ずくなしの冷や水

2017年09月06日

シリア政府との交渉が進むイドリブでアルヌスラの陣地が他のテロリストグループによって攻撃される

FARSNEWS2017/9/5
Large-Scale Coup against Al-Nusra Front Reported in Syria's
Idlib
TEHRAN (FNA)- Sources affiliated to the terrorists disclosed on Tuesday that the terrorist groups have carried out a joint coup against Al-Nusra Front (Tahrir al-Sham Hay'at or the Levant Liberation Board) and Abu Mohammad al-Joulani in Idlib to prevent possible war in the region.

FARSNEWS2017/9/6
Several Al-Nusra Terrorists Killed in Huge Explosion in Northwestern SyriaTEHRAN (FNA)- Nine terrorists of Al-Nusra Front (Tahrir al-Sham Hay'at or the Levant Liberation Board) were killed and several more were wounded in a large blast in the Northwestern city of Idlib, news websites affiliated to the terrorist groups reported on Wednesday.

The websites reported that nine Al-Nusra members were killed and several more were wounded in a huge explosion near the Municipality Sports Stadium in the militant-held city of Idlib.

In the meantime, Al-Nusra announced that a number of its forces have been injured in the explosion of vehicles carrying ammunitions.

Sources affiliated to the terrorists disclosed on Tuesday that the terrorist groups carried out a joint coup against Al-Nusra Front and Abu Mohammad al-Joulani in Idlib to prevent possible war in the region.

The Arabic-language al-Hadath news quoted the sources as saying that all the terrorist groups in Idlib in Northwestern Syria stormed the positions of Al-Nusra Front and al-Joulani in a military coup.

Al-Hadath further added that talks between the Syrian Army and representatives of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) were underway to get rid of Al-Nusra and al-Joulani in order to prevent eruption of clashes and pave the ground for restoring peace and tranquility in the region.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 23:56| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

トランプに危うい秋

トランプの側近が次々に去るなどホワイトハウスは混乱しているようです。トランプはホワイトハウスに軟禁状態という人もいます。よく分かりませんが、かなりの難局にあることは確か。

FARSNEWS2017/9/6
US President Faces Critical Fall After Summer of Crises
TEHRAN (FNA)- US President Donald Trump is entering a critical fall following an endless summer of crises, plagued by low approval ratings, growing tensions with Republican lawmakers, a nuclear standoff with North Korea and multiple investigations into whether Trump’s election campaign aides colluded with Russia.

Last month was a difficult month for Trump and even Republicans acknowledge the scale of the challenges Trump faces in September, presstv reported.

In August, Trump hit one of the low points of his presidency and tarnished his credibility and moral authority over his response to the white supremacist rally that turned deadly in Charlottesville, Virginia.

“I think it is fraught with peril, politically,” GOP strategist Matt Mackowiak said. “It’s not about getting victories, it’s about surviving and thinking about the rest of the fall,” Mackowiak added.

More than half of voters are convinced he is bent on tearing the country apart, according to one recent Fox News survey.

Some Republicans are distancing themselves from Trump already. US Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Republican from Kentucky, has reportedly not spoken to Trump for several weeks.

Trump is expected to end a program protecting undocumented immigrants brought to the US as children. He is threatening to terminate NAFTA and tear up a trade deal with South Korea. He also pardoned former Arizona Sheriff Joe Arpaio, despite his conviction for contempt in a case linked to racial profiling.

Such measures by the president have deepened the estrangement between Trump and senior Republican leaders in a way that could make it more difficult for him to pass key agenda items, including tax reform.

Late last month, Trump blamed the leadership of his own Republican Party for a legislative "mess" over raising the US debt ceiling.

In July, Trump suffered a humiliating blow as a small group of Republican lawmakers dealt him a stinging legislative defeat by voting against healthcare reform to replace Obamacare.

Trump has also been overwhelmed by turmoil in his own political inner circle in the White House.

