ずくなしの冷や水

2017年11月10日

恐怖の王国サウジ 石油価格への影響は?

RT2017/11/10
Kingdom of fear: Saudi Arabia on lockdown
Events in Saudi Arabia are unfolding at a blinding pace, with a radical shift taking place within the upper echelons of government. Last weekend, King Salman announced the set-up of a special anti-corruption force that wasted no time in rounding up more than a dozen government officials−both former and current−five members of the royal family, and several businessmen. Since then, the list has been growing, to more than 60 as of today.

Now there are reports about the Riyadh Ritz-Carlton being turned into a luxury prison for the detainees. There are rumors−which Riyadh has denied−that one of the targets of the purge, Prince Abdulaziz bin Fahd, was killed while resisting arrest. There are also reports that the purge could fill the state coffers with as much as $800 billion in assets seized from those arrested−all members of the Saudi elite.

Speculation abounds and there is growing worry that the situation could spiral out of control. There is a constant flow of new information coming from Saudi Arabia, such as that one of the Arab world’s leading broadcasters, MBC, has been put under government control. Part of its management was removed and the owner detained. News is also emerging that even the former Saudi Energy Minister Ali al-Naimi, Saudi Arabia’s media face for decades, has been forcibly confined to his quarters.

There is talk that a travel ban has been issued for a number of government officials, including executives from Aramco. That’s on top of reports that Aramco board member Ibrahim al-Assaf, a former Finance Minister in the Kingdom, was also among those arrested.

Naturally, in oil industry circles this raises the question over the safety of Aramco’s IPO and, more than that, what will happen to oil prices if the instability intensifies. For now, the news is all bullish for prices. The purge is widely seen as a pre-emptive strike and power grab by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, head of the new anti-corruption agency and heir to the throne, as well as the champion of the Vision 2030 reform program.

The Crown Prince is also the driving force behind the Aramco IPO, which should provide the funds for the reform program. Now, for the IPO to be as successful as Prince Mohammed wants it to be, global oil prices need to be high, perhaps higher than they are now.

Any political instability in the Kingdom is naturally fueling bullish sentiment. Now there are reports that some royals fleeing prosecution from the new anti-corruption agency have been offered asylum in Yemen by the Houthi rebels that are backed by Saudi Arabia’s arch-enemy, Iran. This is nothing short of astounding, since Saudi Arabia has been at war with the Houthis for two years now, with Prince Mohammed at the spearhead of the conflict.Earlier this week, Saudi Arabia accused Iran of direct aggression, citing the missile attack the Houthis launched on Riyadh, which was intercepted by the Kingdom’s defense system.

It is difficult to predict where all this will lead. Some, like Dennis Gartman, warn that although the immediate impact of the latest Saudi events is positive for prices, it will turn negative in the longer run as this sort of instability is unsustainable. Others, such as Morgan Stanley’s commodity analysts, are revising upwards their oil price forecasts, encouraged by these same events. OPEC’s Vienna meeting, where the cartel will discuss the extension of the oil production cut it agreed almost a year ago, is less than a month away. There are voices suggesting that Saudi Arabia could make a U-turn on its support for the deal in light of the now higher prices resulting from its internal tumult and the spike in tensions with Iran.

In the meantime, the Ritz-Carlton in Riyadh is fully booked until February, as per the hotel’s website, and all guests were asked to leave or had their reservations cancelled.

This article was originally published on Oilprice.com
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:11| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

モンサントの新しい除草剤が米国中西部の数百万エーカーの大豆やカボチャを枯らした

RT2017/11/10
Monsanto’s monster-herbicide blamed for killing millions of crop acres

Agro-chemical giant Monsanto’s new version of an herbicide called dicamba is allegedly wiping out millions of acres of farmland across the US Midwest, according to farmers from 25 states litigating with the company and calling for stiffer rules.

According to the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the farmers have submitted more than 2,700 claims to state agricultural agencies that neighbors’ dicamba spraying destroyed 3.6 million acres of soybeans. About 900,000 acres of crops were reportedly damaged in Arkansas alone, more than in any other state. The herbicide is also blamed for destroying other crops, such as cantaloupe and pumpkins.

This week the sides gathered for a hearing in Little Rock, Arkansas. The proposed restrictions are subject to the approval of a subcommittee of state legislators.

Last month Monsanto sued the Arkansas State Plant Board following the decision to bar the new herbicide and propose tougher restrictions on similar weed killers ahead of the 2018 growing season. The company said its herbicide was being held to an unfair standard.

