ずくなしの冷や水

2017年11月16日

パキスタン元クリケット選手のイムラン・カーン 選挙に勝利すれば南アジアを揺さぶる可能性

簡潔にまとめられ理解しやすく興味深い記事です。

RT2017/11/16
Imran Khan's plan to switch Pakistan from US to Chinese orbit can transform the region
Imran Khan knows that Pakistan desperately needs reform. Should he win the next election, his rise might not just change Pakistan, it may shake up the whole region.

A quarter of a century ago, Imran Khan was one of the greatest and most charismatic sportsmen in the world. He had just led the Pakistan cricket team to their momentous first victory in the Cricket World Cup, converting himself into a national hero in the process.

Khan retired from cricket, and let it be known that he was set on pursuing a second career as a national politician. However, for many years Imran Khan's political career was a litany of humiliating defeats and failure.

Most observers wrote him off completely.

Then, in the 2013 elections, Khan's political party, the PTI (Movement for Justice) made a major breakthrough. It polled strongly among young and middle-class voters in Pakistan’s major cities and in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (formerly North West Frontier Province). It has been the dominant party in that province’s government for the last five years.

Progress has continued. Mr Khan has a genuine chance of becoming prime minister after the General Election scheduled to be held next year.

Up for grabs

It's time to take him seriously as a front rank politician. And this means asking the question: what kind of a prime minister will Imran Khan be? In which direction will he steer Pakistan? Has he got the authority to do the job?

I will deal first with domestic policy. Imran Khan has positioned himself as a man of deep integrity, intent on ending the corrupt and rapacious culture which has held his country back for the last half century.

Two political parties have dominated Pakistan during this period. One is the PPP (Pakistan People’s Party), formed by Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto in 1967, which has its power base in Sindh province in southern Pakistan. The second is PMLN (Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz) which dominates Pakistan's second largest province, the Punjab. Both parties have become associated over the years with grotesque levels of political corruption.

Since the start of his political career, Imran Khan has been utterly consistent in treating these two parties as a cartel intent on plundering the assets of the state for their own advantage. To start with Imran has found it very hard to make headway against the entrenched power block. But factors have suddenly swung dramatically in his favor.

Establishment disarray

In the south, the Pakistan People’s Party has collapsed. It has never found a satisfactory replacement for Benazir Bhutto, who was cruelly murdered in mysterious circumstances in the garrison city of Rawalpindi ten years ago next month.

She was replaced by her husband, Asif Ali Zardari. Elected president in a sympathy vote, Zardari left office with a reputation for corruption from which the party has found it impossible to recover.

Meanwhile, the Muslim League is also mired in corruption scandals. PMLN leader, Nawaz Sharif, has been declared disqualified from public office on account of forgery and lying on oath, in the wake of the ‘Panama Papers’ revelations. Other charges hover around his family.

The situation is so serious that the PMLN cannot even agree who will lead it into the forthcoming elections. With both major parties crippled by scandal, the time will never be more favorable for the emergence of a new figure on a mission to clean up Pakistan politics.

Imran Khan will fight on that anti-corruption agenda next year, and this will make him a very credible figure on the domestic front. In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, his party has won credit for honesty in government and for progress in education.

Outside influence

I now turn to foreign policy. Here events are also conspiring to help Imran Khan in his tilt for the leadership of his country. For the last 20 years, Khan has campaigned against the power exercised by the United States in Pakistan politics. He has campaigned tirelessly against the murderous use of drones in the Tribal Areas and opposed the CIA's involvement in extraordinary rendition and torture of Pakistan citizens.

This strong moral stance is now paying off. Just as with his domestic anti-corruption campaign, the mood of the country is on his side.

Pakistan was for decades the most important client state of the United States in South Asia. Recently, the US has changed sides and has thrown its weight behind India. This means that Pakistan – whether it wants to or not - is switching sides as well.

Its ties with neighboring China, always strong, have deepened profoundly. There is a risk that Pakistan will have traded one dependent relationship for another – but most Pakistanis seem willing to take it.

To sum up, on the international as well as the domestic front, Imran's analysis has proved timely and wise.
Obstacles to climb

That is why I believe Imran Khan can be the beneficiary of a massive change of sentiment in the upcoming elections. And if he wins power, Khan is capable of proving his country's most charismatic international leader since Bhutto.

This means that through sheer force of personality Imran Khan can transform Pakistan's standing in the world.

The two most recent leaders, Zardari and Sharif, have lacked any charisma. They have never attempted to project Pakistan internationally. They have never explained what their country stood for.

They have given the impression that they take too much interest in striking selfish deals for personal advantage. Imran can transcend all of this.

But one ferocious obstacle stands in Imran’s way. Can he break the grip which the Sharifs and the Bhuttos maintain over Pakistan’s electoral politics?

In the rural areas, elections are not won and lost on the arguments or even the party leaders. They depend on who strikes the best deal with local notables who can deliver the vote.

Five years ago Imran refused to strike the deals. This time around he is doing so. Significantly, local notables are starting to abandon the Sharifs.

This pragmatism makes it easier for him to win the election. But it makes it much more difficult to keep his promises against corruption once the election is won. His other major problem in office will be to establish a relationship with the army – always a major force in Pakistan politics behind the scenes.

These are problems for the future. For the time being the rise of Imran Khan is the most hopeful moment in his country’s democratic policies in half a century. He may win a mandate for the reforms Pakistan desperately needs.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 20:26| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

降雨時線量率上昇の常が戻ってきた

2017/11/14は、中部、近畿、四国で降雨。


秋田も降雨
秋田市 県健康環境センター
・現在: 0.053 μSv/h ・平均: 0.035 μSv/h
鹿角市 鹿角地域振興局
・現在: 0.054 μSv/h ・平均: 0.031 μSv/h

滋賀県




降雨の範囲と線量率上昇の地域がほぼ重なっている。




線量率上昇地点が広がっています。
三好市 池田総合体育館
・現在: 0.085 μSv/h ・平均: 0.061 μSv/h


GM-10を窓の隙間から外に出してみました。測定値が少し上がっていますが、大きな変化ではありません。プルームが来て測定値がガリガリと上がり始めたら測定器を家の中に取り込んでしまいそうな気もします。




20時現在でMean 13.42まで上がりました。

長野県南部と岐阜県に降雨がありますが、線量率の上がり方は小さいです。


11/15、自宅GM-10の測定値がわずかながら上昇傾向で注目していましたが、昼過ぎに止まってしまいました。通信に使われるcomがどうかなったらしい。やはり時々止まります。



鮫川村の近辺で空間線量率が上がっています。栃木県北部も影響圏内です。


夜遅くになって青森の西側、佐渡、福井などで上がっています。佐渡は能登半島から、福井は? 青森も風は西風なのですが。釧路も上げています。


白木峠の辺りから放射性物質が放出されています。これにより敦賀湾をはさんだ 南越前町 河野(現在: 0.057 μSv/h 平均: 0.048 )や越前町 越前町役場(現在: 0.072 μSv/h 平均: 0.046 μSv/h )、福井市などで空間線量率が上がっているものとみられます。