His fiery rhetoric appears to be exacerbating the North Korean situation and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is showing he is not cowed by the US president.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 22:09| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

国連 米国主導軍はシリア市民の保護に欠け国際法違反

RT2017/9/6
US-led coalition violated intl law in Syria by failing to protect civilians – UN report
The UN Syria Commission released a report saying it is “gravely concerned” about the impact of international airstrikes in the war-torn country, adding that US-led forces failed to take proper precautions to protect civilians during an attack in Aleppo.

“The Commission is gravely concerned about the impact of international coalition airstrikes on civilians,” the report states.

It goes on to cite the March 2017 incident in Al-Jinah, Aleppo, in which “forces of the United States of America failed to take all feasible precautions to protect civilians and civilian objects when attacking a mosque, in violation of international humanitarian law.”

It also mentions the situation in Raqqa, in which the “ongoing Syrian Democratic Forces and international coalition offensive to repel [Islamic State or IS, formerly ISIS] has displaced over 190,000 persons, and coalition airstrikes have reportedly resulted in significant numbers of civilians killed and injured.” It added that investigations are ongoing.

Raqqa, the last stronghold of Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL), is under “intense artillery shelling” and “limited airstrikes by the coalition forces,” Amnesty International stated last month.

Some 20,000 civilians are currently trapped in Raqqa, unable to escape from the terrorist stronghold, according to the UN, which urged the US-led coalition last month to stop the bombings to allow people to safely leave the city.

The trapped civilians have virtually no access to basic services, including safe water and food, and are surviving on food they stored up earlier, David Swanson, public information officer from the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, told RT.

The US-led coalition began an offensive in Raqqa in June, aiming to recapture the city. Hundreds of civilians have been killed and injured since that offensive began, according to Amnesty.

The UN Syria Commission's Wednesday document also suggests that Syrian government forces were responsible for a chemical attack that took place in April.

“All evidence available leads the Commission to conclude that there are reasonable grounds to believe Syrian forces dropped an aerial bomb dispersing sarin in Khan Shaykhun at around 6:45am on 4 April,” it states, adding that such attacks constitute war crimes.

However, the Russian Defense Ministry reported at the time that the chemicals were a result of the Syrian air force destroying a warehouse where chemical weapons were being produced and stockpiled before being shipped to Iraq.

The warehouse was used to both produce and store shells containing toxic gas, Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Major-General Igor Konashenkov said at the time.


Colonel General Sergey Rudskoy, the chief of the Russian General Staff’s Operations Department demanded a “thorough investigation” of the Khan Sheikhoun incident in April, noting that US and Western claims accusing the Syrian government of being behind the chemical attack were “highly questionable.”

He added that Russia was ready to provide experts from the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) with access to the Syrian Army airbase from which the attack was allegedly launched.

“The experts are aware that it is impossible to conceal the traces of the chemical weapons,” he said, adding that the Syrian government was also ready to grant access to the base to experts.

However, no such expert investigation has taken place at the site.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 21:04| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

ロシアが解放直後のデリゾールに人道支援を急ぐ

RT2017/9/6
Russia rushes humanitarian aid to exhausted Deir ez-Zor after breaching 3yr ISIS siege
The Russian Center for Reconciliation of Opposing sides in Syria is urgently sending humanitarian aid to Syria after Deir ez-Zor was finally liberated from a three-year siege by Islamic State, bringing relief to thousands of civilians.

Among the supplies the Russian Defense Ministry is to deliver are food aid and living essentials, including water purification stations, portable diesel generators, medicine and bottled water, according to the agency’s statement.

Medical aid teams will shortly visit citizens of the recaptured city, where Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) militants destroyed nearly all the infrastructure over the years of blockade.

Deir ez-Zor has been left with basically no functioning commodities. Electrical substations and water supply facilities were blown up, and schools and hospitals were torn down. All the businesses, residential, administrative and industrial buildings are shut down, and squares and children’s facilities were mined by jihadists as they retreated.