Monsanto has criticized some Arkansas state agriculture officials and scientists involved in researching and regulating dicamba. “What the plant board did is very unfortunate for growers in Arkansas,” said Scott Partridge, Monsanto’s head of strategy.

The chemical and related seed sales could generate as much as $350 million in annual profits for Monsanto, according to Jonas Oxgaard, an analyst from Bernstein. “It’s their big moneymaker,” he told the Wall Street Journal.

Around 25 million acres of dicamba-tolerant crops have been planted by US farmers this year. In October, companies agreed with the EPA on tighter controls for those products, including training farmers on how to manage the chemical and barring application on windy days.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:07| Comment(0) | 社会・経済

健康管理支援? 誰が信用する?

朝日2017年11月9日14時00分
原発事故対応した人の健康支援、10万人想定のはずが…
熊井洋美
 千葉市稲毛区の国立研究開発法人「量子科学技術研究開発機構」が、東京電力福島第一原発事故の復旧にあたった警察や消防、自衛隊の職員や原発作業員ら約10万人の健康管理支援などを想定して整備したシステムで、実際は645人分の健康診断データしか集められていなかったことがわかった。
 このシステムの整備事業では、78件の契約などで計約4億2701万円の国費が支払われた。会計検査院は、このうちシステム保守契約など27件で計約1億2919万円が不当に支払われたと指摘した。
 機構の広報担当者は「被曝(ひばく)線量の高い人が当初の推定より少なく、データを提供してもらえなかったと推察される。規模の縮小など、ある時点で見直す必要があったと反省している」と話している。

・・・引用終わり・・・
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 11:53| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

日本産の食品からラジウムが検出されています

※  しかのつかさ‏ @sikano_tu 氏の2017/11/8のツイート
このラジウム女工たちの話は知ってたけど、企業が労働者の健康に責任を持つことを義務付けるようになった、最初の判例になった事件だとは知らなかった。

Andrea Hickey / BuzzFeed
たくさんの労働者を救った「ラジウム・ガールズ」、その忘れられた物語
勤務時間が終わると、女工たちの体は暗闇で光った。恐ろしい副作用が出てきた時、彼女たちは残された時間の中で、正義のために闘い始めた。

・・・引用終わり・・・

管理人は、日本産食品の放射能検査を専門的な測定所に依頼した方から日本産食品から広くラジウムが検出されていると聞いたと伺っています。

いつも「き坊の棲みか」から引用させてもらっているウラン238の崩壊過程を示す図。



posted by ZUKUNASHI at 09:01| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

荷物を持った側の足に痛みと違和感、肩が落ちる人も

2017/11/9に寄せられたコメント

実は、11月2,3,4日と また東京におりました。
東京は線量が高いかなぁと、行くことを決めた2,3週間前は案じていたのですが、思わぬラッキーさがあったのでしょうか。

基本的に、私は相当いつもより元気で、疲れませんでした。
それは、ほぼ今日まで続いています。

ところで、ひとつ、東京を去る4日の夕方辺りのことですが、
やや重い荷物を持って歩いていると、突然、右足に今までなかった痛みと違和感があり、えええ?となりました。膝と膝の裏?と、それに沿って、内側の膝下のあたりの筋というか。。

もう痛いというか、うまく歩けないかもと一瞬思うほどで荷物のせいもあるかと思い、右に持っていた荷物を左に持ち替え、歩き出すと、なぜか不思議なことに左足も鈍い痛みが、膝のあたり中心にきましたが、さほどひどくなかったので、そのまま荷物を左肩に持ったまま、歩きました。

ただ、右足は、その後も少し痛み、東京を離れた翌日も、鈍いような痛みと違和感が、右足の膝中心に、残りましたが、
今は快方に向かい、たまになんとなく変な感じはしても、普通に歩けます。

足が悪い人が増えたとか、転倒する人が多いとか言いますが、私も突然来た、この足の感じは初めてでした。
なんだったのかなぁと思いますが、疲れ??だったんでしょうか。
謎です。

・・・引用終わり・・・

このコメントを拝見して、なんか似たような話を聞いたなぁ、と記憶をたどりました。近所の主婦が先日片手に荷物を持って歩いていたら荷物を持つ手の側の肩が下がって歩けなくなったと。反対側に持ち替えたら反対側も同じようになり、彼女は脳神経外科を受診すると言っていたのです。

還暦を過ぎた主婦です。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 07:52| Comment(2) | 福島原発事故