白木峠の近くにある原発は廃止されるようですが、廃炉の技術面での見通しは立っていないようです。管理レベルが下がると放射性物質の放出はより多くなるでしょう。そのたびにこの方面に流れるとなると大変です。



柏崎刈羽


リンゴが収穫期なんですけどね。降雨が少なくとも大きく上がります。ガンマ線源だけではないはずです。



滋賀県の北部で線量率が上がっています。白木峠近辺に放出源がありそうです。11/16の未明は北方向で線量率が上がっていましたが、
夜になって南方向で線量率上昇です。

新潟県の広い地域で線量率が上昇、柏崎刈羽が起源とみられます。新潟県はこれからの季節、線量率が上がる日が増えます。山形、秋田の日本海側は同じです。

同報メール参考図
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 20:17| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

存在感を高めるイランがイスラエルには脅威に映る

RT2017/11/16
Netanyahu threatens Israel will 'act alone' against Iran in Syria
Israel will stop at nothing to contain Iran, even if it has to act alone, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said. The PM accused Tehran of plotting to destroy Israel from Syria, where it has been helping fight terrorists at the government's invitation.

“Iran is scheming to entrench itself militarily in Syria,” Netanyahu claimed as he addressed the Jewish Federation of North America’s General Assembly in Los Angeles via a video conference on Tuesday.

The Israeli leader further alleged that Iran, which serves as one of the guarantors of a ceasefire deal in Syria along with Russia and Turkey, wants to station its troops on the Syrian territory on a permanent basis “with the declared intent of using Syria as a base from which to destroy Israel.”

Netanyahu, who once branded the milestone nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers a “historic mistake” and a threat to Israeli survival, again lashed out at the universally hailed document, arguing that it will allow Iran to “produce hundreds of nuclear weapons” after “about a decade.”

The PM urged a joint effort of the international community to curb Iran, noting that if allies do not support the Israeli lead, it will not hesitate to act on its own.

“If we stand together we will achieve it,” he said. “But if we have to – we'll stand alone. Iran will not get nuclear weapons. It will not turn Syria into a military base against Israel,” Netanyahu warned.

Netanyahu’s claim that the deal “rescinds all the limitations on Iran’s enrichment capacity,” has been disputed by reports regularly presented by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), that has repeatedly confirmed Iran’s full compliance, the latest such confirmation coming this week. On Monday, a confidential IAEA report, cited by Reuters, reportedly found that Iran did not exceed the limit for enriched uranium stockpiles capped at 300 kilograms, and provided free access for inspection at all nuclear sites. It became the ninth time in a row the UN nuclear watchdog confirmed the Islamic Republic’s conformity with the provisions of the deal.

In his refusal to acknowledge the effectiveness of the deal, Netanyahu is one of a very few world leaders, the others being US President Donald Trump and, recently, French President Emmanuel Macron. Donald Trump notoriously labeled it “the worst deal ever” and refused to recertify Iran’s compliance with the agreement in October. The US Congress now has until mid-December to consider whether to re-impose sanctions on Iran. Last week, French President Emmanuel Macron spoke of the possibility of amending the nuclear deal with Iran to cover ballistic missile development by the Islamic Republic, drawing ire from Tehran, which insists that its ballistic missile program and nuclear development are two separate issues.

Meanwhile, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Tuesday that both the Iranian and Russian military presence in Syria was “legitimate… at the invitation of the lawful government.”

Speaking about a Russia-US-Jordan agreement to withdraw “non-Syrian” military units from the de-escalation zone in south-eastern Syria, Lavrov said that “there was no talk of Iran, furthermore, of pro-Iranian forces.” Syrian President Bashar Assad has recently thanked Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, for standing behind his government in the battle against terrorism.

"The Syrian Arab Republic and the Islamic Republic of Iran are continuing the fight against oppression and aggression and eliminating the threats of terrorism," Assad wrote in a letter in September, as cited by Press TV.

Contrary to Iran and Russia, which have been engaged in the conflict at the invitation of the legitimate Syrian government, the US-led coalition is operating in Syria without any international mandate or permission from the authorities. Israel has been launching airstrikes on Syrian territory, either targeting what it claims are Hezbollah positions or in retaliation to stray projectiles that occasionally land into the Israeli-occupied side of the Golan Heights.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 20:02| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

サンフランシスコの電車内で人種差別主義者がアジア人を攻撃

黒人やヒスパニックへの差別が激しくなれば、次は東洋人です。

RT2017/11/16
‘I hate you, Chinese n****r!’ Racist passenger attacks Asian man on SF train (VIDEO)
A white man has been caught on film yelling racist slurs against an Asian passenger on San Francisco’s rapid train while horrified commuters watched on without intervening. The victim was brave enough to stand up and confront the attacker.

A widely-seen video emerged online showing an old white man aggressively uttering racial insults at Asian man, identified by SF Gate outlet as Charles Wu, on a Bay Area Rapid Transit (BART) train.

The offender is first seen leering at Wu, threatening to “punch his d**k” and “beat you down.” As a passenger next to Wu begins to move away, the white man calls him “Chinese n****r,” slapping him on the neck and shoulder.

Wu remains visibly calm until the attacker, seemingly challenging him into a physical fight, tells him: “I hate you, you f*****g Chinese f**k.” Wu slowly stands up to respond, but other commuters stop him, saying “Don’t do it, don’t do it,” and “He’s not even worth it.”

Wu later told SF Gate the man boarded the train near the Coliseum Station. He said hardly anyone was willing to intervene at first. “No one was saying anything and it was a BART full of people,” he said. “I had enough, so I told him, ‘Sir, you need to stop talking.’”

BART police said they received three calls from commuters, but the assailant left before officers arrived. Police launched an investigation into “the belligerent and bigoted actions” of the suspect, though Wu insisted he does not want to press charges.

Video of the encounter was uploaded to Facebook by a user named Wiseley Wu, who recorded it while apparently sitting nearby on the BART train.

“Even in Bay Area, racism like still exists,” the user wrote on Facebook. “I was merely the person filming it, not the guy being insulted. I wish I were as brave as him.”

“We see a lot of crazy things on BART and I thought it’d be over in no time,” the camera operator later told SF Gate. “But it kept getting worse and worse and I never expected to see something like this in front of me, I didn’t know what to respond.”