To return the retaken areas of the city to normal existence as soon as possible the center’s specialists are assessing the extent of humanitarian aid needed, as well as evaluating essential objects, such as electric stations, medical units, water facilities and bakeries.

In the meantime, Syrian engineers, trained in the international mine action center in Russia, will receive additional means to detect explosive objects and de-mine the city.

On Tuesday, Syrian Army forces broke the siege of Deir ez-Zor following Russian cruise missile strikes on IS, allowing the troops’ successful advancement.

The missiles hit the terrorists’ fortified areas, including artillery positions, armored vehicles, ammunition storages and a communication center.

Up to 125,000 civilians were trapped in the oil-rich provincial capital for nearly three years, with jihadists effectively blocking commercial and humanitarian access into the city. The occupied residents have been mostly reliant on airdropped aid by the UN, Russia and the Syrian government.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 20:54| Comment(1) | 国際・政治

人は一回しか死なない 妊娠は何回もできる

次は松戸市の12ヶ月移動平均出生率死亡率。福島第一原発事故前は出生率も死亡率も比較的安定したトレンドで推移していたが、2011年以降は、トレンド直線の上と下に振れることが多い。



まず、死亡率から行くと、ある地域集団があって外との出入りがない状態を想定すれば、その地域の人の生息環境・条件に応じて時間の経過とともに人の減耗が生ずるが、これは一定規模の集団であれば、その集団に固有な発生率を示すだろう。

環境変化や外的な要因が加わらなければ、このトレンドは安定推移するだろう。その観点からすると、福島第一原発事故前の死亡率の推移は、この集団の固有の減耗率を示していたと考えられる。

ところが、福島第一原発事故後、死亡率が24ヶ月くらいトレンドを上回って推移し、その後はトレンドを下回って推移している。

これは外的な要因、環境の変化によってストックの減耗が早まったのだと見ることができる。そしてその前倒しが一通り終わると、今度は減耗が遅くなり、死亡率は過去のトレンドを下回って推移する。

福島第一原発事故後、このプロセスが二回現れ、今は三回目のストック減耗の前倒しの段階にあるようだ。この前倒しが何時まで続くかは分からない。

一方、妊娠・出産はデトックスというSYさんの指摘はとても意味が深い。松戸市の集団では、福島第一原発事故後出生率がすぐに少し落ち込んだが、短期間で回復し、トレンド直線の上に出ている。しかし1年ほどでトレンドの下に沈み、少し深い谷となった。

この谷も1年程度で克服されてトレンド上に浮上、小幅な上乗せ状態と小幅な低位推移が続いたが、2年半ほど前から大幅な上乗せ状態となり、半年ほど前にトレンドに戻っている。

妊娠出産は、死亡よりも外的要因、経済的要因や人口移動の影響を受けやすいことは明らかだ。「もう一人欲しいが、家が狭いから」などという会話は普通になされる。

それに都市部では人口流入に伴って若い世代が増えるために一般に出生率が上がる。トレンドの上方シフトを生むこともある。特に外国人が増えると新生児は確実に増える。

松戸市では住民の入れ替わりが見られるようで、おそらく福島第一原発事故前の出生率のトレンドは変わってしまったのではないかと思う。

それでも、これまでのところでは福島第一原発事故後6年余の出生率の水準は過去のトレンドに乗っているように見えて、福島第一原発事故後の妊娠出産に及ぼす影響要因が、転入者に対しても比較的短期間で効果を表わし、身体がデトックスを欲するようになるのかは、よく分からない。

全国の人口については、次のように出生数と死亡数の差が月を追って拡大している。最近時点で月当たり約3万人の人口減。年間で約35万人の人口減になる。2014年の政府統計では25万人の人口自然減、その3年後の2017年で年間約35万人の人口自然減だ。

