudis a blank check, politically and militarily, for nearly as long as it can last.

In between, in Washington who cares if the Saudis kidnapped, tortured and assassinated Khashoggi inside their consulate in Istanbul? After all, Saudi Ambassador Khalid Bin Salman has told the US that the consulate cannot provide video footage of the consulate because they only have livestreaming, not recorded video! Again, who cares if this is the only consulate in the world that doesn’t tape - and didn’t tape its own nefarious activity.

Therefore, don’t expect the White House to rush to judgment. Because all of this and more have already passed the smell test in Washington. This particular murder case will never call the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the United States into fundamental question because Trump says jobs would be at risk if arms sales to the country were halted.

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 10:29| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

米国がシリアにいる限り戦争は終わらない

RT2018/10/12
War in Syria won’t end while the US remains there – Lavrov to French media
The illegal US presence in Syria is one of the reasons why war there cannot end, especially since Washington is apparently trying to create a quasi-state on the eastern bank of the Euphrates, the Russian foreign minister said.

The pessimistic prediction about the future of Syria came from Sergey Lavrov in an interview he gave to RT France, le Figaro and Paris Match. Asked about a planned disarmament of jihadist forces in Idlib governorate by Turkey and whether it would be an end to the war, which has lasted for over seven years, the Russian officials said solving the Idlib debacle would by no means end the crisis.

“This story will only end when the Syrian people are back in control of Syria and when everyone involved, especially those who came there uninvited, leave,” Lavrov said. He added Idlib is not the last problematic place in Syria.

“There are large territories east of Euprates [river] where absolutely unacceptable things happen. The United States is trying to create a quasi-state there with the help of their allies, mostly Kurds,” he said.

Lavrov said Washington helps creating administrative bodies in areas under its control, provides aid and even considers them good enough to encourage refugees to go back there. This is in sharp contrast to how it treats areas controlled by Damascus, he said.

“I cannot exclude that the US are trying to keep the situation heated up in the region to ensure that everyone is on the edge. It’s easier for them to catch fish in the water they muddy. Such policies never ended well,” Lavrov warned.

The minister also dismissed accusations that Russia engages in all sorts of bad activities, including cyberattacks, meddling in elections and other things. He said the way such accusations are published through the media imply that the accusers are not interested in resolving whatever concerns they have about Russia.

“If our Western colleagues actually expect to put us out of balance with this hysterics, they have not been reading the right history books. If this is all just fuss, this fit of political rabbis will pass naturally. Once they have vented off everything they need to, we will be waiting for them for a serious professional discussion within a legal field, not a propagandistic chat,” he said.

Lavrov also criticized US officials for encouraging the Ecumenical Patriarchate of Constantinople to push for a church schism in Ukraine, saying it was not normal for secular authorities to get involved in church affairs.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 09:05| Comment(0) | 国際・政治