About 420,000 people use BART trains daily. While the agency says it is increasing its police presence and hiring additional officers, it says that it also relies on commuters to report crimes.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 19:40| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

駅や電車で卒倒に加えて喧嘩が増えている 頭のあちこちがおかしくなっている

かにちゃんと世界線氏のリツイートから抜粋

※  かずや‏ @harryharry1013氏の2017/11/11のツイート
帰りの電車で殴り合いの喧嘩おきてるんだけど、電車止まってるー

※  おたま。またの名をまるお。‏ @lust_luxuria_6氏の2017/11/16のツイート
小田急線上でなんか怒鳴りあいの喧嘩してたけどそんなことより電車止まらなくてよかった

※  Take◇‏ @55Vv_氏の2017/11/15のツイート
綾瀬で取手行きに乗ったんだけど、満員電車なのにリーマンが喧嘩始めて本当についてない

※  yuka.m‏ @m6y2k氏の2017/11/15のツイート
東西線怖い…こっち使うようになってから電車内でよく喧嘩を見かけるんだけど…現代人ストレス溜めすぎでしょ(´△`)ちょっとした事で爆発する人多過ぎるよ

※  9on Moleno - 久遠 -‏ @9onMoleno氏の2017/11/15のツイート
関東に出てきてから思うこと
理不尽なことで電車内で喧嘩ふっかけられる
まァ俺に喧嘩ふっかけるのがそもそもの間違いじゃがの!
倍返しにしたったわぃw
広島人舐めんな(#゚Д゚)ゴルァ!!

※  たな㌠‏ @tana3d氏の2017/11/16のツイート
最近電車内であきらかに喧嘩ふっかけようとしやがる奴がいてマジでクソ

※  まこちゃん‏ @hisae3433氏の2017/11/16のツイート
お客様を無理やり降ろしたので電車動きますwwwwwありがとう東西線ww喧嘩したの女同士で、バックで押したでしょブス!。顔関係ないでしょ!って頭幼稚園以下かよ…

※  まりこ‏ @mari_kogg氏の2017/11/16のツイート
電車の中で女子高生とサラリーマンが喧嘩しとって、女子高生が「どこに目ん玉つけとんねんクソジジイ!」ゆうたら「...顔につけとんじゃ....」て返しててフフフって声出かけた

※  ゆうきゃんてぃ‏ @yct914氏の2017/11/15のツイート
さっき電車のボックス席じゃない普通の席の向かいで座ってたカップルが大声で喧嘩してたんだけどそれこそ隣座れって感じ

※  あみ‏ @330amiee718氏の2017/11/11のツイート
お姉さんとおじさんが電車の中で殴り合い始めてほんと怖かった…。

・・・引用終わり・・・

卒倒事例も続いています。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 18:56| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

海外にお住いの読者は滞在地を教えてください

世界のいろいろな動きが激しいです。管理人は、日本のマスメディアは見ておらず、もっぱらネットで海外発の情報を追うようになっています。

2017/11/15の韓国南東部の地震もRTの速報が私にとっての第一報でした。すぐにツイッターで情報を探しましたが、私のフォローする人の中では言及している人はおられませんでした。

比較的大きな地震でしたが、震源地の情報から原発に近い、放射能漏れは? と連想した人は私のような放射脳重度感染患者だけなんでしょう。

やむを得ず、海外の情報を探しました。ツイッターも海外のレスポンスが早かったです。

ただRTは、その後震源から月城原発までの距離と原発に異状がないと発表があったことを伝えています。問題意識は持っていたのです。

先月10月の欧州の放射能が上がっているとの情報は読者からもらいました。放射性物質がルテニウム106であることは、しばらくして海外の各種メディアが伝えました。放出源の推定が出るまでに1か月以上時間がかかっています。その間に日本にも流れてきているはずと読者の体調変化の様子をうかがって思いました。

米国については、福島第一原発由来の放射性物質の到達に加え、ハンフォードなどの核施設からの放射性物質放出は深刻な問題ととらえています。

しかし、ハンフォードで事故があって放射性物質が放出されてもMSMはほとんど伝えず、シアトルのローカルテレビが取り上げる程度にとどまることも多いです。RTはそのような事故についても取り上げますので、北米滞在の人も気づかないままにこのブログに情報が転載されていることもあるでしょう。

米国のメディアは放射能汚染問題に関する報道には腰が引けていますし、例えば西海岸の海洋学者なども海洋生物の大量死などについて前例のない事態だというだけで具体的なデータを示しません。

最近ハワイで漁獲された魚の半数から放射性物質が検出されたとの報道がありましたが、そんなのはとうに予想されたことで管理人にとっては情報価値はほとんどありませんでした。広い核種別のベクレル数でも示してくれなければ、知見は深まりません。

米国においては原子力村の締め付けが厳しく、それがそっくり日本で反映されていると感じます。

日本でもそうですが、特に海外については読者がいなければその地域にかかわる情報は取り上げません。最近は、国内で人口動態の悪化が大きい地域について私の調べた結果を示しても何も反応がないことも多く、ある意味では気楽にデータを掲載できるというメリットはありますが、後で心配した結果が見えてきたときにはやはり悩みます。

同報メールでそのような事例分析を取り上げることがありますが、自分一人でそのような危惧を抱いているよりも精神的負担感が軽減されます。

危険を誇大に強調することはしません。5年前の情報をさも最近の出来事のように取り上げることもしません。

ですが、リスクが探知された、あるいは表面化したときは「過剰防衛」が必要です。いったん被曝すると、それをなかったことにすることはできないのです。解毒剤はありません。

福島第一原発事故後、家を締め切り、布団をかぶって恐怖と戦っていた人が結局被曝が最も少なくなったのです。

海外在住の方は、滞在地をお知らせいただけば、その地にかかわる情報があればできるだけ取り上げるようにします。大きな国は都市名まで。コメントを公開されたくない人はその旨書いてください。

ショコラさんのコメントで改めて、管理人の姿勢を告知することにしました。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 15:22| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

GM-10の表示がしばしば止まります Gmailにまた不正なアクセス

2017/11/16朝、パソコンを立ち上げたらブラウザーのFirefoxが更新されていました。Firefox Quantum Browser というものらしい。サイトの閲覧が速くなるとニュースにありました。

まだ、違いが分かりません。使いこなせていません。Windows7に入れてあるFirefox は更新されていませんでした。

Windows10のプログラム更新が多いです。ダウンロードに時間がかかりますし、インストールも同じ。何度か失敗しています。ネットが遅くてパソコンの処理能力が低ければ、本来の作業が停滞するでしょう。2台使っているので、なんとか切り抜けていますが。

GM-10のリアルタイム表示がときどき止まります。昨晩はパソコンでの作業を止めて他のプログラムを停止した後にWindows7のプログラム更新があったらしく、再起動できないままグラフ表示が止まっていました。

ほかにも通信ポートがいつの間にか切り替わっていたり、よく止まります。空間線量率リアルタイム測定・表示のポイントで表示停止のところが多いのは、無理からぬことなんですね。Windowsやネット接続の問題もありますし、GM-10付属のソフトも若干不安定な面があるようです。パソコンを起動するたびに設定した内容が変わることが多いです。