昭和40年代は年間100万人超の人口自然増があったわけで、様変わりしている。

そしてこのような人口の変化は2010年に不連続点があり、その後の福島第一原発事故でまた不連続が生じたように見える。



それゆえ、2006年以降の長期トレンドが継続しているようにも見えるし、そうではなく2011年以降に新しいトレンドが生じたようにも見える。

それにしても、2010年の死亡数の顕著な増、出生数の反転増大について人口問題を扱う研究者は、不審に思わなかったのだろうか。

政府の推算では今から30年後には年間100万人の自然減になると見込まれている。2020年には年間60万人の自然減だ。自然減はもっと早く大きくなりそうに思えるが、その結果ぐらいは何とか見届けたいものだ。


期間限定公開記事
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 20:35| Comment(2) | 福島原発事故

プルームが来ると雨が降る 放射性物質が多いと気象に影響も

関東にプルームが襲来した2011/3/15、筆者の記憶では晴れの天気だったと記憶するが、各地でにわか雨があった。

3/15、仕事を早く切り上げて帰ったという人が東京都内でにわか雨に打たれたとの情報をネットで見たし、読者から松戸市、龍ヶ崎市でもにわか雨があったと教えてもらった。

神奈川県の大和市でも短時間だが雨が降ったらしい。相模原市では12時頃に。

栃木県北部では終日霧雨のような雨が続いたが、これは気象庁の過去データで確認できる。

都内や茨城県、千葉県のにわか雨は、いずれも空間線量率のピークを過ぎて何時間か経過した後のようだ。

福島原発爆発後、空が灰色にくすんでいたとの観察が多いし、2011/3/15に台東区内で撮影された動画の画像を切り取り画像で比較すると明らかに空の色が違っている。

2014年07月25日 「お前放射能がみえるんか」 2011/3/15昼 東京都心はスモッグがかかっているように見えた

筆者も2011/3/15の正午前に所用で外出し、自分のいるところは日が照っているのに西の東京都内のいつも見えるビルなどが鉛色の空気にさえぎられて見えなかったことを記憶している。

相模原市で午前11時頃に外出した方は、東の空に不気味な色をし
た大きな雲を見ておられる。

放射性物質が、あるいはそれが付着した微粒子が大気中に流れてくると、それが降雨剤の働きをするのだろう。人口雨だって、上空でばら撒く量はしれている。

今、情報を求めているのは、2011/3/15朝の市谷辺りでの降雨だ。市谷で採取された土壌のセシウム、ヨウ素の濃度が異常に高く、雨が降ったはずだと見ている。

この市谷の汚染について、続研究日誌モンテカルロの2012年2月25日の「東京大学(文京区本郷)のセシウム汚染」と題する記事に次の記述がある。
「表面5ミリ程度の深さで、だいたい30平方センチ程度の広さから薄くかき集めた。(中略)ベクミルのLB2045に計測をかけた直後から、採取した土壌のスペクトルには、セシウム三兄弟のピークが林立し、あっというまに、およそ2000Bq/kgの強い汚染があることが明らかとなってしまった。」
この測定例との比較では、米国土壌調査の市谷の測定値は異常値だとはいえないようだ。

にわか雨は、プルームの襲来に伴って生じることがある。これは記憶にとどめておいたほうが良い。空間線量率が平常どおりでプルームが来ていないときも、今は雨水に放射性物質が含まれている。雨に濡れてはならない。

にわか雨といえば、2011/3/11の地震の最中に、一転空が掻き曇り、雨がぽつぽつと当たったことを思い出す。風も吹いて電線がビュービューと鳴った。地震の揺れによるものだけではなかったと思う。

長者原から福島第一原発を眺めていると、この辺は気象の特異地点になっているのではないかと感じる。構内には、ストロンチウムやセシウムが大量にあり、放射線も多い。崩壊熱で温度も相対的に高いだろう。