すでにサポートも終わってWindowsプログラムの更新がないXPの器械を使ったほうがよいでしょうか。そのためには新しい専用のレンタルサーバーを借りなければなりません。ハッキングされてログインパスワードを盗まれ、サーバ内部を荒らされても被害がないようにするためです。

朝、GM-10のソフトを再起動してグラフが描かれているのは確認しましたが、アプロードされていません。サイトに表示されるグラフは9時時点のもの。FTPに問題がある? サーバーの中を覗いたら管理人のフォルダーが見つかりません。あれれ! 別の器械で覗くと見える。(再起動で直りました)

ここまで書いたら、GoogleからGmailにまたログインしようとする不正なアクセスがあったと通知が来ました。今回は米国と横浜市。使っていないのでGmailアカウントは削除することにしました。

だいぶ広く漏れているようです。読者の中にもGmailお使いの方は多いようですが、どうぞご注意を。Googleが不審なアクセスを探知して知らせてくれますので、まだましだと思いますが。

最近、Gmailが届かないと綴ってあるツイートも見かけています。

メールが乗っ取られると、ネット犯罪に使用される恐れがあります。ツイッターでなされる例もありますし、メールならもっと高度な手が使えるでしょう。
2017年09月11日
インターネットで成り済ましの被害例

上の例は、警察官も検察官もまったくネットでは成り済ましが容易であることの理解がないことを示しています。

メールが乗っ取られ、詐欺などに使われた場合、あなたが逮捕されます。

自分がそのメールを出していないことをどうやって証明するか。Gmailのようなウェブメールはパスワードさえわかれば世界のどこからでも送受信できます。プロバイダーが割り当ててくるようないわゆるパーマネントアドレスのメールは、メールソフトにサーバーの名称や利用者名、パスワードを指定しなければならず設定に必要な情報が多いのです。

メールの発信の有無を確認するのにいわゆるパーマネントアドレスの場合はメールサーバーを管理する企業に記録を照会すればすみますが、Gmailのようなウェブメールの場合、googleに照会しなければならないことになります。警察が照会して調べてくれると思いますか?

おそらくメールを発信していないということを証明するのは不可能に近いはずです。

上のチケット詐欺の事件では、女性は逮捕当初から否認しており、19日間の勾留を経て釈放された後、郵便局から取り寄せたチケット配送記録の控えを徳島地検に提出して誤認逮捕が発覚したそうです。物的な記録で警察が描いた構図を崩すことができましたが、これはまれな例でしょう。

Gmailが特に犯罪の巻き込まれやすいと考えているわけではありませんが、リスクの高い手段と相対的に低い手段とを比較考量しながら使わなけれはならないでしょう。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 11:55| Comment(5) | 福島原発事故

孫作らなくていいよと思う私はイケナイ人

市町村が公表する人口動態の速報が一、二を除いて出揃いました。死亡数が前年同期比大きく増えているところがありますが、全体として見ればそれほど大きな悪化ではありません。

ただ、出生死亡比率で見ると、季節変動を保持したまま低下傾向が継続しており、来年は今年よりもさらに出生死亡比率が低下すると見込まれます。

神奈川県の主要7都市計では、2017年になってから出生死亡比率が水面下、つまり1.0以下で推移していましたが、9月にかろうじて1.016に浮上し、10月はまた水面下に没する見込みです。

鎌倉市の人口動態公表は、神奈川県の全市町村の動態公表より遅れるようになり、自治体の苦労が窺えます。異常事態は分かっている。だが下手なことは言えないし、打つ手もないということでしょう。

毎月人口動態の記事を書いていますが、「死亡数が急増!」の記事にはアクセスがありますが、「出生数減少傾向顕著」の記事にはアクセスが格段に少ないです。自分が死ぬことは困るが次に生まれてくる人がいなくても別に困らない、という意識が強いのかなと思っていましたが、ある方のコメントに見出しのような文言があり、突き詰めればこれなんだと気づきました。管理人はこの方の思いがよく理解できます。

今は、不妊治療をして出産に漕ぎつける人が多いようなのですが、不妊治療をしても何をしても生まれなかったということなら、それはそれで仕方がない、夫婦の間でも対親せきでもそれはそれで片が付くということなのだろうと思います。

次は神奈川県下の某市の人口動態です。早くから悪化が見られ先行きどうなるかと懸念されましたが、月別の出生死亡比率は0.6程度で横ばい推移に変わっています。



ただ、12か月移動平均の出生数死亡数は、次にあるように大きな変動、上下動を示しており、何か管理人が知らない要因があるのでしょう。人口数は少し減っていますが、長く19万人台を維持しています。



これだけ出生数死亡数が変動しても、出生死亡比率はあまり変動しない、死亡数が増えれば出生数も増えるということなら良いのですが、他の市町村ではそうなっていません。

出生数が継続的に落ちています。もう6年も続いており、6年前の小学1年生に比べれば最近の小学1年生の数は大きく減っていて、子供向けの物品販売、サービス業は需要が大きく落ち込んでいるはずです。学校の教師も含めて。

政権の労働者窮乏化政策で経済面でも影響が出ていますが、子供の数の変化は経済活動の基本的な枠組みを変えていきます。

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 10:51| Comment(4) | 福島原発事故

マッティスはISIS 2.0に言及して国際社会を脅している

RT2017/11/15
‘US has no legitimate cards left to play in Syria’
The US presence in Syria is a violation of the law, and a reflection of US frustration said military analyst Kamal Alam. The only way for Washington to be part of the endgame is to keep its forces in the country, he adds.

US Defense Secretary James Mattis said America will not withdraw from Syria, even after the total defeat of ISIS. The announcement came ahead of UN-backed peace talks on the future of the war-torn country.

“You know, the UN said that … basically, we can go after ISIS. And we're there to take them out. But that doesn't mean we just walk away and let ISIS 2.0 pop back around,” the US defense secretary said on Monday.

While Syria continues to insist Washington's intervention is illegal, Mattis claims it is justified. The UN Charter recognizes only two justifications for the use of military force in a foreign country. The first is having the permission of the Security Council, and the second is self-defense.

Kamal Alam: Not at all… In terms of American intervention in Syria, it needs legitimate backing by the Syrian government – it doesn’t have. So as far as international law goes, it is a clear violation. I think it is also a reflection of US frustration. They are more or less locked out of the Syrian war. They don’t have much influence over the end game. By staying in, they want to be some kind of spoiler or at least some kind of minor player toward the war in Syria.

RT: If it is against international law, will there be any ramifications, do you think?

KA: … It depends [on the] Turkish, Iranian and Russian responses to this, because the de-escalation zones in Syria [have been] more or less working over the last few months, and the US is not part of that – same with the Astana process. So they want to be relevant, and they think by being there they will be relevant. Syria can complain to the UN it's within their right. They will have a legal charter as well. So this is an international game going on. The US and some other international bodies accuse Syrians of doing certain things in the war, while Syria, as a sovereign country and the Syrian government as a legitimate government is recognized by the UN – they are within their right to complain and indeed take the US to court over this.