2015/1/28には、午後3時頃、湿度も高くなかったのに、数回にわたり10分から20分程度の間に、モヤのようなものが急に現れ、すぐに消える現象が見られた。



気象の変化を生ずるメカニズムはどうなのか知らないが、放射性物質や放射線が多いと空気中の水分がなんらかの変化を起こすことは間違いないようだ。

プルームが飛んできそうなときは、マスクと傘はセットの必需品だ。


神奈川県の海老名では2011/3/21の午前6時台にはすでに降雨が始まっている。3/15の小雨で沈着したセシウム、ヨウ素がこの雨で河川に流入、1日か2日後には神奈川県のほぼ全域で水道水中のセシウム、ヨウ素濃度が大きく上がっていただろう。

(初出 2014/11/1 11/3 追記 2015/4/2、2017/9/6)
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 13:16| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

個人用測定器には電磁波の影響を強く受けるものがある

しばしば、東京駅などで異常に高い空間線量率が検出されていますが、これは電磁波を拾っているものと見られます。



エステーが出しているエアーカウンターSの初期の機種は電磁波の影響が大きく、コンビニの前などで異常な値が検出されていました。

管理人が保有するSOEKSのDEFENDERは、携帯電話の電波に反応して瞬間的に0.3とか0.4μSv/hを表示します。

上の画像のような高い値が出る場所は、そのような高い値が長時間続くはずですから、少し離れたところも併せて、時間をかけて測定すれば何か特別の原因があることを知ることができるでしょう。

もちろん、強力なガンマ線源が落ちているとかの可能性がないわけではありませんが、それならば場所を少し動けば顕著に値が増減します。
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 13:04| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故

Russia Warns US Against Lethal Arms Deliveries to Ukraine

Russia Warns US Against Lethal Arms Deliveries to Ukraine
TEHRAN (FNA)- Russian President Vladimir Putin warned the United States against lethal arms deliveries to Ukraine, saying that it might worsen the situation in the country.

Possible deliveries of US lethal weapons to Ukraine will not change the situation, but this may lead to an increase in the number of victims, provoke the use of military force in other territories, Putin said during a press conference on the results of the BRICS summit on Tuesday, Sputnik reported.

"This [the supply of lethal weapons to Ukraine] is the sovereign decision of the United States as to whom they sell arms or supply them to for free, and of the country that is the recipient of this aid. We cannot influence this process in any way. But there are general international rules and approaches − the supply of weapons to the conflict zone does not favor the pacification, but only aggravates the situation," Putin stated.

According to him, "there is one more thing to pay attention to − who is encouraging such ideas".

"This is because the self-proclaimed republics have enough weapons, including those seized from the opposing side, from nationalist battalions. And if American weapons enter the conflict zone, it is difficult to say how the proclaimed republics will react − maybe they will send the weapons they have to other zones of conflict that are sensitive to those who create problems for them," Putin warned.

On Thursday, during his visit to Kiev in honor of Ukraine's Independence Day, US Secretary of Defense James Mattis stressed that the US was "actively reviewing" the supply of "defensive lethal weapons" to Ukraine.

In recent weeks, US officials have floated Javelin anti-tank missiles and anti-aircraft weapons among the kinds of "defensive" weapons that the US may send Kiev.

At his press conference, Mattis confirmed that the US has already agreed to supply the country with an additional $175 million worth of non-lethal equipment and supplies, for a total of $750 million over the last three years.

Early August, Russia’s foreign ministry warned that a reported US plan to supply lethal arms to Kiev will escalate the conflict in Eastern Ukraine, adding that the alleged defensive nature of the weaponry doesn’t mean Washington wouldn’t be responsible for a potential spike of violence.

“The masterminds of the plan to supply lethal weapons to Ukraine, apparently, proceed from the assumption that the situation in the east of this country isn’t explosive enough already and that it’s needed to add fuel to the fire,” Mikhail Ulyanov, the head of the Russian foreign ministry’s Department for Non-Proliferation and Arms Control, said.

The diplomat pointed out that “references to the fact that the talk is only about the supply of weapons of a defensive nature don’t change the essence of the matter.”

The government in Kiev has “no one to defend from” because the forces in the self-proclaimed People’s Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk “aren’t making any attempts to expand their territory,”Ulyanov stressed.

The reported US move only would escalate the violence as “those circles in Ukraine, who are inclined to bet on the military scenario, would probably perceive the American deliveries as an encouragement of military hostilities,” he explained.

“The responsibility for this development would fall not only on Kiev, but on Washington as well,” Ulyanov emphasized.

Kremlin press-secretary, Dmitry Peskov, also pointed out the counterproductive nature of the reported plans to supply lethal arms to Ukraine.

“Our stance is well-known: we believe that all countries, especially those that are looking to be part of the settlement [of the Ukrainian conflict], must avoid any sort of actions which can provoke another spike in tensions in the already difficult region,”Peskov stressed.

Russia had also warned late July that a possible US decision to funnel lethal weapons to Ukraine would set back peace efforts and fuel Ukraine’s persistent civil war.

The Wall Street Journal had reported that the Pentagon and the US State Department have prepared a plan to supply Ukraine with antitank missiles and other weaponry. The unnamed high-ranked officials cited by the publication claimed that Kiev would require the American “defensive arms” to protect itself from possible aggression by Moscow.

Ukraine has repeatedly asked Washington for arms supplies, with the issue being discussed during talks between president Donald Trump and Ukrainian president Poroshenko in June. The sources said though, that the plan has not been approved by the White House with Trump being unaware of the move.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 11:43| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

シリア軍とその同盟勢力 3年間に渡るデリゾールの封鎖を解く

RT2017/9/5 Edited time: 5 Sep, 2017 11:01
The Islamic State blockade of Deir er-Zor has been breached by Syrian government forces, Syrian state television and activist groups reported on Tuesday. The jihadist group has blockaded the provincial capital for almost 3 years.

The government troops defending the city and those advancing from the west have met, Syrian media reported.

The garrison of Deir ez-Zor has been holding out against Islamic State forces in rural parts of the governorate, sustained by airdrops of crucial supplies.

An estimated 93,000 civilians remain under the protection of Damascus’ forces within the city limits.

In the past few days, the advancing government forces have repeatedly moved swiftly to break through jihadist lines.

The Deir ez-Zor governorate is located in the western part of Syria on the border with Iraq and is one of the few remaining pockets of territory remaining under the control of Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL). Moscow, which supports Damascus’ offensive against the jihadist groups, believes the full lifting of the siege of the provincial capital will amount to the strategic defeat of IS in Syria.

次の図の東西の空隙がなくなり、つながったことになります。

米軍はテロリストをシリア北東部に送り込むようですが、もうISISテロリストの士気は失われます。イドリブではアルヌスラを他のグループが襲いました。米軍は戦略的な失敗を犯しました。ロシアに完敗です。



RT2017/9/5
ISIS siege of Deir ez-Zor lifted thanks to Russian cruise missile strike – Defense Ministry
The siege of the Syrian provincial capital of Deir ez-Zor has been lifted, the Russian Defense Ministry confirms. The breakthrough by the Syrian Army was made possible by a Russian cruise missile strike on Islamic State militants, it said in a statement.

The Russian Navy launched Kalibr cruise missiles against jihadists stationed near the city, the ministry said. This enabled units commanded by General Suheil al-Hassan to break through IS defenses and lift the blockade.

“Terrorists attempted to stop the break-through of the Syrian army by deploying suicide bombers on armored vehicles,” the statement stated, adding that Syrian army destroyed some 50 terrorist “jihadmobiles” during the siege.

Syrian troops trying to widen the breach and liberate the city’s neighbourhoods are currently engaged in street battles with the jihadists, according to the Defense Ministry statement.