RT: What does America stand to gain from staying in Syria?

KA: They don’t have really many cards left in Syria. Almost everything the US has tried to do has backfired. Of course six years ago, when the war started, backing groups that eventually became terrorists. We’ve seen recently as well – the US has been part of the deal that allowed ISIS to leave Raqqa. And it happened in Deir ez-Zor as well. They need to keep themselves relevant. They no longer have any legitimate cards to play in Syria. So by staying there and keeping forces – that is the only way they can be part of the endgame of the war.
‘Offense to common sense’

Abdo Haddad, a Syrian writer, and political analyst says mentioning “ISIS 2.0”, Secretary Mattis was actually “threatening the international community.”

Commenting on what motives the US has for being in Syria, Haddad said it’s been following the same scenario “starting from Libya, going through Yemen, Syria, and Iraq.”

“There is modus operandi they are using, they are repeating every time, and they should be questioned for it,” he told RT.

“Mr. Mattis…is threatening indirectly…As his boss, Mr. Trump accused and confirmed that Obama and the Clintons have created ISIS – he is promising us to create ISIS 2.0. This is a threat to the international community,” he said.

In his view, the Americans’ presence in Syria “is an occupation” and “colonization.”

“They [the Americans] have no UN Security Council approval, nor UN charter approval, nor an agreement with the Syrian government. As per his statement, Mr. Mattis has many times bluffed his way into politics in our countries. It is an offense to common sense, not only to international laws. It is an offense to common sense,” he said.

“The American presence in Syria is an occupation, or at least colonization. It is a blackmail to get a political return out of it. You cannot destroy a city like Raqqa and then say ‘I am here to establish order, democracy,’ or whatever ‘good things’ they talk about,” Haddad added.






posted by ZUKUNASHI at 01:39| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

2017年11月15日

イランとサウジが開戦すれば1バレル300ドルに

現在の原油先物55〜60ドル程度です。

RT2017/11/15
War between Iran & Saudi Arabia could send oil to $300 per barrel & impoverish the world
An armed conflict between Riyadh and Tehran would have a major impact on oil markets and the global economy. RT asked experts what a war between the two Middle East superpowers would mean for crude prices.

If a conflict happens, oil prices could increase 500 percent.

“Energy prices will seriously depend on the severity of the conflict. Let's remember the unrecognized Iraqi Kurdistan, which in a state of continuous war exported about 550,000 barrels per day through Turkey. In this connection, we can expect a panic rise in oil price to $150-$200 on the first day of the conflict… If Saudis and Iran attack each other's oil facilities, crude prices can skyrocket to $300,” Mikhail Mashchenko, an analyst at the eToro social network for investors told RT.

Ivan Karyakin, an investment analyst at Global FX, points out that the area of possible conflict pumps a third of global oil. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar together produce about 28 million barrels per day, which is slightly less than 30 percent of global production; prices will go up immediately to $150-180 per barrel, he said.

“Then everything will depend on the duration of the conflict. The world market will survive two or three days of the conflict. If the conflict lasts a week, then prices will rise to $200 or higher, and this will have long-term consequences, as stockpiles will decrease,” Karyakin said.

The analyst insists a war between Riyadh and Tehran is unlikely, as it's not in the interests of Russia and China.“Russia is a partner of many conflicting countries in the Middle East. Largest oil importer China, which carries the greatest risks in the event of a rise in oil prices, will use all its influence on Iran and the US to prevent a conflict,” he said.

A war in the Middle East will be very unprofitable for importers, according to Ivan Kapustiansky, Forex Optimum analyst. “In the event of war, markets may lose about 20 percent of the world supply. First of all, of course, the largest importers will be affected. These include the US, China, Japan, as well as the eurozone, in fact, the main locomotives of the world economy,” he said.

Both Saudi Arabia and Iran understand how crucial oil is to their economies, and will try to maintain production even in the event of a conflict, says Andrey Dyachenko, Head of Private Solutions Department of Сastle Family Office in Russia and the CIS. “Even a temporary drop of market share will mean that other players like the US will take their place. And they will not be able to get their market share back. Therefore, if such a conflict does happen, both Saudi Arabia and Iran will do everything possible to continue producing and supplying as much as possible,” he said.
What will happen to the global economy

A sharp jump in oil prices and other hydrocarbons will threaten the stability of the entire global economy, as it will lead to a surge in inflation, warns Dyachenko. “At the time of relatively low growth rates, a significant jump in inflation will lead to the impoverishment of a large part of the world population,” he added.

Both producers and importers will be forced to slash prices to prevent it, according to Dyachenko.
War is unprofitable for both Saudis & Iran

Relations between Riyadh and Tehran have seen worse times than now, assures Petr Pushkarev, Chief Analyst at TeleTrade. The Iranian revolution of 1978-79 and the death of Iranians during the Hajj pilgrimage in 1987, which led to the severing of diplomatic relations between Shia Iran and Sunni Saudi Arabia for three years, were a greater stress test for the countries.

“For the coming years, Saudi Arabia itself is too busy with technological and innovative projects to replace the lost oil revenues. They are not at all ready for full-scale armed conflicts with their neighbors right now, which would be very costly, and very inappropriate at the time when Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman is intensely concentrating power around himself. Perhaps the presence of an external enemy like Iran can suit his purpose, but only in the mediated conflict on the territory of Yemen,” Pushkarev said.

According to eToro's Mikhail Mashchenko, the war is unprofitable for both Saudi Arabia and Iran. "The Saudis, although they feel more confident than their eastern neighbors, have a budget deficit of 10 percent of GDP. Tehran has only begun to increase oil exports after a partial lifting of the sanctions,” he told RT.

Most experts agree a conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran will be limited to proxy wars like the ones going on in Yemen and Syria. The situation is comparable to the Cold War proxy wars between the United States and the Soviet Union.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 23:01| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

過労死しそうな人は労働力の安売りをせずにトンズラしよう

※ Simon_Sin‏ @Simon_Sin氏の2017/11/14のツイート
過重労働に耐えかねて逃げ出したこの職員は偉い。人間だれしも給料分の仕事はすべきだが、給料以上の仕事はしてはならない。社会人として労働力の安売りをせずにトンズラこいたこの職員は超エライ。過労死しそうな人はみんなそうしよう

※ 水野雄太 @naganototalplan氏の2017/11/10のツイート
業界関係者から聞いた話しでは、彼は毎晩10時、遅い時は深夜2時まで仕事をしていたそうです。取扱量からも何故役場が1人体制を継続し続けたのか、
鬱になってダウンするのも当たり前、早く体調が回復することを祈るのみ。

島に1人しかいない郵便局員が消える。http://m.huffingtonpost.jp/2017/11/10/takeshima-post_a_23272849/?ncid=fcbklnkjphpmg00000001


posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:42| Comment(0) | 社会・経済

米軍は被験者兵士に医療措置を提供していない

FARSNEWS2017/11/15
US Army Fails to Provide Medical Care to Experiment Subject Soldiers
TEHRAN (FNA)- Veterans’ groups said the US Army is withholding crucial information on chemical and biological agents veterans were exposed to in experimentation.