RT2017/9/5
Russian frigate fires Kalibr cruise missiles at ISIS targets in Deir ez-Zor - Defense Ministry
A Russian warship in the Mediterranean Sea has fired a salvo of Kalibr cruise missiles at a group of jihadists stationed near the city of Deir ez-Zor in western Syria, the Russian military reported. The targeted militants were mainly from Russia and countries of the CIS.

The frigate ‘Admiral Essen’ of the Russian Black Sea fleet fired the missiles on Tuesday morning, a statement by the Russian Defense Ministry said. The barrage destroyed a communications center, weapons depots and a repair workshop used by Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) militants, it said.

The ministry later said that the Kalibr strikes allowed Syrian government forces to conduct a rapid manoeuvre and break through the IS blockade of Deir ez-Zor city. The capital of the western Syrian governorate had been encircled by the militants for almost three years.

FARSNEWS2017/9/5
TEHRAN (FNA)- ISIL terrorists in the Eastern province of Deir Ezzur were taken by surprise when their positions came under heavy attack by the Russian Navy deployed in the Black Sea, the Russian Defense Ministry said on Tuesday.

A Russian Black Sea Fleet frigate struck an area near the town of al-Shoula held by ISIL terrorists mostly from Russia and CIS countries with Kalibr cruise missiles, the Russian Defense Ministry stated.

"On September 5, the Admiral Essen frigate of the Russian Black Sea Fleet that has been carrying out missions (…) in the Mediterranean launched strikes with sea-based Kalibr cruise missiles on the ISIL terrorist group's targets near Deir Ezzur. Kalibr cruise missiles were launched on verified ISIL's targets based on information received by means of reconnaissance from several channels," the ministry said.

The Russian ministry added that dozens of terrorists were killed, as well as ISIL's command posts, a communications center, a facility repairing terrorists' armored vehicles, arms and ammunition depots were destroyed in the vicinity of Deir Ezzur, adding that the effectiveness of the missile strike was confirmed by UAV reconnaissance.

The missile strike thwarted terrorists' plans to regroup and boost their positions near Deir Ezzur, which has been besieged by the ISIL since 2013.

Damascus forces supported by Russian warplanes are currently trying to lift a years-long blockade of the provincial capital Deir Ezzur. Moscow says that the success of the operation would amount to a strategic defeat of the terrorist group in Syria.

The ‘Admiral Essen’ is one of Russia’s most modern warships, the second of the Admiral Grigorovich class to set sail. It carries 8 vertically-launched Kalibr cruise missiles and previously fired them at ISIL forces in May and June.

Earlier reports said that the Syrian Air Force targeted a long convoy of ISIL's vehicles carrying arms, ammunition and fresh fighters towards the terrorist group's positions near Brigade 137 base in Western Deir Ezzur, inflicting major damage on the column.

The army aircraft carried out several combat sorties over ISIL's movements near the salt mine near the town of al-Tabni in the Western countryside of Deir Ezzur, destroying most of the vehicles and killing a number of terrorists.

The ISIL intended to transfer the convoy of forces, arms and ammunition to the group's positions near Brigade 137 base.

Also, the fighter jets pounded ISIL's defense lines in the villages of al-Baqaliyeh and Ayyash, imposing heavy casualties on the militants.

In the meantime, the Syrian Army troops clashed fiercely with a group of ISIL terrorists and repelled their attack on the government forces' positions South of T-2 pumping station in the Southeastern part of Deir Ezzur, killing a large number of terrorists.