“The Army still has not provided notice to test subject veterans regarding the specific chemical and biological tests to which they were subjected, and their possible health effects,” attorney Ben Patterson of the law firm Morrison and Foerster said, Cetus News reported.

The military conducted these experiments because it wanted to learn how to induce “fear, panic, hysteria and hallucinations” in enemy soldiers, an Army scientist told NPR.

At least 70,000 troops were used in the experiments, a 2015 NPR report found.

Four years after a court ordered the army to disclose pertinent information, the army is dragging its feet “in an apparent attempt to discourage and prevent veterans from applying to the program and receiving the medical care to which they are entitled under the Army's own regulation,” Patterson said.

The army pledged to pay for medical care after thousands of former soldiers won a class action suit against the military over being used in chemical and biological experiments between 1942 and 1975.

The 2009 lawsuit was filed by the Vietnam Veterans of America and other plaintiffs who wanted to know which chemical agents they had been exposed to and what health risks are associated with them.

Still, the Army is not meeting its legal requirements. The Army has not issued broad notifications as per the court ruling, and is still not answering queries about which chemical agents veterans were exposed.

The Army’s requirements for coverage include filling out Department of Defense Form 214 or War Department discharge form, having served as a “research subject” including a US army chemical or biological substance testing program, and having a diagnosed medical condition believed to be a direct result in the experimentation program.

At least 4,000 American troops were exposed to mustard gas during World War II. It wasn’t until the 1990s that the Defense Department declassified those experiments.

Mustard gas causes “blistering of the skin and mucous membranes on contact,”according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and “may increase a person’s risk for lung and respiratory cancer.”

A 2015 PBS investigation found that minorities including African-Americans, Japanese-Americans and Puerto Ricans were singled out for experimentation.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 20:44| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

SDFはISISと通じている

FARSNEWS2017/11/15
Ankara Accuses SDF of Plotting ISIL Terrorists' Withdrawal from Raqqa
TEHRAN (FNA)- Turkish Foreign Ministry said that free withdrawal of ISIL terrorists from the Syrian city of Raqqa is a result of a deal reached between ISIL and the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF).

Syria's Permanent Mission to the United Nations, on Thursday, reported that it had sent letters saying that SDF had ensured withdrawal of ISIL terrorists from Raqqa and Deir Ezzur, Sputnik reported.

The BBC broadcaster reported that the drivers hired by the SDF were forced to evacuate about 250 ISIL militants and some 3,500 members of their families from Raqqa in a convoy consisting of about 50 trucks, 13 buses and more than 100 vehicles of ISIL itself in October. The militants, including the foreign mercenaries from Azerbaijan, China, Egypt, France, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, Turkey and Yemen, had taken from Raqqa everything they could, including weapons and munitions.

"It is an extremely grave and eye-opening revelation that the so-called "Syrian Democratic Forces" dominated by PYD/YPG, the Syrian extension of the terrorist organization PKK, brokered a deal with the terrorist organization ISIL to evacuate a large number of terrorists from Raqqa while the operation to clear ISIL from Raqqa was already underway," the statement said.

According to the ministry, deal sets a new example of the fact that "fighting one terrorist organization with another would eventually result in these terrorist organizations colluding with each other."

Last month, the SDF announced the complete liberation of Raqqa, which was seized by ISIL in 2014 and proclaimed the group’s capital.

Ankara considers the Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) to be affiliated with the Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK), which is listed as a terror group in Turkey, the United States and the European Union. However, the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and the YPG, as well as the SDF have been receiving support from the United States.

FARSNEWS2017/11/15
Hundreds of Suspected ISIL Fighters Allowed to Exit Syria's Raqqa, 4 Detained
TEHRAN (FNA)- Hundreds of suspected members of the ISIL terrorist group and thousands of their family members were allowed to flee Raqqa in convoys arranged by US-backed forces in the days before the city fell to coalition forces, Operation Inherent Resolve Spokesman Col. Ryan Dillon told reporters.

Col. Ryan Dillon essentially confirmed a BBC report that 250 ISIL fighters and thousands of family members, along with weapons and other supplies, were disbursed throughout Syria in a series of convoys that were arranged by US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), Sputnik reported.

"In the course of that screening there were four foreign fighters that were identified and detained by the Syrian Democratic Forces," Dillon said, adding, "Out of the rest of the 3,500 civilians that came out of Raqqa at that time, approximately less than 300 were identified and screened as potential ISIL fighters."
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 20:34| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

高血圧の診断基準値引き下げ

高血圧の診断基準となる血圧が引き下げられたという記事ですが、上130、下80はすでに日本では適用されているんじゃなかったでしょうか。薬で血圧を下げると、いろいろな面で元気がなくなります。今以上に年寄りは怒りもしない、無感動状態になっていく?

RT2017/11/14
‘Silent killer’: New guidelines show 46% of US adults have high blood pressure
Doctors and experts from the American Heart Association, along with nine other groups, have bad news for 30 million Americans: they now have high blood pressure. This will bring the total number of US adults living with high blood pressure to 103 million.

The updated information indicates that high blood pressure (hypertension) will now affect nearly half of US adults, after the standards to diagnose the condition have been lowered from a threshold reading of 140 over 90 to 130 over 80. The new guidelines were announced on Monday at an American Heart Association conference in Anaheim, California.

Blood pressure is measured by the systolic pressure (the top number), and the diastolic pressure (the bottom number). The revised rules state that a reading of 130 over 80 through 139 over 89 will be considered stage one hypertension, and a reading of 140 over 90 or above will be considered stage two.

The updated guidelines indicate that 46 percent of US adults will be considered to be living with hypertension, compared to 32 percent under the old standard.

Hypertension occurs in humans when "the force of the blood flowing through your blood vessels, is consistently too high," according to the AHA. The symptoms for high blood pressure will not be immediately obvious, which is why it is often called “the silent killer.”

“We want to be straight with people – if you already have a doubling of risk, you need to know about it,” said Paul Whelton, professor of global public health at Tulane University, according to USA Today. “It doesn’t mean you need medication, but it’s a yellow light that you need to be lowering your blood pressure."

David Goff, director of cardiovascular sciences at the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute, said the new standards are supported by solid science and “have the potential of improving the health of millions,” USA Today reported.

The updated guidelines recommend lifestyle changes, and eating healthy, among other suggestions, as good ways to lower blood pressure.

As the revised information reaches the American public, only about half the of the people in the US living with hypertension under the previous guidelines have their condition under control.

“I don’t underestimate the challenge of what we need to do,” Whelton said.

A quarter of all deaths in the US every year ‒ around 610,000 people ‒ is due to heart disease, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 18:14| Comment(0) | 健康づくり

2017/10人口動態速報  これはどうしたんだろう

筑西市 前年同期比出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率改善 ただし死亡数は真冬並みの水準
大和市 出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率悪化
浦安市 出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率わずかに改善
守谷市 出生数微増死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化
仙台市 出生数減死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化

流山市 出生数大幅増死亡数微減で出生死亡比率大幅改善
月別出生数2011/1以降で最高を更新
柏市 出生数微増死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化
いわき市 出生数増死亡数減で出生死亡比率大幅改善
常陸太田市 出生数減死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化
高萩市 出生数増死亡数減で出生死亡比率大幅改善
横浜市 出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率わずかに悪化
市原市 出生数減死亡数ほぼ変わらずで出生死亡比率悪化
神栖市 出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率悪化
我孫子 出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率ほぼ変わらず
福島市 出生数減死亡数減で出生死亡比率ほぼ変わらず
出生数2012/6以来の低水準
松戸市 出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率ほぼ変わらず
川崎市 出生数減死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化
ひたちなか市 出生数増死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化




厚木市 出生数変わらず死亡数増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化
水戸市 出生数増死亡数減で出生死亡比率改善
市川市 出生数減死亡数増で出生死亡比率悪化
横須賀市 出生数微減死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化
千葉市 出生数増死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率大幅悪化

船橋市 出生数減死亡数増で出生死亡比率悪化





市川市 出生数増死亡数増で出生死亡比率悪化
鎌ヶ谷市 出生数大幅増死亡数大幅増で出生死亡比率悪化
鎌ヶ谷市の死亡数は2017/に近い高水準
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 14:23| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

日本社会の劣化 低劣化

※  蕩尽伝説‏ @devenir21 氏の2017/11/3のツイート
日本人はそろそろ茹で上がりつつあるので気づかないようだけど、たんに政治や経済が劣化しているばかりじゃない。文化から、芸術から、服装から、食生活から、以前とは比べようもないほど、低劣化が進んでいる。

※  ほにゃにゃしか (こんな人たち)‏ @_24_com氏の2017/11/15のツイート
突然来るのではなく雇用、治安、格差、民度、国柄ひっくるめて、ジワジワと壊れて行くのです。いつの間にか驚くような事になっている。目の前の株高などで多くの国民は気がつかないし、どうでもよくなっちゃっている 売国のプロ登場 http://ow.ly/kBHT4

・・・引用終わり・・・

今、日本が世界に誇れるもの、競争力のあるものは急激になくなりつつあると思う。過去の遺産にいつまで依存できるか。

それがわかるはずの生きた年数がより長い壮年、高年層が問題意識を持っていない。

※  労働者‏ @Black_Post_Bot 氏の2017/11/3のツイート
今、レストランの隣の席でお爺さん達が話してるんだけど、最近会社の若いのが派遣社員ばっかりになってる、って話題で「俺達は家族や老後のことを考えて正社員になったけど、奴らは責任が嫌で今日のことしか考えないから派遣になるんだ」とか力説してる。そんな認識じゃあ話が噛み合わない訳だ…。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 12:49| Comment(12) | 福島原発事故

生野菜好きな方いますか

※  ぐれいす@ブロガー兼モデル垢‏ @megrace_氏の2017/11/9のツイート
全身の浮腫みと耳鳴りと発熱と目眩と頭痛と左の首のリンパの腫れに、下血と腹痛と血便などの症状の原因が寄生虫(といっても虫ではなく微生物)が原因だったみたいで薬処方されてやっとましになってきた。
次の取材まで安静にしてます…

顔面が浮腫むと二重の幅が狭くなる…顔色ェ

※  ぐれいす@ブロガー兼モデル垢‏ @megrace_氏の2017/11/9のツイート
発覚経緯がまた奇想天外。皮膚に発疹と色素沈着→アレルギー科で事の経緯を話す→微生物のせいだから性病の薬だすね!→え?性病になるような事してないw→わかってる。主に性病の薬だけど強い感染の時にも使う薬でもあるから

…一番おったまげたわ(°Д°)

生野菜も禁止になった。
食事制限えぐい…

※  ぐれいす@ブロガー兼モデル垢‏ @megrace_氏の2017/11/9のツイート
抵抗力の落ちている皆様、有機野菜と無農薬野菜(生野菜)にはお気をつけあれ………………

・・・引用終わり・・・

管理人は野菜は生では食べないことにしています。生だと量が食べられません。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 12:25| Comment(3) | 福島原発事故

シリアに兵を増派しているエルドアンはASEANの米ロステートメントに大慌て

プーチンとトランプの共同ステートメントにエルドアンが慌てています。クルドがシリア北部の支配を強めたまま、停戦に移行すればトルコ軍は撤退しなければなりません。

FARSNEWS2017/11/14
Turkish President Calls on Russia, US to Pull Troops Out of Syria
TEHRAN (FNA)- Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Russia and the US should pull their troops out of Syria following the joint statement adopted by the two countries’ presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, which says that there is no military solution to the Syrian conflict.

"It is hard for me to understand such statements. If a military solution cannot help find a way out of the crisis, then those who think so should pull their troops out of Syria," the Turkish leader said, as cited by the Haberturk TV channel.

Putin and Trump adopted a joint statement on Syria on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Vietnam’s Da Nang on November 11.

According to the document, "the presidents agreed that there is no military solution to the conflict in Syria."

"They confirmed that the ultimate political solution to the conflict must be forged through the Geneva process pursuant to UNSCR [United Nations Security Council Resolution] 2254," the document read.

Putin and Trump "also took note of President Assad’s recent commitment to the Geneva process and constitutional reform and elections as called for under UNSCR 2254."

According to the joint statement, the two leaders "affirmed that these steps must include full implementation of UNSCR 2254, including constitutional reform and free and fair elections under UN supervision, held to the highest international standards of transparency, with all Syrians, including members of the diaspora, eligible to participate."
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 01:23| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

カタールのエミールがかつての同盟国なしでも千倍もうまくいくと発言

ずいぶん思い切った発言です。湾岸産油国に足を引っ張られていたら共倒れになると本気に思っているのかもしれません。

FARSNEWS2017/11/14
Qatar Claims It's 'A Thousand Times Better off' without Former Allies
TEHRAN (FNA)- Qatar’s emir proclaimed that his country is “better off” without the Persian Gulf states like Saudi Arabia and UAE that imposed a boycott against Doha this year.

During his speech at the Shura Council, Qatar’s upper house of parliament, Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani has declared that his country is "a thousand times better off" without the former allies that turned against it, TASS reported.

"We do not fear the boycott of these countries against us, we are a thousand times better off without them," the emir said, adding however that "vigilance is required."

He also added that Qatar’s government is working on "introducing a number of food security projects" and pays "special attention to water security" in order to ensure the country’s future without the support of its former allies.