赤い円内が巡航ミサイル、極めて正確です。



posted by ZUKUNASHI at 10:56| Comment(0) | 国際・政治

北朝鮮の核実験場が陥没し 放射性物質飛散の可能性

北朝鮮の核実験は深さ地表0kmと推定されており、山のふもとで横に穴を掘って水爆を爆発させたものと見られます。
これにより実験場で崩落の危険が増しており、そこで次なる核実験を行った場合、山が崩落して穴が開き、そこから放射性物質を周辺地域に撒き散らす恐れがあると中国の科学者が推定しています。


RT2017/9/5
Mount Doom: N. Korea nuke test site could cave in & spread radiation – Chinese experts

The mountain where North Korea likely conducted its five most recent nuclear bomb tests could be at risk of collapse, potentially releasing radiation into the atmosphere, according to Chinese experts who measured shock waves caused by the blasts.

Scientists from the seismic and deep earth physics laboratory at the University of Science and Technology of China in Hefei, Anhu province, believe the most recent tests were carried out under a mountain at North Korea's Punggye-ri test site, according to a statement published on their website.

The group's leader, geophysicist Wen Lianxing, believes the margin of error for their prediction to be no more than 100 meters, citing data collected by more than 100 earthquake monitoring sites.

The data set includes an earthquake which was registered eight minutes after North Korea's latest launch on Sunday, which Chinese authorities deemed a cave-in triggered by the explosion.

According to Wen's team, the energy released in Sunday’s test was about 108.3 kilotons of TNT, or 7.8 times the amount released by the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima, Japan, by the US in 1945. It far surpassed all previous bombs tested by Pyongyang.

However, a team of scientists in Norway estimated the bomb was even more powerful, as much as 10 times greater than the Hiroshima bomb.

The Chinese team's findings, if accurate, could mean a major environmental disaster is on its way, with the next test potentially causing the entire mountain to cave in on itself, according to Wang Naiyan, the former chairman of the China Nuclear Society and a senior researcher on China's nuclear weapons program.

That would leave a hole venting radiation across the entire region.

“We call it ‘taking the roof off’. If the mountain collapses and the hole is exposed, it will let out many bad things," Wang said, as quoted by the South China Morning Post.

Wang said the severity of the situation depends on where the North Koreans placed the bombs.

“If the bombs were planted at the bottom of vertically drilled tunnels, the explosion would do less damage,” he said.

However, such a scenario is unlikely, due to the fact that such tunnels are expensive and difficult to build. It's much easier, Wang said, to build a horizontal tunnel into the heart of the mountain - which increases the risk of "taking the roof off" the mountain.

Moreover, the increasing size of the bombs used in the nuclear tests also make "topping" more likely, according to Wang.

“A 100 kiloton bomb is a relatively large bomb. The North Korean government should stop the tests as they pose a huge threat not only to North Korea but to other countries, especially China,” he said.

Despite the possible doomsday prediction, Wang stressed that calculations made by Wen and his team could be inaccurate, as earthquakes travel at different speeds through different rocks. In other words, it is not easy to make entirely accurate predictions based on seismic data.

Pyongyang said its Sunday launch involved a hydrogen bomb which can be mounted on an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM).

“The H-bomb, the explosive power of which is adjustable from tens to hundreds of kilotons, is a multi-functional thermonuclear bomb with great destructive power which can be detonated even at high altitudes for a super-powerful EMP [Electromagnetic pulse] attack according to strategic goals,” state news agency KCNA reported.

“The recent self-defense measures by my country, the DPRK, are a gift package addressed to none other than the US,” Han Tae-song, North Korea's ambassador to the United Nations, said during an address to the UN-sponsored Conference on Disarmament on Tuesday.

“The US will receive more gift packages from my country as long as it relies on reckless provocations and futile attempts to put pressure on the DPRK,” he continued.

Meanwhile, China has urged all sides in the crisis to “seriously consider” the double-freeze plan proposed by China and Russia and “actively respond to it.”

However, that plan – which would see Pyongyang suspend its nuclear and missile tests in exchange for a halt in joint US-South Korean military drills – has already been rejected by Washington.
posted by ZUKUNASHI at 09:34| Comment(0) | 福島原発事故