Back in June, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) imposed a trade and diplomatic embargo on Qatar, accusing Doha of supporting terrorism, an allegation strongly denied by the emirate.

FARSNEWS2017/11/14
Qatar: Saudi-Led Bloc Not Interested in Resolving Diplomatic Crisis
TEHRAN (FNA)- The Qatari emir said the Saudi-led bloc of countries that have brought his country under a full-scale embargo is not interested in finding a solution to the Persian Gulf diplomatic crisis, stressing that Doha is open to “dialog based on mutual respect.”

“We express our readiness for a compromise within the framework of a dialogue based on mutual respect for sovereignty and common obligations,” Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani told members of Qatar’s consultative Shoura Council, presstv reported.

Sheikh Tamim, added, however, that “we recognize the indicators that come from the blockade states show they do not want to reach a solution.”

Back in June, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) imposed a trade and diplomatic embargo on Qatar, accusing Doha of supporting terrorism, an allegation strongly denied by the emirate.

The Saudi-led bloc presented Qatar with a list of demands, among them downgrading ties with Iran, and gave it an ultimatum to comply with them or face consequences. Doha, however, refused to meet the demands and said that they were meant to force the country to surrender its sovereignty.

The Qatari monarch said, “Foreign countries repeatedly asked the blockaders about the reason behind their claims, but they could not give them anything.”

The Qatar monarch further emphasized the country’s determination to stand against pressure, adding, “We are not afraid of the siege. We do not need the countries laying it.”

He thanked the Qatari people for resisting the “ruthless” blockade, saying the people were capable and aware enough to stand on their own feet.

Tamim also accused the foursome of trying to prevent his country from hosting World Cup in 2022, as the emirate has been chosen to do.

“The blockading countries have sought to deprive Qatar of [the right to] host the World Cup by exercising pressure and circulating lies,” he said.

Earlier this month, the Intercept, a US-based investigative website, reported that documents found in an e-mail account belonging to Yousef al-Otaiba, the UAE’s envoy to the US, has exposed a plot by Abu Dhabi to wage an economic war on Qatar.

After Qatar was brought to its knees, the UAE would start a propaganda campaign to portray Doha as incapable of hosting the World Cup, the report said.

posted by ZUKUNASHI at 01:15| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

ハリリの辞任は米国の謀略に反対したため

FARSNEWS2017/11/14
Advisor to Lebanese President: Hariri's Resignation Due to Opposition to US Plots
TEHRAN (FNA)- A senior advisor to Lebanese President Michel Aoun said that Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri resigned after rejecting a US plot against his country.

"A message was received from outside Lebanon that showed a number of influential people in the US administration wanted to hit a blow to Lebanon, but Saad Hariri voiced clear opposition to it and his opposition has cost him the present situation that has been enforced since last Saturday," John Aziz told al-Mayadeen news channel on Monday night.

He added that the Lebanese' unity and firm position in support of Hariri changed the Americans' stances and forced them to withdraw from their plots.

Aoun said on Saturday Hariri, who announced his resignation in a broadcast from Saudi Arabia, has been “kidnapped” and must have immunity.

Aoun made the remarks in a meeting with foreign ambassadors in the capital Beirut, a senior unnamed Lebanese official said on Saturday.

Meanwhile, in a statement released by Aoun's office on Saturday, the Lebanese president expressed concern over Hariri's situation and said the premier was living in a “dubious” situation in Saudi Arabia. He added that anything Hariri has said or may say “does not reflect reality” due to the mystery of his situation.

Any stance or move by Hariri “is the result of the dubious and mysterious situation that he is living in the kingdom,” Aoun added.

Aoun further called on Riyadh to clarify why Hariri hasn't returned home since announcing his resignation in the kingdom last week.

“Lebanon does not accept its prime minister being in a situation at odds with international treaties and the standard rules in relations between states,” he said.

He added that a marathon planned in Beirut on Sunday in which tens of thousands are expected to participate should be “a national sports demonstration for solidarity with Prime Minister Hariri and his return to his country.”

Meanwhile, the Arabic-language al-Joumhouria (The Republic) daily newspaper quoted Aoun as saying on Saturday that Beirut would refer Hariri’s case to the UN Security Council within a week if his destiny remains unclear.

Hariri announced his resignation on November 4, citing several reasons, including the security situation in Lebanon, for his sudden decision. He also said that he realized a plot being hatched against his life.

Hariri also accused Iran and the Lebanese resistance movement, Hezbollah, of meddling in the Arab countries’ affairs; an allegation the two have rejected.

The Lebanese prime minister announced his resignation following visits to Saudi Arabia.

The resignation also comes less than a month after he announced plans to join a coalition government with Hezbollah.

Many authorities in Lebanon have insisted on the return of Hariri from Saudi Arabia. Several sources believe that Saudi Arabia is holding Hariri against his will, a claim the kingdom has rejected.

FARSNEWS2017/11/14
TEHRAN (FNA)- A Lebanese newspaper said it has gained access to a secret letter sent by Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman which includes proposals and issues related to establishment of relations with Israel.

The Arabic-language al-Akhbar daily revealed the document for the first time on Tuesday.

The document discloses all events that have happened since US President Donald Trump's recent visit to Saudi Arabia and Washington's attempts to mediate endorsement of a peace agreement between Riyadh and Tel Aviv.

It also includes information about the Saudi and Israeli officials' visits to Tel Aviv and Riyadh.

"Saudi Arabia's closeness to Israel entails a risk for the kingdom. We will not do so unless we feel an honest American trend in opposition to Iran, which is destabilizing the region," a part of the long letter said.

In addition, the principles of the Israeli-Palestinian peace plan concocted by the Saudis were laid out. As part of the plan, the Saudi kingdom demanded military equilibrium with Israel, Israel's help in stopping Iranian overtures on the Middle East and turning Jerusalem into a city governed by international rule, according to al-Akhbar.

In relevant remarks in June, Saudi whistle-blower Mujtahid, who is believed to be a member of or have a well-connected source in the royal family, revealed that bin Salman is attempting to pave the ground for overt relations with Israel.

"In line with preparing the public opinion to establish open ties with Israel, bin Salman has launched a media and twitter campaign and gifts any twitter activist or reporter who helps him in this regard," Mujtahid wrote on his twitter page.

Also in the same month, a leading Arab daily disclosed secret meetings between bin Salman and Israeli officials in the past two years.

Al-Qods al-Arabi newspaper reported that the Israeli media have all voiced pleasure in Mohammed bin Salman's appointment as the crown prince, adding that this development has long been wished by the Israelis.

The Arab daily quoted the Israeli newspaper Yediot Aharonot as reporting that the intelligence sources have confirmed that bin Salman has held meetings with the Israeli officials under a secret name, Walad, in the past two years.

The Israeli daily didn’t reveal the venues and time for the meetings, but wrote that Israel and Saudi Arabia have common foes, friends and interests.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 00:58| Comment(0) | 国際・政治